Scouching’s Final 2024 NHL Draft Rankings

Welcome one and all! We’ve finally made it to the end of the 2024 NHL Draft season, and what an interesting ride it’s been. All kinds of things have been said about this draft class from top to bottom. Some names are the next top pair defensemen out there, or the class as a whole is underwhelming, every thought under the sun is out there about this crop of players. For me, this is one of the more fascinating groups I’ve seen in great detail. There are a ton of directions a bunch of these players could go, but my impression is that there are a lot of very, very intelligent play drivers out there who seem to lack the skill and pace to clearly project to strong NHL roles. That’s not a knock on these guys, because a ton of them have been more and more impressive the more I’ve seen them this season, and I think NHL teams could land a number of strong role players at a variety of selections in this year’s draft. For me, I like to think about where the barrier is where I am truly really, really excited about this year’s crop, and the barrier of where I stop becoming really curious about what players could be, and for me the first barrier comes a bit earlier than usual, but the second barrier comes quite a bit later. I’d say the first 18-20 names are potentially very exciting players that could play important NHL roles, but I’m really, really interested in the next 30 or so players on the list. Beyond that, there are some solid players who bring more than enough to the game to end up on the list, but carry some question marks about their actual NHL upside. Talented players nonetheless and there is absolutely plenty to like about this group.

Before we get to the list I find it would be helpful to outline a quick background to how I think, what I look for and how I come to the conclusions I do. To put it simply, I am always looking for play drivers. Production is often a reward for good procedural play, and I always am thinking about how players perform in what I call the cycle of possession. Most of the time, players don’t have the puck, so how are they when they don’t have it? Are they reading play well, supporting teammates, getting their hands dirty when the time comes, and creating turnovers in some area of the ice in some way? Once they get the puck back, what’s happening? Are they flipping pucks into the neutral zone, turning pucks over and making life more difficult for the team? Are they taking a second to scan the ice before possession, making smart reads, and finding creative ways to march the puck up the ice in some fashion? How often are they even involved in plays like this? Only then do I start to really think about offensive zone play, but it’s an important factor. Are they a distributor, individual chance generator, dual threat offensive player, or not really doing much in the offensive zone at all? This part does affect my read on a player, but it isn’t the be-all-end-all. Motivating a confident and hard-working player who can get pucks into the offensive zone to be more assertive and creative offensively is a good baseline if I’m a coach. I watch the Stanley Cup Playoffs and so many times, skill and pure shot quality is a factor, but these games are largely won by off-puck play, raw intensity, competitiveness and ability to drive play to the net in some fashion so that is often my focus in the context of the draft. Backing up my views this season are almost documented 700 performances of data across around 150 players with plenty more video going untracked when I can’t stand to stare at a spreadsheet anymore. I track their defensive involvement, forechecking ability, puck transportation ability, rush defense, and of course their offensive zone data. How the player gets the puck up the ice or stop rushes defensively, how effective they are in that discipline, and how they generate offense are key areas that form the backbone of my analysis. Are they getting pucks to the slot? How? Are they completing passes in that area? Are they driving a strong percentage of their team’s offense? If not, why not? There’s so much nuance to this, and in my view, the tracked data is a reference manual for what I’ve gathered from a player that I can look back on to cut through my own biases and frame my analysis around. Not every poor transition player is super low on my list, not every great one is super high on my list. The video factors in, as well as games and video I’ve seen that didn’t get tracked to get a more bird’s-eye view of a player.

At the end of all of this, my rankings thus end up split into tiers, ordered where I would argue certain players over others for various reasons, but am completely open to players at the end of the tier being options above the ones at the top, despite my reservations. At the tail end, there’s a watchlist of players who I’m not clamoring to draft at a certain point, but who I’ve enjoyed watching and may not have been able to get around to tracking. Guys who I think would be good to keep track of assuming they go undrafted, or ones to get behind should they have a flyer taken on them. I hope all of this helps you understand where I’m coming from and how I get there.

Quick note: LSD/RSD indicates a defender playing on the wrong side relative to their shooting that I’ve gathered in my tracked data. For players I’ve tracked I gather their positions from the performances I see, so some may not line up perfectly with what’s out there, and I think it’s important to note defenders who have been played on the opposite side of their natural shooting direction.

With that out of the way, the list is below with writeups for everyone, so enjoy!


Tier 1 - Two Key Franchise Pieces

Tier 2 - Where Everything Opens Up

Tier 3 - A Small Drop, but Plenty of Fun

Tier 4 - Solid Roleplayers and Curiousities

Tier 5 - Everyone Else

The Watchlist

Goaltenders

  1. Eemil Vinni - Mid 2nd

  2. Evan Gardner - Late 2nd

  3. Mikhail Yegorov - 2nd-3rd

  4. Carter George - Mid-Late

  5. Ryerson Leenders - Mid-Late

  6. Ivan Yunin - Mid-Late

  7. Vladislav Bryzgalov - Mid-Late

  8. Kim Saarinen - Mid-Late

  9. Teodor Munther - Late Flyer

  10. Martin Neckar - Late Flyer

  11. Kirill Zarubin - Late Flyer

  12. Nikolai Nikulshin - Late Flyer

  13. Pavel Moysevich - Late Flyer

  14. Simon Wolf - Late Flyer

  15. Dawson Cowan - Late Flyer

  16. Kam Hendrickson - Late Flyer


There we have it, a year of work done. Thank you so much for all the views, likes, subscriptions and discussion both private and public. This is a slog of hard work, and I still am left leaving plenty open to fate in the next few years. It’s a pleasure to share my views and work with everyone, and if you’re interested in joining the community and supporting what I do, click below to get subscribed to the site where you’ll get exclusive content, access to a Discord server, exclusive datasets and more depending on the tier. If not, that’s all good but be sure to subscribe to us on YouTube, Twitch, Instagram and Tiktok, and give us a follow at Scouching on Twitter! Thanks so much, and if you see me in Vegas, be sure to say hi!

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