Scouching’s Final 2024 NHL Draft Rankings

Welcome one and all! We’ve finally made it to the end of the 2024 NHL Draft season, and what an interesting ride it’s been. All kinds of things have been said about this draft class from top to bottom. Some names are the next top pair defensemen out there, or the class as a whole is underwhelming, every thought under the sun is out there about this crop of players. For me, this is one of the more fascinating groups I’ve seen in great detail. There are a ton of directions a bunch of these players could go, but my impression is that there are a lot of very, very intelligent play drivers out there who seem to lack the skill and pace to clearly project to strong NHL roles. That’s not a knock on these guys, because a ton of them have been more and more impressive the more I’ve seen them this season, and I think NHL teams could land a number of strong role players at a variety of selections in this year’s draft. For me, I like to think about where the barrier is where I am truly really, really excited about this year’s crop, and the barrier of where I stop becoming really curious about what players could be, and for me the first barrier comes a bit earlier than usual, but the second barrier comes quite a bit later. I’d say the first 18-20 names are potentially very exciting players that could play important NHL roles, but I’m really, really interested in the next 30 or so players on the list. Beyond that, there are some solid players who bring more than enough to the game to end up on the list, but carry some question marks about their actual NHL upside. Talented players nonetheless and there is absolutely plenty to like about this group.

Before we get to the list I find it would be helpful to outline a quick background to how I think, what I look for and how I come to the conclusions I do. To put it simply, I am always looking for play drivers. Production is often a reward for good procedural play, and I always am thinking about how players perform in what I call the cycle of possession. Most of the time, players don’t have the puck, so how are they when they don’t have it? Are they reading play well, supporting teammates, getting their hands dirty when the time comes, and creating turnovers in some area of the ice in some way? Once they get the puck back, what’s happening? Are they flipping pucks into the neutral zone, turning pucks over and making life more difficult for the team? Are they taking a second to scan the ice before possession, making smart reads, and finding creative ways to march the puck up the ice in some fashion? How often are they even involved in plays like this? Only then do I start to really think about offensive zone play, but it’s an important factor. Are they a distributor, individual chance generator, dual threat offensive player, or not really doing much in the offensive zone at all? This part does affect my read on a player, but it isn’t the be-all-end-all. Motivating a confident and hard-working player who can get pucks into the offensive zone to be more assertive and creative offensively is a good baseline if I’m a coach. I watch the Stanley Cup Playoffs and so many times, skill and pure shot quality is a factor, but these games are largely won by off-puck play, raw intensity, competitiveness and ability to drive play to the net in some fashion so that is often my focus in the context of the draft. Backing up my views this season are almost documented 700 performances of data across around 150 players with plenty more video going untracked when I can’t stand to stare at a spreadsheet anymore. I track their defensive involvement, forechecking ability, puck transportation ability, rush defense, and of course their offensive zone data. How the player gets the puck up the ice or stop rushes defensively, how effective they are in that discipline, and how they generate offense are key areas that form the backbone of my analysis. Are they getting pucks to the slot? How? Are they completing passes in that area? Are they driving a strong percentage of their team’s offense? If not, why not? There’s so much nuance to this, and in my view, the tracked data is a reference manual for what I’ve gathered from a player that I can look back on to cut through my own biases and frame my analysis around. Not every poor transition player is super low on my list, not every great one is super high on my list. The video factors in, as well as games and video I’ve seen that didn’t get tracked to get a more bird’s-eye view of a player.

At the end of all of this, my rankings thus end up split into tiers, ordered where I would argue certain players over others for various reasons, but am completely open to players at the end of the tier being options above the ones at the top, despite my reservations. At the tail end, there’s a watchlist of players who I’m not clamoring to draft at a certain point, but who I’ve enjoyed watching and may not have been able to get around to tracking. Guys who I think would be good to keep track of assuming they go undrafted, or ones to get behind should they have a flyer taken on them. I hope all of this helps you understand where I’m coming from and how I get there.

Quick note: LSD/RSD indicates a defender playing on the wrong side relative to their shooting that I’ve gathered in my tracked data. For players I’ve tracked I gather their positions from the performances I see, so some may not line up perfectly with what’s out there, and I think it’s important to note defenders who have been played on the opposite side of their natural shooting direction.

With that out of the way, the list is below with writeups for everyone, so enjoy!

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Tier 1 - Two Key Franchise Pieces

• #1 | Macklin Celebrini | C | Boston University | Apr. Rank (1)

  It’s June. We all know the guy, we all know where he’s going, we all know pretty much everything we need to know. He’s going to San Jose and in all likelihood be a pivotal player in their upcoming generation. A 200-foot impact, highly intelligent player that every team would love to have, Celebrini is going to be a player I’ll be fascinated to see grow into an NHL role with the Sharks. He brings so much to the game that is so valued in the NHL, and has a great mind for the game. Any improvements to his skill, speed, strength and creativity will only elevate his game with such a strong hockey mind to build around.

• #2 | Ivan Demidov | RW | SKA-1946 St. Petersburg | Apr. Rank (2)

  Where Demidov goes in the draft is going to be fascinating. The thought of him setting up Connor Bedard and vice-versa is something that I haven’t felt since I thought the Edmonton Oilers had the chance to pair Connor McDavid with Cole Caufield. Alas, it seems that Demidov may be slipping from here a little bit. Whoever picks him is getting an elite playmaker with hilarious amounts of skill and creativity, and is one of the few players in this draft that I would categorize as a gamebreaker with the puck on his stick. He’ll need to show his capability in the KHL next season but the growth in his game has been remarkable since his last stint there. I have little concern that he’ll sort things out over time. His physical play has improved, his ability to face and solve pressure has improved, and his game has become much more focused offensively. He’s a great asset and whoever gets him should be excited. To me, nobody else is a threat to Macklin Celebrini for the top spot on my board, but #3 comes awfully close in my opinion.

Tier 2 - Where Everything Opens Up

• #3 | Berkly Catton | C | Spokane Chiefs | Apr. Rank (3)

  Berkly Catton is a great exercise in figuring out my philosophy. I value players who elevate others greatly. Players who can move the puck themselves, move the puck to others, find targets, hit them accurately, and finish chances they get from others. Catton checks every one of those boxes in my books. His tracked data is outstanding almost across the board. The only hangup is that he isn’t the most physical centre out there, but he’s so smart with his positioning and such a great support player that surrounding him with players that can fill that gap should give him the space to be Berkly Catton. Brilliant with the puck with his pass lane creation skill and one of the few players I trust to run a line this year as he is, he’ll almost certainly be drafted too late and someone is going to be very happy.

• #4 | Cayden Lindstrom | F | Medicine Hat Tigers | Apr. Rank (4)

  Lindstrom just screams NHL playoff performer. He's big and physical, has great tight area skill for his size, and has a quick release that can catch defenses off guard. There are some issues with processing play and managing the puck as part of a line but the individual skill and talent profile is extremely hard to ignore. It sounds like he'll go early and in my opinion rightfully so, even if he has some work to do. Every prospect does, but if things break right, he could have a heck of a career, and even if they don't, there's a job of some kind somewhere in the lineup he should be able to thrive in.

• #5 | Zeev Buium | D | Univ. of Denver | Apr. Rank (7)

  Zeev Buium has been a favorite of mine since he joined the NTDP program a few years back. The only real hole in his game is that he lacks a certain level of quickness necessary to play an offensive brand like his in the NHL at a high level, and utilizing that quickness to be a more impactful defensive player will be key to NHL success, but outside of that? Yeehaw Hockey at it's finest. He's aggressive, confident, skilled, can shoot, make plays, pinches in the offensive zone, can step up to the half wall and get pucks in front, he just does so much so well offensively. In fact in my tracking work he was taking more chances from scoring areas than he was from the perimeter which for a defenseman is unheard of. He's fun to watch, and any good development program should raise his floor which should elevate the high level areas we already see. I find myself always going back to watch him expecting to move him around a bit but he remains rock solid in my top 10. With the right partner, he could be an absolutely dynamite asset for any team.

• #6 | Teddy Stiga | LW/C | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (13)

  Last year I was a huge Gavin Brindley fan, and this year Teddy Stiga fills a similar role in my mind. He's a little bit small, fine, but I guarantee you that if you said that to his face as a concern for his development, he'd prove you wrong. He's all over the ice all the time, a constant end to end presence who supports linemates and can both set plays up and score pucks himself. I realize that 6 is really high, but this is a guy who will rise to any occasion by virtue of how he plays on the ice. Even if he isn't scoring 80 points a season, he's going to be a useful player that is going to be impactful in a variety of ways in any situation. I've seen players like this in the past fall in the draft who I've had ranked high, and I regret not having them ranked higher. For Stiga, I'm going to stick my neck out because every time I've seen him, he's impressed the heck out of me and I can't wait to see where he is in 5-10 years.

• #7 | Tij Iginla | F | Kelowna Rockets | Apr. Rank (10)

  See what I wrote about Stiga? Basically copy+paste for Iginla in a lot of ways. I think he's a slightly less intense player, but a more threatening offensive talent, especially with his shot, and with impressive physical tools on the puck. Iginla steadily improved over the year finishing up with a tremendous U18 Gold Medal winning performance. A lightning quick wrist shot, high end agility and a great sense for using his skill to solve problems, Iginla is a diverse offensive talent that could slot into many different roles on an NHL team. He's a hard working player that is more selfless than his scoring line would indicate, but his ability to make quick cuts, work through pressure and create great scoring chances is undeniable and I would be thrilled to go on stage and call his name pretty early in the draft.

• #8 | Adam Jiříček | D | HC Plzeň | Apr. Rank (6)

  I know, I know. One of my top rated defenders hasn't played in 2024 and had a rough start to the year. Let's all not forget how many times players with strong D-1 years who have tough DY years find their footing again later. In Jiricek's case, while I agree his first few months in Czechia were less than ideal, especially moving the puck and defensively along the boards, I felt he was settling in at the pro level before the World Juniors, and he looked excellent in his games at that tournament before his injury. Is he a sure thing? No, but I've been watching him for a season and a half, and the mobility, defensive positioning, stick and body checking ability in conjunction, and flashes of offensive upside are things you don't find every day. Knee injuries are often not what they used to be and are more manageable, but I would be doing my homework on his case before making him a pick. My hunch is that it isn't something to be terribly scared of. If he hadn't been hurt, his back half playing pro hockey would've taken a turn for the better like many young players who perform at that tournament after they return to their clubs from the World Juniors.

• #9 | Cole Eiserman | LW | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (15)

  One of the biggest enigmas in the draft, Cole Eiserman is a player with the benefit of youth on his side, but in my view has a long way to go to be a diverse impact player in the NHL. The scoring ability in the truest sense of the term is extremely high end. He can beat goalies clean with his wrist shot, he has a devastating power play one timer, he can attack the net, tip pucks, there's all kinds of scoring traits there. I believe there's an understated playmaker here too that I would want to nurture and bring out more. He's still crossing the blueline and putting low percentage chances on net too much and I'd love to encourage him to take a few more steps, scan the ice and look for linemates, which I hope is a relatively easy adjustment to make over time. He's got a physical edge that needs to be refined but could be an asset to any NHL team as well. Skills training would also make him a much more interesting rush threat, but being completely reasonable, I see an energetic shooter with some playmaking ability that with time could become a useful offensive NHL winger in a variety of scenarios.

• #10 | Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | F | Mora IK | Apr. Rank (11)

  It will be interesting to see where Michael Brandsegg-Nygård goes from here. He's easily projectable to the NHL with his smart, calculated physical game with quick skating cuts and ability to generate scoring chances in tough, NHL-like grinding scenarios. He's one of those players who doesn't often jump out at you, but a few times throughout the game you're seeing a few nice chances here and there and a few threatening moments getting pucks off the boards quickly. He's not the fastest or most agile guy around, but he applies what he has very well, and has the rare ability to use his backside to fend off players with ease and in some cases toss them to the ice like Eric Cartman sumo wrestling his poor classmates. He may go later than this but there's a solid player here with good upside as a dependable NHLer.

• #11 | Alfons Freij | LSD | Växjö Lakers HC J20 | Apr. Rank (5)

  Alfons Freij comes in around where I had him much earlier in the year. I felt that Freij had a significantly better U18 tournament than his production might indicate, and I can't shake the feeling that thinking a few years out from now, Freij could be an electrifying offensive defenseman in the NHL. He's crafty, shifty, deceptive, finds ways to stitch play together, and has sneaky ways of navigating pressured defensive zone retrievals. He needs to work on his explosiveness and lateral mobility on defensive rushes, but his ability to see the ice in the neutral zone, stick to opposing rushers off the puck and challenge with stick checks or beating them to the puck in the first place is high-end. He has some rough spots, but with patience I only see good things in the future for a player like Freij if you stay patient, calm and motivational.

• #12 | Zayne Parekh | RHD | Saginaw Spirit | Apr. Rank (18)

  Parekh has come up my board quite a bit as his game has steadily improved over the year. I still have concerns about his defensive play when things become very "NHL-like" on defensive rushes and along the boards, but his map of the neutral zone, positioning off the puck and ability to anticipate where play is going has improved in my view. In recent viewings I've actually been more concerned with his puck movement outside of the offensive zone which can be at various points crisp and creative, or reckless. His work in the offensive zone is undeniable, but he has to get there in the first place, and NHL coaches generally don't trust defensemen who have limited intensity and quickness to get involved physically in their own end, and with Parekh, there are still some issues that will need to be overcome. I'm not nearly as skeptical as I was back in December, but as much as he's moved up the board, it's also because I've moved other names down that I just simply haven't enjoyed watching as much as I've enjoyed watching Parekh at his best. The puck movement in the offensive zone, the routes he takes to scoring areas and the playmaking he's connected on are highly impressive and he will be a fascinating player to see in the NHL one day.

• #13 | Artyom Levshunov | RHD | Michigan State Univ. | Apr. Rank (8)

  It looks like Levshunov may be going second overall. To me, that is a huge risk to take considering who else is on the board but hey, what do I know? Levshunov is a mobile, physical defender with a great short area passing game that can hit targets accurately with hard, clean passes, but he remains a big work in progress. He can lose physical battles, get turned around and taken for a walk defensively, have mystifying passing decisions on the rush, and over the course of the season has lost a bit of that cowboy hockey edge he brought at the beginning of the season that to me made him an intriguing brand of defender. I really don't know what he's going to become, but I don't think it'll be worth a top 3 selection in this draft class. If I'm wrong, I'm wrong but I'll be curious to find out why because in both my notes and tracked data, there isn't a ton that stands out as high end with Levshunov at 5v5, and I put a lot of value in 5v5 play at this stage of a career. I can see a solid physical defense-first player here one day though that could play a safe and dependable game with some offensive flair.

• #14 | Sam Dickinson | LHD | London Knights | Apr. Rank (14)

  I don't think there's a player I watched as much this season as Sam Dickinson, at least at the defense position. I still don't know what to think of him. The only thing that comes to mind is that he's at his most impressive wheeling up below his goal line with the puck and bursting up the ice, and dropping a shoulder around the perimeter of the offensive zone to fend off pressure and maintain possession. At 5v5, his offensive creation as a playmaker is underwhelming, but he is often stepping up and taking higher percentage shots than many defensemen. The issues really come from his puck management skills, as he was one of the worst offensive transition passers I've tracked at the high end of the draft with some of the most hair-raising moments in the defensive zone stemming from his attempts to use skill and confidence to get through forecheckers. There's something there, but I didn't see enough defensive intensity in his game for too long this year and I still have a doubts, even 7 months later. I was hugely curious about his game last season and still am this year, but it's draft time and I don't know where I'd be comfortable taking him considering the known talent out there right now. He's skilled and fast with a solid frame but I'm not sure what he becomes at the end of the day.

• #15 | Trevor Connelly | LW | Tri-City Storm | Apr. Rank (9)

  Connelly is another enigma. Completely setting aside his uh, let's just say not-ideal history, I find him to be a bit too individualistic with the puck, trying to do way, way too much on his own, only to put pucks on net from the boards or other low scoring areas, but that may be a result of his not-great team in Tri-City. The skill level and straight line quickness is hard to ignore and he's made some very high end plays, especially outside the USHL. He's a top 10 pure skill player in this draft, and his defensive rush game isn't as bad as you'd expect at all, but there are question marks and to me, so much of the story comes down to your impression of him as a person, those around him, and those who have dealt with him.

• #16 | Anton Silayev | RSD | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | Apr. Rank (20)

  This is another player likely going much higher that I feel is a massive risk in that range of the draft. He's tall, tries to play physical, and a mobile skater, but outside of that, he's just... there. His puck movement through his passing is really hit or miss and you rarely see him moving pucks up the ice, rather more simple D to D and offensive zone cycle passes. He falls victim to what I'd call the Giant's Triangle issue of defenders where you're so tall that the gap between your skates and their stick blade can be worked around easily unless they can get to you with their body. Silayev can be beaten and left behind, trying to defend with his arms than his feet staying square to the puck carrier, but I guess you can always fall back on the skating and length combination. He isn't a "bad" hockey player whatsoever, I just feel as though his realistic upside is somewhat limited. If he didn't score over half his production this season in his first six games, I don't think we're penciling him in as a top 5 pick. His play in the MHL playoffs was also good but not spectacular, and thinking back to what I saw of Dmitri Simashev last year, I simply do not see the same level of player here. Could there be in the future? Maybe, but I'm not a huge fan of uncertainty in the highest ranges of the draft. He's a curiosity, a mystery box, and there are a lot of avenues he could go.

Tier 3 - A Small Drop, but Plenty of Fun

• #17 | Jett Luchanko | RW/C | Guelph Storm | Apr. Rank (29)

  The highest riser on my board since my first ranking in December, Jett Luchanko just keeps getting better and better whenever I see him. I can't help but love how he sees the ice, moves the puck, keeps his game simple yet effective, and elevates others. He's the consolation prize to Berkly Catton in my opinion. He's skilled, brilliant with how he applies his skill level, gets to the net and creates in scoring areas. Rarely wasting opportunities, Luchanko is a kid who is also one of the youngest in the draft, and I'm happy to pick him up in the first round. This is a player I wouldn't be shocked taken highly and bet on long-term by an NHL team and if he is, fans should absolutely not be disappointed.

• #18 | Andrew Basha | LW | Medicine Hat Tigers | Apr. Rank (19)

  In terms of pure skill and fun factor, Basha might be top 10 in this draft, but there are admittedly a lot of refinements likely to be necessary if Basha is going to be a high octane offensive talent in the NHL one day. I love the combination of speed and skill though, he tucks the puck close to his body, can change lanes on the fly, hit targets in stride accurately, and run transitions effectively. He can cause turnovers in the offensive zone with his anticipation and stick checking skill, and there's a nice release if he wants to take chances himself. The issue is that his involvement in all of this is very streaky to me. He's easy to knock off of pucks and out of play, which is a tough obstacle to overcome, but if he can gain an elite quickness and footspeed and the skill can keep up, he could be an exciting offensive winger in the NHL that goes too late in the NHL Draft. A few people have asked if I see him in a similar light to Andrew Cristall, and I do see more creativity with Cristall's offensive playmaking, but in terms of practical and projectable skills, I see more in Basha that I like. Quicker on his feet, more straightforward offensive approach, and more dynamic, I feel fewer concerns with Basha but they may go in similar ranges when all is said and done.

• #19 | Beckett Sennecke | LW/C | Oshawa Generals | Apr. Rank (31)

  The Chosen One down the stretch this season, Sennecke has risen meteorically in the last two months. He has had a hell of a second half of the year, and had a very impressive playoff run. I love the plays he tries to make with his skill, getting through defensive layers with well orchestrated combinations of skill, body positioning, and pace. There's a great wrist shot that has been there since what I remember of his AAA days, and lots to love in there. That said, top 10 seems... Hasty and risky to me. His play off the puck is behind his play with it, and I think he's got work to do if he's going to pull off the kinds of plays he pulls in the OHL against NHL talent. He can jump into the neutral zone to pinch for offense with great explosiveness, and I think this is a very good complimentary offensive piece to add that has come a long way this year, but I'm skeptical of just how high some have him. The development case is there, and I'm more than happy to be wrong, I just think there are a lot of players around this range that bring a lot to the game themselves that puts him in the mix rather than a huge standout.

• #20 | Luke Misa | LW/C | Mississauga Steelheads | Apr. Rank (17)

  I'm still on the Luke Misa train after all these months and I'm still confused why so many have jumped off the bus completely. There are holes in Misa's game. He's all speed, but there's skill and pass vision there that makes him extremely intriguing, even if he's a bottom six energy player. I spoke to a scout who asked "what if he's a Ryan McLeod 2.0", and I would say, I wouldn't draft Luke Misa as high as McLeod, but what's wrong with Ryan McLeod? He's the 16th leading scorer in the 2018 Draft class, was a 2nd round pick and has become a great complimentary energy player for the Oilers in their cup run. If I can get that in the third round like people say Misa may go, I don't see how he isn't at the top of your list. The speed is undeniable, his skill on the fly is high end, and he's able to hit teammates in stride extremely well in this class. His tracked data is excellent across the board. Huge offensive threat creation with a balance between passes and shots, strong shot selection, extremely efficient in good offensive transition data, and one of the best puck carriers I've tracked. He generates offensive zone turnovers at a very good rate, but leaves a bit to be desired defensively in transition being beaten with pressure and lacking the lateral quickness to be a factor. Regardless, I think he's a heck of a player with loads of potential, and likely slips much too far in Vegas. He's exactly the kind of player I bet on, and even if he doesn't hit his offensive potential, can play a strong energy role down my lineup and chip in offensively.

• #21 | Michael Hage | C | Chicago Steel | Apr. Rank (25)

  Skill is the name of the game with Michael Hage. He's determined to battle through defensive layers with a great touch for hitting teammates on the rush with his passing, and is another player with great tracked metrics almost across the board. He's makes plays at a high pace, brings strong playmaking in scoring areas as well as a solid wrist shot that he deploys from both close and midrange. His offensive transition game is strong, balancing all transition types well, but my big question mark comes from his skating ability, where he lacks a level of quickness in his first few steps that leaves him behind in the defensive zone and in defensive transitions, leading to less than ideal results in close quarters. The upside is high, but I would be leaving him in college for a while and working on building up a level of speed to combine with the skill and mindset he already brings.

• #22 | Konsta Helenius | C | Jukurit | Apr. Rank (24)

  I remain a bit cooler on Helenius than many after a tepid U18 tournament and a World Championship appearance that left a lot to be desired. He's a bit higher on my board though after doing a deep dive on the players I have in this range, but just falls short of jumping up a tier. Every time Helenius has played outside of Liiga, he looks like a smart member of the crowd, but never truly standing out in my view. I still think there's a strong floor to his game with great smarts positionally, especially on the forecheck, and using his skill and deception to carry the puck effectively. He was involved in transitions going both ways at a strong rate with great efficiency offensively and above average defensive ability. He's a physical player with a brand NHL teams will value, but I wonder how much he'll be able to impact the game offensively in the NHL with a lower pace, more off-puck centric style of play. It'll be an interesting case to follow for my own purposes in the years to come, but I think Helenius becomes a solid, dependable NHL centre but nothing like what many were claiming for months. We'll see, but I've always felt that he was smarter and more physical than his Liiga competition, and leaving Finland has been a bit of a challenge for him thus far.

• #23 | Igor Chernyshov | LW | Dynamo Moscow | Apr. Rank (16)

  One of the first players I tracked this year, Igor Chernyshov spent the majority of his year with Dynamo Moscow's KHL program and playing somewhat solid minutes in most games. The bulk of my viewings were at that level, largely because he didn't look out of place there at all. Sure a quick Google search might show that he put four points on the board this year, but this is a player with strong fundamentals that should get better as his skating ability improves. He started to figure out a strong positional game as the year wore on and became a pretty impactful 200 foot player at a high level of hockey. He landed solid scoring chances in every KHL game I tracked and brought good dual threat metrics in the MHL. He's big but carries a strong skill level that he combines with his frame to protect pucks well, and off the puck he finds ways to make himself a target. My tracked data on him implies there's a breakthrough incoming with strong transition involvement with solid efficiency, and an offensive threat that puts him pretty high in my history of tracking KHL players. His shot selection is also strong, with very limited volumes from the perimeter and always finding ways to battle to scoring areas. He isn't the most exciting player, but he's effective with diverse talents and I could see him slotting into a number of complimentary offensive roles in the NHL one day.

• #24 | Liam Greentree | RW | Windsor Spitfires | Apr. Rank (12)

  Another player where I have absolutely no clue what to do with. I thought Greentree looked like one of the most fascinating players in the draft before the new year with pretty much everything except skating ability coming out at an extremely projectable level. Dealing with physical pressure, evading forecheckers, generating offense under pressure, all traits you desperately need in the NHL, Greentree has. He's got a good frame to work with, and he just kept generating more and more and more offense on a Windsor team that simply did not have much to work with. As time wore on, I'm not sure exactly what happened and I'd be curious to ask him about it, and I'm hesitant to speculate, but it felt like Greentree was just worn out. There were and are huge issues with his pace of place and skating ability if he's ever going to be a puck possession player in the NHL in transition, but everything else seemed slower. Reading the ice, executing plays, making shooting decisions, all the offensive data took a slide and he looked like a different player. At the U18s, he fell all the way down the lineup and was basically not a factor for the team at the end of the tournament playing the least minutes of anyone in the gold medal game. All is not lost though as through it all there is a highly efficient offensive player with those projectable NHL traits and I could see huge growth in his game in the coming years. He just has weaknesses in some areas that are serious needs in the NHL that to myself and many others need a lot of work, and adapting his game around those improvements is going to be interesting to see. I'm still optimistic which keeps him in this tier, but he's had a strange season and remains a tough nut to crack.

• #25 | Linus Eriksson | C | Djurgårdens IF | Apr. Rank (26)

  In my view, one of the most improved players over the season, I had written off Eriksson back in November after a few games in J20 Nationell, but it wasn't long before he was a mainstay for Djurgården at the HockeyAllsvenskan level, and simply gained more and more confidence and with it more ice time. He was a #1 centre in their playoff run as they fell just short of promotion back to the SHL. He didn't look out of place in that role at all and is a great study of what a rock solid hockey player looks like. He's gained a level of speed in transition that he didn't seem to show much, but the smarts he has around his feet are high end and help elevate others on the ice. There's a physical presence with Eriksson and his offensive efficiency through making himself a target, settling pucks and keeping play moving are high end. The offensive side of the game needs development, especially with his pass vision and threatening playmaking but he has an underrated shot from mid-range and can crash the net well. He captained the Swedish U18 team and you can tell why, as he's a clearly selfless leader that distributes the puck well and plays a style that teammates want to get behind. He may not have first round talent right now in a few areas, but you have the luxury of parking this player on what will be a talented, young pro hockey team in Sweden battling for a spot in the SHL next season, and probably the season after, and in my view he'll only get better from here. He's become a personal favorite that doesn't really leap out at you, but I get the feeling coaches and students of the game will appreciate his game greatly as will his future linemates.

• #26 | Dominik Badinka | RHD | Malmö Redhawks | Apr. Rank (21)

  Another player who grew on me immensely as the year went on, even if he isn't as high as he was in April. That is moreso due to this area of the draft being razor thin with players who all bring similar all-around levels that could play decent roles in an NHL organization one day. Badinka has been on my radar since playing with Jokerit last year in Finland, and this year he sprouted in height a bit it seems, and really improved the raw speed he can generate. He landed on Malmö's pro team after a great start with the junior team and never looked back. Earning a solid middle pair role and gaining more and more comfort as time went on. He's fast, lanky, plays hard, is efficient in transition going both directions, and largely keeps his game simple and effective. Clean, smart breakout passes, quick thinking before his shot attempts to create a lane, and an underrated puck carrying ability to go with it. This is a player whose career could go a number of different directions for an NHL club, with flashes of offence that stick out, but plenty of strong defensive traits stemming from a higher pace of play that I personally love to see in young players. He'll also have the luxury of more seasons playing with Malmö's men's team and I would expect him to be a serious player for them sooner than later.

• #27 | Nikita Artamonov | LW | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | Apr. Rank (23)

  Nikita Artamonov might be one of the most fascinating players to keep track of in the coming years. He had a tremendously productive season for a draft eligible in the KHL, but many have him nowhere close to the first round, if ranked at all, so why? Honestly leaving him unranked is questionable, but this is a hard-working player with great energy in his game and great supportive pass work outside of the offensive zone. My tracked data on Artamonov is quite good everywhere except in the offensive zone, strangely enough with massive offensive transition volumes with good efficiency, making himself a pass target with good positioning and a quick jump into empty space. His shots often come from the perimeter, his rate of shot assists is negligible, he can get erased along the boards even if he's a battler in those situations, and really needs to settle his play down a bit at times to open space and create more offense. At the end of the day, I could see a good penalty killing forward that could compliment other more skilled forwards well, and if he's a second round pick, you could do much worse.

• #28 | Stian Solberg | LHD | Vålerenga | Apr. Rank (30)

  Well it's the flavor of the week as Stian Solberg comes in slightly higher at 27. He had a pretty strong World Championship performance, showcasing his physical and intense style of play to many and has clearly enamored quite a few evaluators all of a sudden. To me, this is still the player I've seen since December/January. A brutal, punishing physical player with mobility and a quick wrist shot but some hockey sense and pass selection issues that may need to be managed. I've heard Radko Gudas about this guy and to me that's a great comparison. How much do you value a great teammate who plays with anger, confidence and swagger that doesn't really take over the ice in every aspect of the game? I can see some teams jumping on a player like that early I guess, but I wouldn't do it. First round pick of some kind? That I could easily get behind, especially when all you hear about him as a person is just how unique and enjoyable a personality he has off the ice. He's a ton of fun to watch, even if his shot differentials on the ice were awful in my tracking. I would put that more on his linemates as that deficiency largely came from their offensive deficiencies, and he was a major factor in whatever offense they did generate, taking 36% of the shot attempts they took while on the ice. Of course he was the most physical player I tracked which carries NHL value too. A player I adore, but not "Draft him 10th overall" adore. Is there a team out there that does? Maybe!

• #29 | Emil Hemming | RW | TPS | Apr. Rank (37)

  I go back and forth on Hemming all the time. As he is now, I don't see an NHL player. In isolated moments? I could easily see a skilled power winger you could stick in your lineup, and maybe as a shot threat on the wings of a secondary power play. He's silky for a lanky kid, with strong pace in his game, and nothing in his game sticks out as bad in my tracking, but nothing really sticks out that would put him extremely high on my board. There's a great wrist shot to rely on, and he's a player that can step into opponents well, generating turnovers quite a few times. He's a very capable puck carrier with good protection skill and vision of rushing lanes to sneak through, but I just haven't seen that enough to really rely on him every shift. All in all he's a solid supportive winger who could do a variety of things just fine, and I could see him become a great player in Liiga in relatively short order with what he already brings. Looking back in a decade, he could be one of the more undervalued players in the draft, or he could just be a guy who nobody really minds but fits into a number of jobs in the NHL. Time will tell.

• #30 | Lucas Pettersson | C | MoDo Hockey J20 | Apr. Rank (34)

  Speaking of tough nuts to crack, Lucas Pettersson. Similar to Trevor Connelly, in terms of pure skill level, he may be a tier higher than this group. Going into this season I had him very high, but after a few games he just kept dropping and dropping. He has the raw talent to be in this tier, and I will admit that the last couple games I saw and tracked were significantly better than those before. The tracked data isn't bad at all, with very solid but not otherworldly dangerous playmaking and shot assist rates, and a very strong set of offensive transition data. When he applies himself, he's a solid offensive playmaking centre with great puck carrying ability and a balanced offensive transition game that doesn't put him in any single lane. The issue is projecting his game to the NHL and not just to being a good SHL forward one day. The pace of his game and physical resilience are question marks that are tough to get over right now. His scoring ability also lacks gusto at 5v5, and leans into playmaking extremely heavily. Part of me thinks he could slip in the draft due to his inconsistency and may slip too far because he still deserves a supportive environment to try to get the best out of him more often.

Tier 4 - Solid Roleplayers and Curiousities

• #31 | Herman Träff | F | HV71 | Apr. Rank (38)

  Another player I've been a fan of for two seasons, Träff bounced around the Swedish hockey world a bit which for me is a delight any time it happens. He looked somewhat slow, plodding and individualistic in J20 but still showcased a great combination of size, skill, power and shot quality that is always intriguing. At the SHL level, he turned into a forechecking nightmare for opponents, showcasing a much more NHL-like game that was more boards centric, heavy, and found ways to chip in offensively in tough areas. In HockeyAllsvenskan, he combined both of these and looked more than comfortable powering up the ice with strong puck possession and determination with a physical edge. I'm not sure there's much more than a bottom six player here but a spot in the middle of the ice on the power play feels possible with his wrist shot and big body that he can deploy well in conjunction. Would I run a line through him? Probably not, but could he play in my bottom six? Absolutely.

• #32 | Topias Hynninen | LW/C | Jukurit | Apr. Rank (28)

  I am remaining on this wagon as one of about four human beings with this guy in the top 50, let alone the first round, and one of those four is my co-host who can't take credit. All eyes are on Konsta Helenius but just go watch this guy for a bit and forget that he's 5'10" for a moment. He just does so many things well that you don't see a ton of in Finland. He's a high energy, high pace player who thinks quickly, has a high end wrist and slap shot I'm desperate to see more of in Liiga, a high end forechecker with a physical side to him, and a level of finesse in transition I'm always drawn to. He's one of the most involved defensive transition forwards in my dataset, playing in a men's league. Even if you see him internationally, a quick Google search puts him at over a point a game at a recent U19 tournament for Finland and appearances on the U20 team through the year. Frankly I'm surprised he wasn't an addition to the World Junior team, but more secrecy for me I suppose. Sure, you can dismiss him by seeing that he's 5'10", but I think that's hasty and an error. Similar to Teddy Stiga, he plays a style of play where he will hear that criticism and make you regret it. He's energetic, highly involved in play, has shown extremely well consistency outside of Liiga this year, and shows very strong flashes at the highest level of Finnish men's hockey.

• #33 | Ollie Josephson | C | Red Deer Rebels | Apr. Rank (36)

  I am pretty sure I have Ollie Josephson too high on my board, but I just love his game so much and his tracked data I've gathered is so strong. I feel as though he's a great breakout candidate in the WHL in the coming years with the pure speed and intensity in his game. He very much reminds me of a bit of a less skilled Brad Lambert, with high end offensive transition ability, underrated defensive contributions, and a selfless attitude that often goes unrewarded. He doesn't waste his shooting opportunities, he generates strong rates of shot assists, they're just often from the perimeter, and is tremendously efficient offensively and defensively in transition. He's a high end puck carrier that doesn't carry the puck much. He's got great stick checking results and wins races to loose pucks far more often than not. He anticipates breakouts well and is rarely out of a good spot. He brings strong rates of both hits and offensive turnover generation. Josephson is a great example of "you're almost there" to me that reminds me a little of my feelings regarding Marat Khusnutdinov in 2020. Not the biggest player, but plays a brand that should slot into an NHL bottom six very well in the future, even if the offense never really develops. There's so much I could gush about with Josephson, and in terms of downside, he does get pushed out of play a little more than you'd like, he's not the most skilled or creative player, but the pure energy in his game might be enough to make up for it at higher levels.

• #34 | Daniil Ustinkov | LHD | ZSC Lions | Apr. Rank (32)

  The name of the game is potential with Ustinkov. First off, the National League is probably the fastest and most skilled hockey league in Europe, and Ustinkov has spent most of the season in a depth role for one of the premier organizations in the league. Zurich doesn't often elevate young players right to the NL, and Ustinkov is less than a month from 2025 NHL Draft eligibility. Yet he was a major role player for the Swiss junior program this year and while he had some mixed results, I saw a significantly more interesting player playing at the highest levels. In terms of downside, his close quarters defending and physical strength need work. Outside of that, I would adore to have the ability to keep in touch and work/develop him into a premier 200 foot defender that can chip in anywhere on the ice. The skating is high end, the skill level is strong, the shiftiness and deception you love to see in offensive leaning players is there, but I find he's often not doing enough with it. At the Swiss League level he felt much more daring and confident and to me it suited him. It took him almost three full games of tracked data in low usage to miss a pass. I wouldn't note such a thing if that were common. He knows how to protect the puck, find linemates and keep things moving. He allowed control on just 17% of defensive entries he was involved in largely with exceptional positioning through his footwork and mobility. Sure he's dropped on my board a bit but that's largely due to him being more one of the pack in this range rather than getting worse, but his international performances also showed me sides of his game that I felt needed some work. That said I'm surprised he isn't getting more attention because I think his details are often great, especially with the puck on his stick and there are flashes of offense that I'd want to nurture a bit as he gains more and more of a role in a great European league in Switzerland.

• #35 | Carter Yakemchuk | RHD | Calgary Hitmen | Apr. Rank (39)

  Carter Yakemchuk might be the defenseman I've sat down and watched the most out of almost anyone. He'll go way higher than this, and I realize that I have him "too low" so save your tweets. I know there's skill there. I know that he can shoot the puck. I am aware of how he generates offense, but the details of his game that actually get the puck into offensive situations are a massive work in progress and that's a major issue to me, especially when we're talking about someone people believe is one of the best defensemen in the entire draft. His actual ability to defend outside of cross-checks in front and trying to erase players along the boards from distance is not there enough, as he bleeds defensive entries and dangerous scoring chances against going for the body and not the puck. The mobility in transition needs work, defensive transition involvement is very low, and while I think he's a very talented puck carrier when barreling forward in a straight line, his passing in transition leaves a lot to be desired far too often. Panic passing, not seeing options in the neutral zone, dangerous decisions in the defensive zone, there are just a lot of issues that other players haven't displayed. The skill level in the offensive zone is unlike many defenders in this draft, but I wonder about the pace at which he's able to stitch offensive plays together and wonder what he'll be in the NHL. As I write this, the Edmonton Oilers are in the Stanley Cup Final, and there are some echoes here to another big, offensive defenseman in junior drafted in the top 15 that has had his fair share of ups and downs in the NHL in Cody Ceci. He can shoot the puck better, but the overall vibe is a bit of an echo to me from what I remember of Ceci over the years. Maybe I'm wrong as heck on this guy and if I am, I'll reflect. I've just seen so, so much and remain very questioning of his placement as a top 15 player.

• #36 | Clarke Caswell | C/LW | Swift Current Broncos | Apr. Rank (46)

  I adore Clarke Caswell's game. He's so, so smart with how he times almost every move he makes on the ice. Finding open ice off the puck, creating open ice with it in every zone of the ice, reading breakouts and stopping defensive zone cycles, it's just wonderful to watch. Pretty much across the board, Caswell absolutely pins my tracked data. Ivan Demidov put together an offensive threat rating of 47 which is ridiculous, but Clarke Caswell was 2nd with 42, which is also ridiculous. 30 is considered high end. Caswell almost gets to 30 through his slot pass attempts alone. These attempts were completed 28% of the time, but there is so much to like with Caswell that revolves around his hockey sense on both sides of the puck. He absolutely needs to work on the skating as many have pointed out but I don't think it's that big of an issue, and the data indicates that if he improves there, he could be an elite player considering how good his output is already. He's over 80% efficiency in transition offensively with insanely strong passing results there combining skill and smarts to find targets and nail tape to tape passes almost every time. I think he's a project, but one that I would happily take.

• #37 | Yegor Surin | C/RW | Loko Yaroslavl | Apr. Rank (63)

  Surin took a while to grow on me this season but the last few games I caught were quite impressive. I'm not sure he's a player that has massive NHL upside but he certainly has the skill level and shot quality to be a threat in the offensive zone. He's stronger than you'd think under pressure, using his body and hands to fight through traffic, but the real value in my dataset comes from his offensive transitions. He juggles all types in massive volumes, almost 50% of Loko's with him on the ice, and while he isn't a true standout with his passing or pass receptions, his puck carrying is great and everything as a whole is very strong. He's also highly involved defensively outside of checking, with very good results in that area as well. He is a physical player along the boards however, causing turnovers at both ends often and driving a strong dataset overall. I could see him going higher than where I have him ranked and I wouldn't be against it, but Surin has shown a lot more the more I've seen him and I think there could be a good middle six player here who can fill a number of roles with a bit of offensive pop.

• #38 | Cole Beaudoin | C | Barrie Colts | Apr. Rank (41)

  I've heard people absolutely rave about him and I can see why, I'm just not on that train nearly as much. He'll likely be an NHL player with his hard-nosed northbound physical game, and I imagine NHL teams are enamored with his willingness to get his hands dirty and be a good teammate that stands up for his peers. That said, his actual game is a little bit too straightforward and simplistic that might be a bit too easy to counter if I'm an NHL pro scouting team. Get the puck, skate it up the ice yourself skating as hard as you can through any and all traffic, put it into the middle of the ice. This isn't obviously always the case, but this is often what's going on with Beaudoin on the ice. It could and should work in the NHL, and I may very well be undervaluing him a bit, but this is a very tight area of the draft and I wouldn't be against adding him to my stable earlier than this if I've already got plenty of skill to work with. Beaudoin doesn't bring everything to the table, but he brings a ton of what he does. High slot pass volumes, high puck carrying volumes, perfect puck carrying efficiency, and a physical edge everyone wants these days.

• #39 | Sacha Boisvert | C | Muskegon Lumberjacks | Apr. Rank (40)

  Boisvert is another player with some very impressive talent in isolated moments but rarely seeing his capabilities often enough to project him to the NHL. I'm a bit surprised to see him so high on some boards but I will admit he's got a mobile and fluid skating stride that he combines with a strong wrist shot that can beat goalies at the USHL level. He's one of the least involved forwards in transition going either directions in my data, often deferring to others and waiting for play to come to him. He does generate balanced offense through slot passing and mid-range shooting, and generated over half of Muskegon's shot attempts with him on the ice, but I still wonder what he's going to be at higher levels. The pace of the game is going to increase and if he wants to play centre, his responsibility is going to get heavier than it is. Luckily, he's a good physical presence as well, and could easily profile as a good complimentary offensive winger in the future. The skill level and puck protection ability needs to improve, and with all the ups and downs and lack of involvement, Boisvert finds him on the fringes of my first round, even if the upside is there.

• #40 | Tomas Galvas | LHD | Bílí Tygři Liberec | Apr. Rank (22)

  Tomas Galvas is just a hoot to watch. Team Scouching doesn't pick after 23rd overall until 121st and Galvas may very well be there at that second pick. He's 5'10" which works against him, and he looks like he's about 140 pounds soaking wet, and plays like it, but boy is this a talented hockey player that could become quite the offensive quarterback projecting out 5-10 years. He's dynamic, shifty, has great edges to find creative ways through traffic, and carries strong pass vision leading to good completion rates in all areas of the ice. Stepping up from the offensive blueline, he can make some high end plays with his skill and determination, often choosing to not simply pepper the net with attempts from the perimeter. The guy is just fun to watch, and sure he's a longshot, but he does so many high end offensive things at the Czech pro level that the stronger and more mobile he gets, the better he'll get.

• #41 | Ryder Ritchie | RW | Prince Albert Raiders | Apr. Rank (48)

  It's been two years and I still don't know what Ryder Ritchie is. Part of me thinks this is a great WHL scorer down the road with better linemates with him, but another part of me wonders if he's always going to be a lower pace, highly intelligent player who simply manages to make things work offensively that may lack some of that jam and grit you'd like out of your wingers. Across the board, everything is perfectly fine. Slot passing, shot selection, transition volumes and efficiencies, raw pass volumes, there just isn't much that really stands out on paper as a good thing or a bad thing. His defensive metrics for me aren't promising, but in my view that's not his job. He's a great positional thinker, finding space and corralling pucks effectively, making smart plays into good areas of the ice, and driving a large part of Prince Albert's offence with him on the ice. If you value smarts and think you can inject some pace and oomph into a player's game, Ritchie goes higher than this. I just have always been somewhat doubtful of that area developing as much as it needs to, and while Ritchie is at his highest point in the year, I still have doubts that keep him from being as high on my board as others.

• #42 | Marek Vanacker | LW | Brantford Bulldogs | Apr. Rank (42)

  Marek Vanacker reminds me of that scene in The Simpsons with Marge Simpson trying to get Bart to bring a potato to school for show and tell. "I just think they're neat", but in a very good way. I don't think Vanacker is a super high end prospect, but there's really nothing wrong with him either. He's got size, he's resilient, times his passes very well and just kept putting great results on the board every game I saw with Brantford. He protects the puck well, gets to scoring areas often, can chain playmaking attempts together from the boards, and was one of the highest volume offensive transition players in the games I've tracked. He catches pucks on the fly with ease, has a projectable style of play, and very little in troubling weaknesses that others in this tier may carry. I'm still not sure exactly what he is in the NHL outside of a complimentary physical forward, but he's one I could be convinced to take higher similar to Cole Beaudoin if my stable already is full of skill and requires a bit of talented beef.

• #43 | Noel Fransén | LHD | Bílí Tygři Liberec | Apr. Rank (33)

  It finally has come to pass that Noel Fransén is getting some attention. Just as that has happened, he's slipped down my board somewhat in the last month. His defensive game in transition is involved but often ineffective, being beaten my faster and more physical players unless he can be directly in front of play or already in forwards motion on his way to the boards to challenge puck carriers with a stick check. That said, the rest of the picture is very, very strong. Solid pass volumes with great completion, extremely high transition involvement in both directions with strong offensive efficiency, and a great ability to pass pucks through the neutral zone. Folks might look at his point totals as an indicator of some kind of elite shooting ability, but while his shot is quite a strong point of his game displaying it with a bomb resulting in his first SHL goal in his first SHL game, but Fransén combines multiple offensive traits together to be a confident and diverse contributor. Pinching up from the blueline to make plays below the goal line, cutting into scoring areas himself, dragging pucks to mask intent and look cross-ice, and using his edges to navigate around defenders well. Even with the issues that others have rightfully pointed out, Fransén ended with very good defensive results in his own end with low rates of dangerous shots against and decent cycle breaking ability. He's likely an interesting swing in the middle rounds more than anything but there's potential for him, especially without looking out of place in his limited SHL time.

• #44 | John Mustard | LW | Waterloo Black Hawks | Apr. Rank (27)

  Ah John Mustard. I have to say that I'm more optimistic about his game than I was a month ago after a few more viewings of him and others simply knocked him down the priority list and became more of a mystery box player that I might swing on after the first couple rounds. I did see a couple games that showcased a much more refined player than what I usually see, but Mustard is often a frustrating player in the same way Kent Johnson was frustrating for me. The capability to be truly special is there, but he just hasn't quite gotten there yet. In his favour, he's a USHL rookie that is a month away from 2025 Draft eligibility that nearly got to 30 goals with his excellent wrist shot and ability to get to the net. That said, his ability to distribute the puck is very, very mixed and his vision of the ice is a big question mark that limits his impact on the ice. He's a real speedster but he never really does much with it off the puck. When he does get moving though, he can absolutely fly, and let shots go in full stride and certainly has individual traits that would put him much higher on my list as my previous rankings would indicate. I do think there's a world where he goes to the NCAA, gets more and more comfortable over the years, maybe even starts playing more centre which I believe he could, becoming an interesting 3rd line speedyboy with an offensive punch, but his game will have to evolve from where it is now in order to get there.

• #45 | Cole Hutson | LHD | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (52)

  Cole Hutson is one of many NTDP players who felt more and more comfortable and projectable as time wore on this year. Hutson was one of the most impressive puck carriers and offensive creators at the U18s for the Americans, with shifty skill, lane juggling at full stride, and pushing deep in the offensive zone to create for linemates. There are still rough patches in his game that could make or break his NHL potential, especially under close pressure on defensive rushes, and opponents can still power straight through him when barreling to the net, but there's more to like than you'd think with Cole Hutson. If I'm being honest, there are moments where I think that Cole's northbound skating and crossovers are more projectable to the NHL than Lane, who relies on trickery, skill and body fakes to generate space for himself. With time, there could be an interesting player here, especially if he is available as late as some are portraying him to go. He's a bet I'd be happy to make in the mid rounds and my read on him is much more positive than it was all the way back in 2023.

• #46 | Luke Osburn | LHD | Youngstown Phantoms | Apr. Rank (53)

  At long last we end up with Luke Osburn at 46. This is much, much higher than others have him, but I'm a huge believer in this guy. I get the feeling he's taller than he's listed, still quite lanky and very young for this draft class. He went from AAA hockey last year to USHL spare defenseman, to top four with a strong Youngstown squad at times touching the top pair, and he earned the chance to say the least. His awareness of the ice is largely great, especially defensively on the rush, stopping breakout after breakout across both lines with calm, patient and intelligent gap management and quick thinking to pass pucks up the ice again. In fact he has some of the stronger completion metrics on his passing for defenders that I've tracked this year. There are some poor moments with the puck in terms of completions, but the ideas he spots are largely good ones. He absolutely needs to get stronger, especially in front of the net as he can get outworked and outmuscled, but there's so much potential. The footwork along the blueline and wrist shot is understated, but he needs to become a better distributor in the offensive zone to unlock the offense that seems to bubble under the surface. Regardless, he brings so much to the table, and I feel as though he'll only get better as the years go by, and a smart, patient team will be greatly rewarded for their foresight with Osburn.

• #47 | Tanner Howe | LW/C | Regina Pats | Apr. Rank (57)

  Another player yet again who is a tough read for me. He's got skill, he's competitive, but often detached from play, especially defensively, but in the offensive zone the talent is undeniable. His slot passing rates are strong, and he creates or takes 48% of Regina's shot attempts while on the ice. There aren't great rates of shot attempts from high danger areas, but he's a talented mid-range shooter with good pre-shot skill who can put the puck in the net here and there. There's a physical element to his game, and I could see a solid complimentary player supporting more pace-y puck controllers with some offensive pop in the NHL one day, it's just a matter of how much value you believe he'll bring in that role.

• #48 | EJ Emery | U.S. National U18 Team | EV Zug | Apr. Rank (NR)

  EJ Emery was another player who really showed what he can do in the U18s for the Americans. He's been unranked for me because his results in a number of areas in my work has been less than ideal. He can be taken for a walk laterally, lose physical battles to smaller, more determined players, and his ability to pass the puck is spooky too often. That said, the skating ability and athletic tools are hard to deny, and the more I talk to others, the more I'm convinced that he at least deserves recognition in a tier that could touch the first round. I could see an effective defensive player down an NHL lineup that could offset a better puck mover or offensive defenseman, but he'll need time to get there in my opinion. Part of the scouting game comes down to how you think they'll develop, and while Emery is already quite the athletic individual, there's a clear off-ice intent to improve and awareness of his issues that teams may find highly valuable. He probably goes before I'd take him, but I see much more of the appeal now, especially after a solid U18 showcasing more puck carrying ability and raw mobility that I don't remember seeing nearly as much of beforehand.

• #49 | Kieron Walton | C | Sudbury Wolves | Apr. Rank (WL)

  This may surprise people but holy smokes did this guy get better as the year went on. I was very, very intrigued by Walton after a strong start to the season, spotting him while tracking Nathan Villeneuve. If we're talking about players with potential for the future, I am honestly very surprised we're not hearing more about him. 6'5", a lanky 200 pounds, really skilled for a big boy, and a lightning quick wrist shot that, while streaky in terms of goal scoring and volume, is impressive when it comes out. He lacks quickness which, I mean look at him, he's huge, so it's forgivable, but compared to the other giant forwards out there this year, Walton is the one that piques my curiosity the most. He can pull pucks into open lanes, drives efficient transition data with a good ability to settle pucks and find space, and with time, there could be a very interesting skilled big boy here for someone willing to take a chance in the mid-rounds.

• #50 | Sam O'Reilly | C | London Knights | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Sam O'Reilly is a good example of a strong meat and potatoes hockey player similar to guys like Vanacker and Beaudoin. He's physical, determined, a battler, and has some moments of scoring skill that are impressive when you see them. I do have concerns about how he'll play his brand in the NHL, but if he gains strength and improves his sense of body positioning a bit, I could see a good checking forward here, and I feel like he'll find his way into the bottom of an NHL lineup somehow. I go back and forth on him every time I see him but watching him in the playoffs and in the Memorial Cup, there is absolutely a projectable floor there that I was undervaluing a bit.

• #51 | Aron Kiviharju | LHD | HIFK Helsinki | Apr. Rank (55)

  I've been a bit of a Kiviharju skeptic going into this season but it doesn't take long to see why he was such a productive player at lower levels. His vision, patience and accuracy with his passing is remarkable. He locks onto targets and executes his plays so quickly and you just have to respect how he sees the ice and distributes the puck. His limited time in Liiga to start the year exposed a lot of defensive issues, and how easy it can be to forecheck him and pin him in dangerous space, but at the U18s you saw a player with a bit more breathing room and saw more of what makes him special. If he can become an extremely high end skater with great quickness and agility, the defensive concerns could be alleviated and he could project as an interesting offensive NHL defenseman, but I believe there's a ways to go for that. I want to believe, I've loved the high end stuff I've seen of him, and he likely gets drafted a bit too late, but he's a very interesting player and his story from here will be one to watch.

• #52 | Nathan Villeneuve | C | Sudbury Wolves | Apr. Rank (44)

  In my view, Nathan Villeneuve is one of the more undervalued players out there. The former first overall selection in the OHL Priority Draft brings such an interesting combination of physical play, high pace playmaking and skill that shows tons of promise and likely requires guidance more than talent development to improve upon. He's aggressive, with great rates of hits and offensive zone turnover generation, gets good body positioning on and off the puck, and can make plays quickly in scoring areas. The only real criticism I have of his game is that he's such a tenacious and aggressive player, but it simply hasn't translated to individual scoring chances much at all. A highly efficient offensive transition quarterback with great skill to move pucks into open space and vision to spot linemates, Villeneuve checks so many boxes and doesn't check so few that I'm surprised he's so low on so many boards. He creates over 50% of Sudbury's offense while on the ice, largely through his passing and shot assists, but he has a shot that could certainly threaten goaltenders that he just doesn't use enough. It's hard to imagine him not becoming some kind of NHL player in a lineup somewhere. Bottom six, physical energy presence? Sure, but I could see more in his future if he gets a bit quicker and more determined to push more play into scoring areas than he does.

• #53 | Kamil Bednarik | C | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (57)

  Bednarik is a highly skilled and evasive forward who can catch your eye at times with some high pace play, and he's always just been a very pleasant player to watch. I'm not sure his talent level is quite enough to break into an NHL Top 6, and I don't believe that he has the physical tools to regress to a bottom six player, but there's upside here. With a few strong developmental years in the NCAA in a great program at Boston University, he could blossom into a talented skilled centre in the future.

Tier 5 - Everyone Else

• #54 | Brodie Ziemer | RW | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (73)

  Another player who brings a high end mind for the game, Brodie Ziemer grew on me as the season wore on. He played the Gabe Perreault role often, being a bit of a lower pace, but highly creative and intelligent puck mover. For stretches he may be stuck away from play with a lack of involvement, but there's such an impressive map of the ice, and ability to push play up the sheet with great timing and vision through traffic. I'm not sure there's a ton of upside with Ziemer, but he's a player that has enough pace and smarts to play with more capable players, and relative to similar players like Terik Parascak who is unranked on my board, I think he brings a more projectable style of play and talent floor that gives me more confidence that we'll see Ziemer playing some kind of complimentary role in the NHL.

• #55 | Jiří Ticháček | LHD | Rytíři Kladno | Apr. Rank (47)

  It's Jiří Ticháček. He had a huge year. He was in the national team camp before the World Championship and unfortunately didn't make the cut, but without him, it's hard to imagine Kladno staying in the top division of Czech hockey. He's being deployed in more offensive scenarios than previous years, and he's still the highly mobile, electrifying player with a wicked slap shot he uses often from the point. There still is very little momentum about him, but I don't care. I still think he's a guy who can buck the trend of undersized defensemen, and if he goes undrafted again, he's a guy I'm all over for a camp invite and building a relationship that leads to an ELC once his time in Kladno is complete.

• #56 | Matvei Shuravin | LHD/RSD | CSKA Moskva | Apr. Rank (66)

  Matvei Shuravin has been all over my list all season long, at one point being completely off my list until recently, but there's something there with this guy, I just am not sure it's a high end defensive asset as he is now. He seemed outmatched with the pace and physicality of the KHL without keeping his game as simple as possible, and he had his fair share of shaky moments corralling pucks and starting breakouts in his own end at every level. That said, this is a mobile defender with great timing on his stick checks when play is coming his way. There are flashes of deception and skill with the puck as well that open ice and create options for himself, and he's a player that remains active in play going both directions. The passing results in transition are poor, however as he can put pucks in the wrong hands and look off options only to send play to opponents elsewhere. Shuravin is a weird one to project, but as a defensive-minded player that might end up down an NHL lineup, I could see something there. Similar to Henry Mews, when considering leaving him unranked, I simply felt that I had other defenders ranked with no more or less potential than Shuravin, but for different reasons from Mews. There's a potentially stable player who may be able push play a bit better than he does with time, and you can bring him along as slowly as you like in Russia.

• #57 | Jesse Pulkkinen | LHD | JYP Jyväskylä | Apr. Rank (WL)

  Hoooooooo boy here's Jesse Pulkkinen. The more I watch him this year, the more I shrug my shoulders and think "you know what, screw it." He's huge with some good skill to go with it, a ridiculous amount of confidence, and some really, really rough moments. He has some really smart and impressive moments with regards to his physical defensive play, using his reach effectively, and quick thinking to pass pucks and move play up the ice. I'm not sure what he is at the NHL level, but he's some kind of hockey player in some way that has his share of highs and lows. Some of the creative, deceptive moments I've seen out of Pulkkinen, especially at the junior level are hilarious and unique, and if he can capture more offensive zone confidence and quickness in Liiga, he could be a very curious case that might have a bit more of a fast track to the NHL in this class considering his age.

• #58 | Veeti Väisänen | RSD | KooKoo | Apr. Rank (55)

  I've gone back and forth with Veeti Vaisanen over the year, and a solid U18 performance only solidified my opinion of him being "huh, he's neat". A really talented and mobile skater, quickly cutting and changing directions, creating new angles and space in many areas of the ice. He generates a significant part of KooKoo's offense, albeit through perimeter shot volume, but there are some shot assists he can generate through his skill and feet. The constant concern is that if there's enough to overcome his size disadvantage to be a difference-maker in the NHL. There's a lot of good, but not great in his game, and to play his brand in the NHL at his size, things have to be great. There are physical moments with him that I noted on many occasions so it isn't like this is a soft player, and the stick checking data is strong, but again, the question is if it's enough to get to the promised land. He should get drafted, and he'll probably go too late. He's fun to watch and brings good raw talent that could grow him into some kind of mobile NHL defenseman.

• #59 | Julius Miettinen | C | Everett Silvertips | Apr. Rank (53)

  I imagine Miettinen will go higher than a late second rounder, as I think there's a pretty safe floor to fall back on if all else fails. He's a guy who you don't notice a ton but he ends up with very good slot pass rates and landing a few scoring chances himself. He doesn't waste his offensive chances and with faster, pacey partners who can carry pucks with him as a compliment on the rush I could see an interesting pivot in the NHL one day. All of his shot assists came from scoring areas, and he plays a simple, but very effective player who positions himself well at both ends of the ice and simply generates results in ways you can see working in the NHL. My concern in the back of my mind is that players who play like bottom six NHLers at the junior hockey level often struggle to actually turn into effective bottom six NHLers, but I'm more than willing to be wrong in Miettinen's case. He's simple but effective and has the size to make it work and I could be convinced to take him higher in the second round if my scouting team really wanted someone like him.

• #60 | Leon Muggli | LHD | EV Zug | Apr. Rank (72)

  Leon Muggli is another player on the list of names who I've seen a ton of, and am still not totally sure what I see or what I think will be there in a few years. He's shifty and skilled with strong vision of the ice, and playing the full year in good usage at the National League level is notable on it's own. He has a solid shot from the point he deploys often with limited shot assist rates and low pass volumes in general. He's not a particularly involved transition player in my experience but is a good example of what I'd call a "turret" player. Smart per-puck-touch player when hit with passes, a strong point shot, and sees the ice well in multiple directions. He had a strong U18 before getting injured which was pleasant to see, and I may be a little low on him, but he's a tough one to project as-is without better mobility and defensive results over time.

• #61 | Fyodor Avramov | LW | Kapitan Stupino | Apr. Rank (43)

  One of the pleasant surprises in the draft class for me, Fyodor Avramov played for the worst team in the best division of Russian junior hockey, and plays a style that translates to North America significantly better than many other players at his level. He drove a ton of Stupino's offense on the ice while playing a physical style that overwhelmed opponents often. There's intensity in his game that comes and goes, but I think with time and experience he could easily capture the necessary effort level to make it work at higher levels. There's a lightning quick wrist shot there as well that can beat goalies from mid-range, and is a highly efficient offensive transition player with a diverse skillset in that area, with elite carrying results and very solid passing data. He's a player on my shortlist for the mid-rounds and I could easily see a player who outperforms his draft slot. It may take a solid 5-6 years in Russia to get there, but Stupino's parent KHL team is in Sochi, and they aren't shy about playing young players as we've seen. I feel Avramov just gets better and better the more consistent he is with his effort level and competitiveness.

• #62 | Miguel Marques | RW | Lethbridge Hurricanes | Apr. Rank (35)

  This is a weird one. Marques has first round talent, that much is not in doubt. I just see a player who has a long, long way to go to get to be a dependable NHL player. The highlights are at times staggeringly awesome, but taken as a whole, there are so many moments you wish you saw more out of him. I've seen words like "lazy" and "soft" applied about him, which I never, ever like to use when talking about elite athletes, but you definitely wish there was just a bit more competitiveness and involvement with Marques, especially off the puck defensively. He's a tough read for me. The data overall is very positive and if someone took the chance on him much higher than this, I could easily see why. The skill level and playmaking ability is tremendous, and he can absolutely humiliate defensemen with fakes and crossovers, but battling through pressure and consistently challenging players is a concern. I like Marques, I want to put him higher, but projecting to the NHL without some changes to the overall approach to the game on many of his shifts is a big question mark, and I know those in the NHL often feel similarly.

• #63 | Matvei Gridin | RW | Muskegon Lumberjacks | Apr. Rank (52)

  Take what I wrote about Marques and copy paste for Gridin. This is a guy who can disappear for huge stretches, cheat for offense, put too much on his own stick and look very difficult to see working in the NHL, but holy smokes in small doses this guy can really play. There's been a lot of talk about Beckett Sennecke's skill, creativity and shot at his height, and I see many similarities in the positive area with a player like Gridin. As a complimentary player whose focus is strictly offensive, he's got plenty to offer, and some of the "oh my" moments this year with the puck on his stick. Establishing separation from opponents, catching pucks at high pace, high skill level and quick evasiveness to generate very strong playmaking data and drive a ton of Muskegon's offense with him on the ice. I can see a very, very good college scorer here, with the NHL being a bit of a challenge, but he, along with Marques are two that I have ranked low but could easily see going higher if you believe in the raw potential in their game.

• #64 | Will Skahan | LHD | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (75)

  Skahan has been all over the place for me going back to last year. He's got a great frame for a defenseman, and moves quite well in a simple way that covers ice effectively and keeps his game calculated and safe. He finds easy targets with his head up and hits them more accurately than many defenders in this class. There's good transition involvement and good success rates, and he can put pucks on net from the point at a solid rate even if it isn't a huge threat. Skahan is a player who keeps it safe and effective, and I could see that trend continuing as he matures both physically and mentally on the ice at college. He's a player I haven't actively disliked at all, but there's nothing that sticks out at a high level, and that's perfectly fine!

• #65 | Henry Mews | RHD | Ottawa 67s | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Mews has been a tough one for me, but after seeing more of him, especially at the U18s, there are definitely players who bring a little less to the game that I have on my list in some capacity. He feels similarly to a player like Leon Muggli or me, where there is a very, very smart passer and creative thinker that can read play and make things happen in motion, but projecting to the NHL is tough. Mews' defending and puck management in the defensive zone are a bit questionable, losing control of pucks and inviting a bit too much pressure with a bit of a lower pace game to him. I don't think the skating level in transition is quite good enough to be comfortable seeing him play a major puck controlling role in the NHL one day either, but that doesn't mean it's impossible. He sees the ice so, so well and can adapt to what he sees in front of him very effectively and drives great results offensively through his passing and puck carrying. I do worry about his defensive involvement and ability to shut down play off the puck, which for a defenseman is a bit of a must at higher levels. He can get crossed up at high speeds, lose track of rushing forwards, lose physical battles and had one of the higher rates of scoring chances against in my work among defenders. That said, he really is one of the higher end creative minds at the defensive position, and is as much a part of this tier of players as any other defender, it just depends on how much you think he'll develop from here, and how much you value what he brings to the table already.

• #66 | Ben Danford | LSD | Oshawa Generals | Apr. Rank (62)

  At various points of the year, Danford has been right up near my first round, and I've seen him ranked in that range here and there. Honestly, I can see why. He's got some flashes of really impressive puck rushing ability, with size and puck protection skill that should project to higher levels easily. He's got good short range passing instincts, able to get involved with his first pass in the defensive zone and jump into a rush from time to time. I do find he has some issues seeing the ice when running a breakout himself and can turn pucks over at a rate that bumps him down my board, and he's a player that doesn't really jump into the offensive zone to create offense much in my work. When he does, I found his shot to be more threatening than I expected here and there. Defensively though, he's a smart positional player, tracking rushes well, closing gaps and getting to loose pucks often to turn play back around. He's got a physical edge and much in the same way as Will Skahan earlier, I can see a lower upside, but NHL-like defender who could chip in down a lineup in the future. If he captures some of his best moments more often, especially with the puck on his stick, there's potential for more.

• #67 | Adam Kleber | RHD | Lincoln Stars | Apr. Rank (61)

  Another player who is a "let's see how he is in 5 years" kind of guy, Adam Kleber caught my eye at the Hlinka Gretzky tournament in September and has had some really impressive flashes of a unique talent profile unlike many in the draft. He's a huge and hulking defender but has a fluidity to his stride beyond his years, and a skill level that pops up here and there that is a ton of fun to watch. I've seen plays of him pinching into the offensive zone, but not much often comes from it. There's a solid wrist and slap shot from the point with Kleber that has generated the solid offensive data he's had this year, but the real star of the show is how effective he is defensively. Excellent stick checking with excellent reach and great positioning ability and awareness of where play is going. He has some of the best shutdown metrics when play is coming his way, translating to good suppression of scoring chances against. If he can manage the puck in a more advanced way, using his skill to create space and hit targets more accurately, and impose himself a bit more physically than he does, there could be quite an interesting defender here in a few years.

• #68 | AJ Spellacy | C | Windsor Spitfires | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Credit to the EliteProspects crew for highlighting Spellacy earlier in the year. There's plenty to like with Spellacy with his solid, tall frame, and remarkable speed to go along with it. There are also strong flashes of skill to pull pucks around forecheckers and blow right past them at high pace. He's a physical presence all over the ice, forechecking well and throwing his weight around often, and there are certainly jobs in the NHL for players like this. I'd like to see a bit more puck control and dynamic play in the offensive zone utilizing linemates well to generate a bit more offense, but he battles to scoring areas and generates chances on his own at a good rate. Highly involved in play in every game I've seen, Spellacy is an all out speedy big guy with a physical edge that could round out an NHL lineup that popped up on the radar late in the year.

• #69 | Ludvig Johnson | LHD | EV Zug U20 | Apr. Rank (WL)

  The more I see Johnson, the more I like his potential. After watching both games he drew into at the U18s, I'm frankly stunned he didn't make the team from the start. He brought high pace, a great skill level and a wonderful sense of positioning in the neutral zone with excellent defensive results. The game tracked was against the Americans, and while his shot differential was awful, he factored into every shot attempt Switzerland took in that game, and when push literally came to shove, Johnson was involved, thought quickly and made smart plays, doing what he could to keep Switzerland afloat. There are so many traits that are almost there with Johnson holding him back from being a truly high end defender in my view. The skill level is great but not quite there enough to get through defensive layers at higher levels, and the creativity offensively is also there but lacks the quickness or shiftiness to create enough space for himself. He's positioned well defensively so often but doesn't have the strength to be a dependable player in his own end just yet. I'm still a believer, and I'm very hopeful we'll see him playing in the pro levels in Switzerland sooner rather than later. Based on what I've seen, a strong offseason of development may find him tested at higher levels, and I'll be keeping a keen eye on him if he does.

• #70 | Jacob Battaglia | LW | Kingston Frontenacs | Apr. Rank (64)

  Battaglia has been a player on my radar since his AAA days with the Toronto Jr. Canadiens, with a great combination of skill, size and puck protection with a great shot that unfortunately comes from low danger areas much more often than you'd like for such a strong player. He brings a physical, hard forechecking style of play that could compliment more offensive leaning names well, with excellent offensive transition results. His ability to catch pucks in stride, find a lane to exploit and get up the ice is excellent, it's just that once the puck is in the offensive zone, Battaglia's ability to finish or create for linemates simply hasn't been there. I think there's great growth potential in his game as-is, just a bit more confidence and puck protection skill to get into scoring areas in the offensive zone are going to be key areas in order to hit his ceiling, but that ceiling is there.

• #71 | Ilya Protas | LW | Des Moines Buccaneers | Apr. Rank (68)

  Big, skilled and adaptive, Ilya Protas has gotten better and better as he gains more and more confidence with a Des Moines team that is adding fun young talent as time goes on. Protas is exactly the type of centre I'd like down the lineup who can receive passes well and often, and has one of the highest pass volumes of anyone I tracked this year, with enormous volumes in offensive transitions through that passing. He can hit targets relatively accurately, and has the habits that give confidence that he'll get better in this area. He's trying to pull pucks around forecheckers, trying to use his body to protect the puck, and thinking creatively under pressure, but the results just aren't quite there yet. He goes to the net in the offensive zone and can create in dangerous areas, with a decent amount of Des Moines' offense coming off of Protas' stick in some way. Leaning more into passing and playmaking than shooting the puck himself, Protas should only improve in this area and might be a nice mid-round pick that could slot in down the lineup in the NHL in the future.

• #72 | Marcus Kearsey | LHD | Charlottetown Islanders | Apr. Rank (49)

  I've come down on Marcus Kearsey quite a bit this season, but I still remain a big fan of what he brings to the game. He's undersized, and the weak points of his game are gamebreakers when under pressure and in defensive coverage. That said, there's so many high level traits I look for in defensemen with Kearsey that make him such an intriguing option if you're looking for a big swing late in the draft. His fluidity in his skating stride and ability to quickly change directions and get to spots on the ice would put him higher on my board on its own as it did early in the year, and I would be urging him to be more confident, assertive and bring even more creativity to his offensive zone play. If his quickness improves when juking off opponents in the offensive zone, he could be a serious threat in the offensive zone, moreso than he already is. He remains a player who completely shines in the neutral zone off the puck, challenging breakouts as quick as they come, covering ice with ease and stick checking with the best of them. He's a major driver of Charlottetown's offense off the point and I think there's potential for quite the offensive defenseman over the long term.

• #73 | Kuzma Voronin | W | Youngstown Phantoms | Apr. Rank (50)

  The concerns with Voronin definitely became more apparent the more I saw him. There's so much talent but is all to often wasting possessions with poor shot selection or blind slot passing that shows well in my database but practically speaking is hard to see working at higher levels. That said, he's still such a tremendously fun player to watch. He's high speed, high skill, and aggressive with better hit metrics you would expect. There's a wicked wrist shot with Voronin, and he does have a high skill level that he can use to add more motion and dynamism to his game. His offensive transition data is outstanding, however. He settles pucks in the neutral zone so well and so easily finds space to work with in transition, with good passing and great carrying results to go with it. He's responsible for creating 37% of Youngstown's shot attempts with him on the ice through all the ups and downs, and might be one of the bigger upside swings you could make in the late rounds. In my view he only gets better from here, but he'll need to see the ice a bit better and accurately find linemates more often to make things work at higher levels. I'm a believer and wouldn't be surprised to see an offensive breakout year in the next little while.

• #74 | Tarin Smith | LHD | Everett Silvertips | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Shifty, confident and effective is the name of the game with Smith, as he can hit targets with his passes in transition and in the offensive zone. He knows how to find targets and pinch up in the offensive zone here and there to create along the half wall. One of the highest totals of zone transitions in the entire dataset, Smith is constantly involved in play going both directions, but my impression is that I'm not sure exactly what Smith is in the NHL, or if he's just going to be a very effective WHL defender with a good AHL role in his future. There's a high end mind that talent development could combine with to create a much more dangerous player as is, but as of right now, if play is coming his way or he has the puck in the offensive zone, he keeps it smart, effective and safe with a heavy reliance on positioning defensively and passing offensively with mixed results in both. I think there's plenty of potential with Smith but his style of play required very high end tools that I think he may just fall a bit short on.

• #75 | Hiroki Gojsic | RW | Kelowna Rockets | Apr. Rank (69)

  Gojsic is pretty simple to me, he's got size, good pace in his game, keeping up with the flow of play effectively, with great forechecking and physical metrics. He finds his way to scoring areas often both with and without the puck, and was the source of over 40% of Kelowna's attempts on net with him on the ice. This is largely down to some perimeter playmaking and a good rate of individual scoring chances, but there's something here. I could see a player who compliments your bottom six well, with the physical tools and an underrated skill level and shot that could provide some offensive pop as well. He isn't a potential gem of a steal at some point in my view, but he's got a great floor to work with and could find his way into an NHL lineup with a few years of development in the WHL and AHL.

• #76 | Harrison Brunicke | RHD | Kamloops Blazers | Apr. Rank (74)

  Brunicke lands at the tail end of the list after a decently strong U18 performance for the Canadians in heavy usage. For a stretch he was off my list entirely with regards to my concerns with his processing of play moving the puck up the ice with inconsistent breakout ability and mediocre passing data, but boy can this guy skate with the puck and get up the ice with great momentum. There's a good fundamental floor to build around with aggressive self-driven offensive instincts, putting plenty of pucks on the net and being a major conduit for the Blazers in strong usage. I do wonder about what he is in the NHL without added quickness in his own end and more consistent reads when breaking out the puck from his own end, but there's enough there to be interested enough to have him on the list.

• #77 | Tory Pitner | RHD | Youngstown Phantoms | Apr. Rank (NR)

  There's a pattern around here in my list. Pitner is just a solid, effective defender. He's a physical player, punishing opponents along the boards, heavy involvement in offensive transitions with very good, safe results through his smarts and short range passing. He lets very, very little through him in the defensive zone and faced very few scoring chances against, thanks to his physical play and a fluid skating stride that allowed him to cut off gaps and get himself involved in play. I'm not sure what his NHL upside is, but a few years in college with some AHL time after could leave you with a defensive player down your lineup that is a capable puck mover and strong physical presence in his own end.

• #78 | Carson Wetsch | RW | Calgary Hitmen | Apr. Rank (77)

  It's getting tiring at this point but Wetsch is just a good "guy". He's got high pace to his game, is aggressive as a forechecker, and generates individual scoring chances in dangerous areas at a very strong rate in my experience with him. Wetsch brings energy to the game but I've also seen some impressive isolated moments of puck movement in the offensive zone and cross-seam playmaking that seemed somewhat uncharacteristic for a player like him. His puck carrying ability has mixed results and his passing is worse, but this is an interesting player with plenty of energy in his game that keeps it simple and effective.

• #79 | Kevin He | LW | Niagara IceDogs | Apr. Rank (NR)

  He's a curious player. Niagara was again a bit of a mess this year, and He was a player who really wanted the puck on his stick often this year. He was responsible for over 50% of Niagara's shot attempts, 35% were off his own stick, with a very high volume of attempts from scoring areas. There was a solid rate of low percentage attempts and He is a player that can be found peppering the net a bit from the perimeter, but it would be interesting to see him in better surroundings with other linemates. He carries a solid amount of speed and skill but it isn't otherworldly, and he projects as a bit more of a pure shooter as-is, but it's a heck of a shot that he carries. I don't think many people are really considering that this is a 30+ goal scorer on a team with just three 20 goal scorers on the roster, and he earned many of those goals in my experience. He's a curious player, and I have no idea where he goes in the draft, but he deserves a look thanks to his offensive potential and existing finishing quality.

• #80 | Dean Letourneau | C | St. Andrew's College | Apr. Rank (76)

  I really wish I was seeing what others see in Dean Letourneau. I've said on multiple occasions that Letourneau reminds me of those 6'4" guys from AAA hockey who come out to community shinny that nobody can touch, even if they aren't the fastest or most skilled guys on the ice. They protect the puck and jam themselves to the net and there's nothing you can do. In my experience, Letourneau is that, but at the Canadian high school level. Yes, he was extremely productive, and it's bordering on tragic that an injury stopped him from more USHL time at the end of the year. To me, he's very dependent purely on how big he is, stronger than his competition and simply going to the net and finishing off plays that Jack Good and others have set him up with. He's an interesting case though, as there are definitely roles for boulders on skates with good hands in tight and scoring ability, but seeing him in first rounds more often than not is a lot of risk considering who is in that range for me. I tracked one of his USHL games and watched the other and he felt more than a step behind play, but made smart passes when given the puck, and there definitely is a good shot to work with from mid-range. Canadian high school hockey is simply not competitive enough for me to be very confident that a player who generates results like Letourneau is worth picking extremely high. That said, he's a curious case that I could easily be wrong on, and would be very curious to see what he turns into.

• #81 | Ondrej Kos | LW | KOOVEE | Apr. Rank (WL)

  Another player who I bounce back and forth on depending on the weather, I loved Kos in the early parts of the season with size, skill, and a lethal wrist shot that caught my attention quickly. Unfortunately some mixed results in the Finnish second division ended with an injury that knocked him out until the U18s, and he looked like a player who had missed 6 months of time at that tournament. He was still quite a shifty puck protector with a great shot on a bit of a disappointing Czech roster and it bumped him back off my watchlist when watching him closely. He's an interesting player with some good physical tools, and you can leave him in Finland to play at whatever level he's comfortable with for a few years and see how things go. I think there's potential, but he's got a bit of a ways to go to catch up after missing so much time this season.

• #82 | Daniel Nieminen | LHD | Pelicans Lahti U20 | Apr. Rank (NR)

  One of quite a few players I was very interested in seeing at the U18 and Nieminen didn't disappoint whatsoever. He's got a ton of skill and creativity, especially on breakouts and offensive zone work, with even strength production that is better than his raw numbers would indicate. I'm not sure he's quite at a projectable enough level to put him on the actual list, but he's a player that could be a solid mid-late round swing if you like higher pace skilled defenders that may need some work off the puck. The intent is there but he can get outworked and outmuscled at higher speeds. He's a curious case with some very interesting traits that I love to see.

The Watchlist

• Samuel Huck | F | Okotoks Oilers | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Over the course of the season I often jot names down to keep in the back of my mind that when setting aside expectations and preconceived notions to check in on once in a while. Covering the World Junior A Challenge this season was a great experience for me and saw some interesting talents I normally don't pay a ton of attention too. Sam Huck was the one I always kept going back to over and over during the year and loving what I saw. He's an August 2004-born forward in the AJHL/BCHL system with production that doesn't blow you away, but he's such an energetic and skilled player with a lightning quick release he gets off in traffic and in full stride. He is the exact player the watchlist is for, and I could easily see him turning heads over time in the NCAA with a solid Western Michigan team. He's tenacious, plays bigger than he is but carries a skill level and pace in his game that could be an interesting project.

• Max Plante | C | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Another player with high end smarts that really impressed me at the U18 tournament a little while back. Plante brought really clever puck movement to the ice on many shifts with plenty of quick thinking and creative moments that definitely showcased a player I hadn't seen enough of going in. He very easily could be a top three round player and I wouldn't be against it, I just wonder how much more you extract out of him with how he generates speed and just how hard he pushes himself to get the results he gets now. Plante is a curious one that grew on me over the year and could be a nice swing that likely has a very good college career. From there, who knows, but he has plenty of smarts and intensity to make things work.

• Heikki Ruohonen | C | Kiekko-Espoo U20 | Apr. Rank (NR)

  It's a trend in this range of the board, getting more exposure to players I have a hard time sorting out and ranking going into the U18 tournament bringing more than I expected. I've heard some be really taken with Ruohonen's game after his U18 performance, and while I'm not as enamored as some, I do think there's a very interesting, well-rounded pivot who can get up and down the ice with really good puck protection skills and body positioning. There are plenty of projectable traits and he can time his passes in transition well, facilitating plenty of offense for the Finnish group. I have no idea where he goes in the draft, and the Finnish junior league is not often a great source of high end players, but Ruohonen projects interestingly with time considering the tools both physical and talentwise on the ice.

• Timur Kol | LHD | Omskie Krylia | Apr. Rank (79)

  Kol has clung to the end of my ranking all year but lands on the watchlist at the finish line. He's a very interesting name for a project to leave in Russia for a number of years in my view. Very lanky with a tremendous shot from the point and some impressive performances at the men's level in Russia as well as internationally. He needs to fill out physically and his lateral skating skill needs to improve, often relying on letting play come to him and getting beaten often on entries, but Kol has some interesting physical tools and has been a mainstay on many Russian lineups the last few years. I could see an effective, lanky and skilled defenseman here that needs to diversify his offensive game, but here and there I've seen some impressive play come form Kol that should be worth a swing in the mid to late rounds.

• Ilya Pautov | RW | Krasnaya Armiya Moscow | Apr. Rank (WL)

  Fun fun fun fun fun is the name of the game with Pautov. I really am not sure if he's an NHL player and he's big tim boom or bust, but he's one of the higher pace, high skill players in the MHL I've seen this year. He uses extremely quick hands and edges to create lanes and space, but this is a player that certainly gets a bit of tunnel vision and can chase offense a bit too often, leading to quite poor scoring chance differentials. That said, he was responsible for 2/3 of the shots that his team took with him on the ice which is notable at least. He shoots the puck a ton with a quick wrist shot but doesn't get to scoring areas as much as he could. His playmaking is largely focused on the perimeter, which all makes his game very difficult to project, but I've had a keen eye on Pautov all year and if he's undrafted may be one to circle back on next season.

• Josh Fluker | RHD | Wenatchee Wild | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Fluker came onto my radar a while back but I totally forgot to take a look until the last few weeks and what I saw out of him was very interesting to keep an eye on. He may not be a player that gets picked in Vegas but the skating ability in all four directions has to be noted in the class. I'm not totally sure there's enough forwards skating quickness, offensive creativity and defensive results to project well, but he's a fun watch that could develop well in a more progressive, mobility minded development program.

• Arvid Bergström | LHD | Djurgårdens IF | Apr. Rank (WL)

  I've popped in on Bergström over the season after having him ranked last year, and I still believe there's some kind of offensive breakout coming for him at the pro level. The defending with strength and backwards skating are still works in progress but with the puck, he's often hugely exciting. Great northbound speed, offensive blueline shiftiness and evasion, able to create shooting lanes and seems to have taken a step in his confidence to try higher end plays. It seems he's going undrafted again, but I do think he's one of the most curious offensive defensemen out there as a re-entry and should be a great watch next year as Djurgården tries for promotion again next year with a young, exciting group.

• Jacob Therrien | RW | North Bay Battalion | Apr. Rank (WL)

  This frickin guy, man. He's a dirty little rat who is all over the ice all the time, playing hard to a fault but has skill and a wrist shot that are serious offensive threats. He was a bit down North Bay's lineup, but I think there's huge growth potential in his game. Ryan Lomberg was an undrafted free agent and I see some similarities there in Therrien stylewise. He needs to advance his offensive game to add more of a playmaking element but the skill and intensity is definitely there to build on. That said, you're drafting him because he's a little jerk who annoys opponents, plays hard, and can rip shots from mid-range better than many players ranked ahead of him. I wouldn't be surprised to see someone take a flyer on him late in the draft, but if he's undrafted I could see him being a much improved goal scorer with North Bay next year and if he makes some headlines for his silliness he could be a nice re-entry case.

• Tomas Mrsic | F | Medicine Hat Tigers | Apr. Rank (NR)

  A few separate WHL-focused folks have highlighted Mrsic over the season and in my limited viewings of him, there were some interesting tools there that could make for an interesting player. He's a quick, determined straight line skater keeping the puck tight to his frame and trying to fight through defensive layers, and there's a heck of a wrist shot there that he's willing to use pretty much anywhere in the offensive zone. A big portion of his scoring isn't coming at even strength, but you can see potential there if his edges can improve to make some more space for himself, and I noted some issues with is vision to prepare and connect on pass attempts. He's a fun player to watch though, and brings some exciting natural tools to the game that in the final weeks and days of preparing this list, left me thinking I had worse, lower pace shooters on my list and that Mrsic deserves a note here. I know others are higher on him, and I would imagine they're more familiar with him than I am, but for what I've seen of him, there are at least interesting tools he can use at high speeds that could be a good baseline to develop around in the coming years.

• Mitch Young | LHD | Sarnia Sting | Apr. Rank (54)

  Mitch Young has been a curious one I've caught a bit late in the season, but I've really enjoyed what I've seen. One of the most highly involved defensement in my dataset when it comes to generating offense, Young is confident, stepping into the offensive zone on many occassions and being a huge source of Sarnia's limited offensive output. He's also one of the most involved transition defensemen going either direction with remarkable stick checking results and using his skating effectively to create passing lanes and cross up forecheckers. Young is likely to have a huge role in Sarnia next year and is certainly on the list of names I'm calling for a camp invite should he go undrafted again this year.

• Eriks Mateiko | W | Saint John Sea Dogs | Apr. Rank (WL)

  Mateiko is gone well before I probably am taking him, but I really like the tools, mind, and potential that he brings to the game. He's a strong offensive zone player with somewhat limited involvement around the ice, but he has a simple but effective game that has driven solid results in my experience. He forechecks extremely well, pinches along the boards and quickly gets pucks to scoring areas, and can find himself gaining good chances on his own well. Mateiko is a player that needs to increase the pace and skill of his game, but the potential is there and he's been an interesting player to check in on over the season both in Saint John and internationally for the Latvian national program.

• Yegor Graf | C | SKA-1946 St. Petersburg | Apr. Rank (56)

  I loved Graf in the preseason, really liked him in the fall, started getting frustrated I wasn't seeing another step in the spring, and now he's just a curious case to track in Russia the next few years. He's slender and a bit of a compact puck carrier who does drive solid results outside the offensive zone but shows so little willingness to attack scoring areas and battle through pressure that would add another dimension to his game. He has a strong rate of slot pass attempts but does so with limited intent, and barely shoots the puck at all, but his offensive transition efficiency is extremely high. He's deceptive and quick on his feet, navigating around the ice well and with what he brings to the table, I could see something there in a number of years in SKA's development program.

• Alexander Siryatsky | LHD | Stalnye Lisy Magnitogorsk | Apr. Rank (NR)

  He's the Russian Henry Mews. Very smart and creative passer with deception around the ice, and some really impressive offensive zone work, but the mobility and defensive results are not great in my experience. He can be passive off the puck, take way too long to make a play and invite way too much pressure, and while he's fun to watch, I think he's one I want to circle back on next season.

• Gavin Uhlenkamp | RW | Madison Capitols | Apr. Rank (WL)

  One of a few players who stuck out to me in the Minnesota high school tournament, helping take his team to their first state tournament and all the way to the final, Uhlenkamp stuck out to me with the potential he showed with Madison after that tournament. An excellent puck carrier with quickness and cuts to get into lanes in the neutral zone, Uhlenkamp can get a bit of tunnel vision in the offensive zone with plenty of slot pass attempts and no receptions on the other end, but he generates huge mid-range shot volumes with great pre-shot skill. A major source of offense for Madison, a full season in the USHL could be very very interesting for Uhlenkamp, and he's on my shortlist for a late round swing.

• Christopher Thibodeau | RW | Kingston Frontenacs | Apr. Rank (WL)

  Christopher Thibodeau ends up on the watchlist as he remains an undersized but determined player adept at gaining body positioning, inside lanes and driving huge results in scoring areas. He's creating 50% of Kingston's shot attempts in my sample somehow, and is a key transition threat for the Frontenacs. Highly involved in play and a skilled forechecker, if Thibodeau were a bit bigger, I could easily see him being much higher on lists. He's a longshot, but he plays an admirable game that has caught my attention for two seasons now.

• Blake Montgomery | RW | Lincoln Stars | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Brother of former draft pick Bryce, Blake Montgomery went undrafted after a quiet season last year but took a huge step forward with the Lincoln Stars this year, falling just shy of the top scorers on the team. Montgomery has a great physical toolset with height, strength, determination and a great wrist shot release he can use from midrange or attack the net with. I haven't seen as much of Montgomery as I'd like, but seeing him with Adam Kleber and Tanner Henricks off and on this year has left me impressed with what he brings to the table.

• Viggo Gustafsson | LHD | HV71 J20 | Apr. Rank (WL)

  I've really liked what I've seen of Viggo Gustafsson, even if it's not the most amazing, high end stuff you'll ever see. He's very young, very lanky, but more skilled than you would assume and has some great reads of the ice to move pucks effectively, and I felt he showed very well on a bit of a shaky Swedish U18 team at the end of the year. The HV71 crop of youngsters was interesting for a variety of reasons this season and Gustafsson certainly stood out more to me than a player like Gabriel Eliasson in my viewings of them. Solid mobility, great use of his stick and his size defensively, smart puck mover on gains of possession, and while he may not be a player at the top of my list in the draft, he's one that I think could have a strong few years of development. Growing more into his frame, gaining a bit more confidence and explosiveness in his skating, there are plenty of areas to explore with a player like Gustafsson and I'll have an eye on him for a while from here.

• John Whipple | RSD | U.S. National U18 Team | Apr. Rank (WL)

  John Whipple has had an understated season compared to what I expected after last year, and Whipple is a player that continues to simply not even begin to scratch the surface of what he seems to be capable of. He brings a fluid skating stride with good lateral mobility and a decent level of skill that he combines with a strong view of the ice with the puck. The defensive metrics for him are excellent, and the intent behind his play with the puck is there, but the execution isn't. Whipple is a potential college free agent perhaps rather than a draft pick but he has an interesting future ahead of him with the right guidance in my view.

• Oskar Vuollet | W | Skellefteå AIK | Apr. Rank (80)

  Go fast, shoot hard. That's the name of the game for Oskar Vuollet. I find that the pace of his game ratcheted up in his limited time in the SHL. He played with aggression, quickness, and has a ton of finishing skill that he was willing to deploy often. In fact likely too often, as there just isn't enough distribution skill and playmaking in his game to project him to higher levels confidently. There are interesting traits here and he may have a ways to go, but I imagine worse players likely get picked if he isn't taken.

• Jamiro Reber | F | HV71 J20 | Apr. Rank (WL)

  Jamiro Reber is so fun but falls short of being a projectable player in my view. I still can't ignore what he brings to the table with great straight line speed with good skill at high pace, with great efficiency in his carries offensively. There are just so many instances where he'll have a great possession but get absolutely nothing out of it. He has the advantage of age and will have plenty of chances to gain more experience playing internationally as a key '06 for Switzerland. There are plenty of interesting traits, it's just a matter of putting them all together in the coming years and gaining more confidence in the offensive zone.

• William Nicholl | C | London Knights | Apr. Rank (WL)

  I'm a little bit surprised more aren't sniffing around on Will Nicholl with London. He barely played minutes on an extremely strong team, but I found him impressive when I caught him this year. High energy, high pace with some really great skill moments cutting into scoring areas and showcasing creativity to adapt to pressure and move pucks around the ice effectively. With numerous Knights likely graduating to the pro level after this season, I would expect Nicholl to have a jump in production next season with more ice time and better linemates with a strong offseason of development. The mindset and approach to the game is there already, the skill level and skating ability are very good but not quite at a high enough level to be a player higher on my list, but I've really, really liked what I've seen of him and could see him being a sneaky good pick in the NHL Draft should he be selected. If he isn't, I would not at all be surprised to see him higher on my board next season as a re-entry.

• Brittan Alstead | LW/C | Des Moines Buccaneers | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Another standout from the Minnesota high school tournament this season with some bright flashes with the Des Moines Buccanners, Brittan Alstead is a quick, agile and skilled undersized winger that seemed a step behind processing the USHL level, but showcased some really interesting moments that left me thinking there might be an interesting offensive player here after a full season at that level. Alstead had problems reading the ice, often crossing up his linemates and taking strange routes both on and off the puck. He could put a ton of risk on his own shoulders and skate directly into a turnover, but the pace of his game is strong, and similar to Uhlenkamp, showcased a good ability to make quick cuts and quick skill moves to get himself to scoring areas and create offense for himself. He often wasn't very involved in rushes going either direction, with play often needing to come to him rather than him pursuing it himself, but he was efficient when involved. He's a compact player without a ton of reach so pure speed and agility are going to be paramount for his development, but I could at least see a skilled, exciting offensive college player here who has been an interesting one to watch for me since catching him in high school this season.

• Tanner Henricks | LSD | Lincoln Stars | Apr. Rank (NR)

  Another raw but highly intriguing player I caught a few times this year, Henricks' point totals might not jump out at you, but in my view he's still feeling out and getting used to the USHL and playing a more conservative and cerebral brand of defending to this point. There's skill here, and some strong moments of deception in transition and great positioning defensively, he just needs to fill out. He's a wiry, lanky player but the potential is there if he can get a bit more explosive and confident in the offensive zone to create some passing and shooting lanes to help elevate others a bit more and put some points on the board. Henricks is a player I might not draft until the later rounds, but if your team does, don't be disappointed because there aren't many points there. If he goes undrafted I wouldn't be surprised if he takes a jump in the next couple of years offensively, and I get the feeling that at least one NHL team feels similarly and he'll hear his name called at some point in Vegas.

• Joel Abrahamsson | LW | HV71 J20 | Apr. Rank (WL)

  A player who caught my eye many times watching HV71 this season, Abrahamsson is a tall, lanky, but impressively skilled forward who stuck out more than I expected in limited usage. He dominated the U18 circuit with a goal per game over 20 games, and for his usage at 5v5, produced well at the U20 level in Sweden. He's a powerful, determined skater, attacking defenders one-on-one with pace and skill, and there were some isolated moments that were really, really impressive. There's a very interesting development case here for Abrahamsson and I would think he should produce well in an elevated role next season, perhaps even earning an SHL call-up at some point if he fills out, gets a bit more intense off the puck and applies his size defensively more than he does. He's an exciting player especially as an individual generator of offense, and with time there could be an interesting power forward in Abrahamsson.

• Josef Trojna | LHD | Rytiri Kladno | Apr. Rank (NR)

  The last name on the board is another Marge Simpson with a potato player. He's neat. Yeah, you look at Trojna's production in the 2nd division of Czech junior hockey with Kladno and may wonder what the hell I'm doing, but I watched every minute of him when he earned a call-up to the Czech top division and was really intrigued with what I saw. He's got size, still has room to grow physically, but skates very, very well relative to what I expected and has some skill that just hasn't quite all been put together to drive results as well as it could. Granted, the jump from the 2nd junior division in Czechia to the top division is... large. He seemed physically outmatched defensively, but not much worse than other pro defenders I've seen, his shot and offensive zone play largely isn't a threat yet, and there isn't enough gusto behind some of his passes that can lead to turnovers, but there are great tools here with Trojna and you can see why he earned a few games at the top levels of Czech hockey. This isn't a player I'm drafting, but he's on this list largely so I don't forget about him, and I'm hopeful that he can earn quite a few more games at the top division next season to see more, and hopefully see some growth and confidence in his game.

Goaltenders

1. Eemil Vinni - Mid 2nd

2. Evan Gardner - Late 2nd

3. Mikhail Yegorov - 2nd-3rd

4. Carter George - Mid-Late

5. Ryerson Leenders - Mid-Late

6. Ivan Yunin - Mid-Late

7. Vladislav Bryzgalov - Mid-Late

8. Kim Saarinen - Mid-Late

9. Teodor Munther - Late Flyer

10. Martin Neckar - Late Flyer

11. Kirill Zarubin - Late Flyer

12. Nikolai Nikulshin - Late Flyer

13. Pavel Moysevich - Late Flyer

14. Simon Wolf - Late Flyer

15. Dawson Cowan - Late Flyer

16. Kam Hendrickson - Late Flyer

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There we have it, a year of work done. Thank you so much for all the views, likes, subscriptions and discussion both private and public. This is a slog of hard work, and I still am left leaving plenty open to fate in the next few years. It’s a pleasure to share my views and work with everyone, and if you’re interested in joining the community and supporting what I do, click below to get subscribed to the site where you’ll get exclusive content, access to a Discord server, exclusive datasets and more depending on the tier. If not, that’s all good but be sure to subscribe to us on YouTube, Twitch, Instagram and Tiktok, and give us a follow at Scouching on Twitter! Thanks so much, and if you see me in Vegas, be sure to say hi!

2024 IIHF World U18 Championship Recap

Well fellow draft nerds and hockey fans, another year in the books for the Under-18 World Championship and what a spectacular tournament it was. At the top, the Americans and Canadians dominated as expected, but everywhere else was absolutely filled with surprises. Kazakhstan’s young team winning their first ever game at this level and scoring 3 of the 7 goals Canada allowed in the round robin were huge bright points, but barely getting relegated against another young and promising Norwegian roster ended their tournament in a thrilling shootout finish sending them back to Division 1A. The Slovaks, the youngest team in the tournament, shocked a Czech team with a few players expected to be drafted in the top 50 in the NHL Draft this year, earning their second surprise semifinal appearance in a row. The Finns beat the Latvians who lost to Norway but beat the eventual fourth place Slovaks who surprised the Czechs who surprised the Swedes who barely scraped up a win over the Swiss. Got all that? Essentially outside of the top two teams, it was a bloodbath of craziness.

The real story of the tournament to me was how impressive the 2025 and 2026 NHL Draft-eligible players performed here. Gavin McKenna and Porter Martone formed a dominant pair with Malcolm Spence being a great talent on the Canadian roster as well and Kashawn Aitcheson providing rock solid defense when called upon. James Hagens and Logan Hensler were dynamite, with Hagens breaking the scoring record at this tournament and showcasing himself once again as serious consideration for the 1st overall slot for next year’s draft. Even beyond the biggest names, the 2025 NHL Draft eligible and beyond Slovaks led the way to a second consecutive medal round appearance which I certainly did not expect, and L.J. Mooney, Victor Eklund, Matthew Schaefer, Adam Benák and Daniels Serkins all performed very well and ended up on my preliminary watchlist for next season if they weren’t there already. The future looks bright for many countries here and it’s always a pleasure to see what’s coming beyond this upcoming draft.

In the end, the two best teams got to the end of the tournament and battled it out, with Canada gaining the upper hand after a poor start against the relentless Americans thanks to a silly major penalty from Trevor Connelly that ended their tournament. On the whole, there weren’t a ton of 2024 NHL Draft prospects in this tournament that completely changed my opinion of, but the stage was beginning to be set for the 2025 and 2026 Draft on multiple teams. The teams down the standings were young and energetic, and the teams at the top were relentless and insanely talented, but let’s dig into each team and some key takeaways.

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• 10th place (Relegated) - Kazakhstan - MVP - Abzal Alibek

  The Kazakhs had a very different looking roster than the team that earned their placement in the top division in 2023. Largely coming on the back of Ottawa Senators draft pick Vladimir Nikitin, all but one player from that team joined the roster in Finland. They were one of the youngest rosters in the tournament with 8 potential returnees, so their status as underdog was earned. In reality, Kazakhstan really showed well throughout the tournament. Sure, losing 5-2 to Switzerland and 7-1 to Sweden isn’t a great start, but they shocked the Czechs and earned their first ever win at this tournament in an overtime thriller. Of course an 11-3 loss to Canada is a drubbing, but considering Canada only allowed 7 goals in the round robin and the Kazakhs snuck in 3, that seems like another win to me. At one point they were tied! If you can set aside the scores in these games, there were some really impressive moments to take home for this group.
  
  Unfortunately, another thriller ending in a shootout loss to Norway relegated them back to Division 1A, and their young roster will have to battle their way back into the 2026 tournament. They deserve a level of credit and attention regardless, scoring more goals in the round robin than Switzerland and the Czechs, looking like a team trying to make a statement, playing with surprising speed and strong intensity that rewarded them often.

  Abzal Alibek was the name that stood out to me, but may players performed much better than expected. He had an ability to skate with the best in the tournament, on and off the puck, finding routes and lanes to get through defenses and showing a great release that landed him on the scoreboard a few times. He had points in all but one game they played, and seemed just as big a threat as any of the top forwards on the Czech and Swiss teams in their games. The team was a committee of solid players, but Alibek was the one that jumped out to me the most.

• 9th Place - Norway - MVP - Mathias Dehli

  Kazakhstan might have been the team I was hoping Norway would be, but the Norwegians came out with a strong tournament themselves, staying in the top division after a tremendous relegation win in the shootout. Their youth provided good supplemental offense with Mikkel Erikson and Niklas Aaram-Olsen leading the way, but there was strong talent up and down the roster that may not have been able to keep up with the higher end teams in the tournament, but had enough skill to keep themselves in the top division. Their goaltending was subpar, and while a .841 save percentage isn’t great, facing 40+ shots per game is a heavy workload at this level. The positive to take away is that while Norway is losing a skilled, pace-y player in Elias Vatne, they have quite a few strong players eligible to return next season and perhaps take a step into the quarterfinals if all goes well.
  
  Mathias Dehli literally stood out to me with 3 key goals in the round robin and 3 key assists in the relegation round. His size made a difference for Norway with strong pace in his game, landing him in scoring areas offensively when Norway got there. His performance against Latvia tilted things in an extremely important game for them as they fought for a quarterfinal spot. Dehli was a great foil off the puck for the smaller, more skilled players he shared the ice with, but he came away as a name to keep an eye on.

• 8th Place - Switzerland - MVP - Christian Kirsch

  The Swiss were a funny bunch in this installment. Some of the names on their roster have been players I’ve seen in passing and gone “huh, neat!”, but very little in the way of threats that could challenge the best in the tournament. That said, they kept themselves in the top division thanks to a win over Kazakhstan, and very nearly upsetting the leaky Swedes in overtime. They only managed to score 8 goals in the whole tournament, but there were some strong performances worth noting.
  
  Basile Sansonnens was the strong, dependable defender with plenty of range with his skating and reach, closing gaps, challenging rushes and keeping play outside of scoring areas well. He’s been a player I’ve popped in and out on over the year and might be an interesting player to monitor as he ages and fills out. You can see why he wears a letter for his country with how much he solidifies a team of speed an intensity. Jamiro Reber was another talented player who showed up and was about what I expected. He was a tremendously fast and skilled player who as clearly relied upon heavily as a key puck transporter and play creator, but he often seems to struggle to actually produce once the puck gets to the offensive zone, overhandling and skating himself into the boards and losing possession. A player with loads of potential but a ways to go, he came away playing a ton but getting no production out of it.
  
  Losing Leon Muggli after a strong first few game was also a serious gut punch for the Swiss. Muggli was showcasing his confidence carrying pucks through the neutral zone with skill and deception, and some good finishing ability that landed him one of Switzerland’s few goals. While other defensemen rose to the occasion without him, there’s no telling what they may have been able to do with a bit more firepower on the defensive end of their offense. On that note, Daniil Ustinkov continues to perplex. On one hand, you see the potential of this player. He’s mobile, intense with his skating, pushing defenders back and using skill in stride to mess with the feet of opponents and creating gaps to get shots through. You would be remiss looking at his stats thinking he deserved to be anywhere near the top few rounds of an NHL Draft, but he’s a player of potential. Yes, he’s not a physical stopper of a defenseman just yet, and his pass selection is often very safe, understated and reserved, but he shows a good release from the point, he can quarterback a power play, and he transports the puck up the ice well, most projectably so through his passing. He can delay, see the ice properly and hit targets easily, but you always are left wanting a bit more out of him. More confidence to step into scoring areas himself, more quickness to explode out of skill moves and challenge defenders more. I’ve said all season that he’s the best boring player in the draft, but there are signs of more. He’s extremely young for the draft class and while I was expecting more out of him here, he was still Daniil Ustinkov.

  Ludvig Johnson managed to find himself in the lineup replacing Leon Muggli, and I’ve had Johnson in my back pocket all year. If you ask me, his dynamic skill and remarkable skating ability should have been on the roster from the start. Sure, his performance against the US National Team wasn’t great, but that was by far his biggest test of the season after spending much of the year in the Swiss junior league. He landed a secondary assist on his first shift of the tournament against Sweden and showed extremely well as a puck mover and offensive zone possession player. I’m still not sure anyone is paying attention about him, but I’ve seen enough of him that him being the last name selected if you have a bunch of picks and seeing what he is in four years might not be the worst idea.
  
  Through it all, Christian Kirsch got my MVP nod. The team as a whole played strongly by committee, similar to the Kazakhs, but Kirsch was solid, even if the numbers don’t back that up. He was facing down some tough chances against some very good teams with three of Switzerland’s five games coming against Canada, the US, and Sweden. There were some big key saves at key moments, and the games against Sweden and the States could’ve gone quite differently had he seriously struggled. They weren’t a great team, but they surprised a few teams in a few key moments and stayed in the top division once again, which is always a nice win.

• 7th Place - Czechia - MVP - Adam Benák

  How do I describe the 2024 Czech U18 experience? Disappointing perhaps? The Czechs brought a handful of potential NHL Draft picks, including a few that could go quite high, but pretty much everyone struggled to continuously get the upper hand on their opponents. Yes, losing to Kazakhstan is embarrassing on it’s own, and losing to a young, weaker on paper Slovakia roster is also not great, but a shootout win over the Swedes is something to note! I struggled a bit to really see who the standouts were on this roster though. There were some good talents, but it simply didn’t seem to come together in a cohesive way to get them to a medal game. Adam Jecho and Max Curran certainly were… big? I still think that those two are “draft them for the size and cross your fingers” players to a point in the draft, but they did make somewhat of an impact with Jecho leading the team with three points, including two key even strength goals, but I can’t help but think there should’ve been more there from so many players.
  
  Jakub Fibigr showcased his mobility but really struggled to control possession of the puck and seize the role as a premier transporter. Ondrej Kos hasn’t played in months, and the skill level I’ve seen in the past was certainly here with good finishing ability, but he was sticking to the perimeter and taking low percentage shots on extended possessions that simply won’t lead to offense against good teams here. Tomas Galvas was his shifty self, but it seems like he was trying to do too much with the puck, too much with his feet, and struggled to gain enough separation to make offensive plays like he needs to in order to be effective. Petr Sikora has flirted with my list all year, but the more I watched, the less curious I was considering his lack of strength and projectable offensive tools, and he struggled to be a serious even strength threat at this tournament. I did enjoy watching Tomas Poletin who had some good skill and showed some potential for better output when he’s eligible to return for next year. Captain Adam Hlinský also deserves a shoutout for his literally pointless but important job in this tournament. He’s never been known as an offensive creator, but it wouldn’t surprised me to see an NHL team take a swing on him late. He leads through dependability on the ice with good mobility, hard work, good body positioning to cause turnovers, and quick, easy, basic thinking to move pucks up the ice. There’s enough skill to create passing options, and there’s enough talent to move play in the right direction one pass at a time, and on a team that lacked a level of cohesion, Hlinský showed up and did what he could to change that.
  
  The one name I was firmly set on and paying attention to was Adam Benák. He’s small, but he’s a dynamite player. Constantly in motion, constantly hounding puck carriers, driving possession up the ice on his own stick and really taking leadership of the transition game for the Swiss. Other players brought some brawn and strength that is desperately needed when Benák is on the ice, but it doesn’t take long to see why he’s already playing hockey in the Czech top division. Super skilled, high energy, not entirely focused on offense, there are plenty of good things going on in his game that bodes well for his future in the 2025 NHL Draft, and I’m hoping he can grow into a vital producer for this team next year.

• 6th Place - Latvia - MVP - Mikus Vecvanags

  Over the years I’ve come to see Latvia as a kind of mini Finland. They bring teams that on paper shouldn’t be quite as strong as they turn out to be. This team was a surprisingly pace-y, energetic group with some flashes of skill and finish through the lineup. They were the youngest team in the tournament, and kept themselves in almost every game. A 3-1 loss to Finland, a 5-3 win over Slovakia, a nail-biting 5-3 loss to Norway, and a pesky and annoying 4-0 loss to Canada with goaltender Mikus Vecvanags standing tall through it all. The key takeaway for the Latvians is that this was their most productive tournament at this event since 2015 scoring 10 goals with a 2007-born player leading the team in scoring.

  On that note, while my MVP went to their goaltender, Daniels Serkins was a player that came out of nowhere or me to showcase some impressive finishing ability both in open ice away from the net and in front. The Latvians had some speed and physical play in their lineup, but Serkins was a key name in the offensive zone with some highlight moments, including a great snipe on the rush against the Americans. Not bad for a 16 year old playing second division junior hockey in Switzerland.
  
  I always enjoy watching the Latvian roster. They have a bunch of players coming out of Riga’s main hockey school, but they bring together players from all over Europe and are always a selfless, hard working group that punches above their weight class. From my very basic recon work, the Latvian program looks like it should have a strong 2025 roster with some key names returning. Unfortunately they will lack goaltender Mikus Vecvanags who was the second busiest goaltender in the tournament behind Kazakhstan’s Tanirkhan Alpysbayev but he stood strong, almost maintaining a .900 save percentage on a nearly 40 shot workload. He stopped 34 of 37 against eventual champions Canada and looked good doing it. He bailed his team out with 12 key saves on 12 shots against Norwy, and backstopped them to victory over Slovakia. Sure, 6 goals against the US isn’t ideal, but this is also an American roster that popped 9 against Finland, so that’s a plus. It’s tough being a goaltender for teams in this tier, but he’s one I’ve had my eye on this year leading into this tournament and while he wasn’t spectacular, he did more than enough to keep his team in the top division and kept their elimination game somewhat close in the only way he could.

• 5th Place - Finland - MVP - Tuomas Suoniemi

  It was another frustrating tournament for the Finns who have just one bronze medal to their name since 2018 and three quarterfinal losses instead. 18 goals in the preliminary round is respectable including two shutouts against Slovakia and Norway, and their quarterfinal game against Sweden could easily have tilted their direction, but frustrating is certainly the word I would use to encompass their performance.

  Seeing Aron Kiviharju in action was fascinating for me, seeing as his play at the highest levels has left me wanting when projecting him as an NHL talent, and he was still Aron Kiviharju in this tournament. Great puck skills, a great mind for moving pucks through his passing, especially on the power play, and limitations with his skating that left him behind defensively, especially on the rush and shutting down defensive zone cycles. I have a couple of his games downloaded to track and will be interested to see how his deeper metrics look and if my eyeballs are tricking me, but he came in and showcased both the pros and cons of his profile.
  
  Everyone and their dog is probably interested in Konsta Helenius and I’ve already gotten a few questions about how I felt about his performance, and my response is pretty simple: He was Konsta Helenius. He’s a player who doesn’t carry a ton of pace, doesn’t carry gamebreaking skill, but certainly has all the smarts in the world to time his passes and find targets, but he and Kiviharju’s production was seriously limited to Finland’s power play. Going into the tournament, I was much lower on Helenius than most, and after a lacklustre World Junior and now an okay U18 performance, I still don’t see many reasons to put him up as the top European available as some have portrayed. Five of his seven points came against Slovakia and Norway, with just one point against the US and Sweden, He still projects well to the NHL and you can bet on the smarts, but the question is where in the draft do you do so?
  
  My MVP pick could have gone to a few names, including Kiviharju, but I was really pleasantly surprised by a few names on the roster. Emil Hemming refreshed my memory of his potential as a powerful winger with pace and a great shot on the rush with flashes of skill you love to see at this level. Daniel Nieminen skated well, controlling possession well and defending with his feet, and Joona Saarelainen was a real standout as well that I wasn’t anticipating with his separation speed, scary pace to his offensive zone cycles and a shot he wasn’t afraid to use. The most impressive all around player for me was Tuomas Suoniemi. Six even strength points, including a key assist on their only goal against Sweden dishing the puck to Kiekko-Espoo teammate and fellow impressive player Heikki Ruohanen. He was cutting into scoring areas and daring to push play and generate offense. He’s an undersized skill player that gives me echoes of Jere Lassila from a few years back.
  
  It was a tough tournament for the Finns, but there were some good supplementary performances down the lineup that are worth taking another look at before the NHL Draft.

• 4th Place - Slovakia - MVP - Tomas Pobezal

  What the heck was that? Who are these guys? I gave the Slovaks very little credit going into the tournament, and depending on the game, they alternated between what I thought the were, getting shut out by Finland and Sweden, and looking energetic and skilled with an 11-1 win over Norway and a shocking 3-2 win over the Czechs. Another one of the youngest rosters in the tournament with eight potential returnees, they were absolutely fascinating to watch. Luka Radivojevic looked dominant controlling play on the power play, and fellow 2007’s Tobias Tomik and Tomas Chrenko also had strong tournaments pushing the pace of the game and using skill and lead the offense. In fact, all four of their top scorers were 2025 and 2026 draft eligible players.

  Of the 2024 NHL Draft class on the team, to me it was an eye-opening experience seeing Miroslav Satan Jr. He is on stilts out there standing 6’7” with about the same amount of weight on him as a 155 pound 6 footer. There is plenty of room for growth but the speed he carried himself with was absolutely insane. It was about all he brought to the table but the potential is hard to ignore. He wasn’t a great physical player, relying on soft stick checks and getting turned around and left behind often, but it’s going to be hard for NHL teams to leave a player this tall, this fast, and this curious completely off the board at the draft. He may be a home run swing, but this is a guy who has some high end traits in his game while also being a giant.
  
  My MVP goes to the guy I was most excited to watch going in, Tomas Pobezal. Barely ineligible for the 2024 NHL Draft, Pobezal has been a mainstay on international ice for Slovakia. Scoring 4 of their 14 goals is nothing to scoff at, making great reads in transition defensively and bursting into scoring areas, including a gorgeous drive to the net against Norway. Sure all of his goals came against Norway, but he was a serious offensive piece for the team with his all-around quickness between his feet, hands, and shot leading the way for the plucky Slovaks who once again outperformed, earning their second medal game spot since being promoted to the top division in 2022.

• Bronze Medal - Sweden - MVP - Lucas Pettersson

  I hate throwing around the word disappointing, especially as a not particularly talented hockey player myself, but Sweden was a weird team that didn’t quite live up to expectations. I felt that this team could quietly find their way to a medal, and while they did win the bronze, they won just two games in the preliminary round for the first time in a full length tournament since 2017, with only one regulation win. The last time that happened? 2015. They barely beat the Czechs and Swiss, squeaked out a 2-1 victory over Finland, but put up a heck of a fight in their game against Canada. The only problem is they were down 4-0 at the first intermission, making the rest of the game about as uphill a battle as possible, ultimately losing 5-4. There were a lot of very okay performances from many of the players, and quite a few of the key names have only just emerged from SHL and HockeyAllsvenskan playoffs. Losing Alexander Zetterberg who was a key cog in their power play was a hit, and there didn’t seem to be enough to fill the gap he left. Goaltender Love Härenstam was a name for me to watch going in, and when push came to shove, he struggled, allowing 5 goals on 26 shots to Canada, and another 5 in the opening game to the same team on just 25 shots. Every other game against weaker competition though, he was excellent, capping everything off with a shutout against Slovakia to win the bronze. He’s eligible to return next year, and a .953 save percentage against everyone except Canada isn’t bad.
  
  I felt Linus Eriksson improved as the tournament went on, as did Viggo Nordlund who both brought good puck distribution ability and smarts at both ends. Victor Eklund was pushing the pace of the game with his combination of energy and skill leading the way in goal scoring. Of course, my eyes were firmly trained on Alfons Freij, and I came away feeling absolutely no different. Sure there were shaky moments against more physical and speedy competition with his pass selection and evasion on the rush, but boy can this guy play. He was creating chance after chance, using stick checks effectively to cause turnovers, and in my view was Sweden’s best defender and probably the best defender to not be on my all star team.
  
  Lucas Pettersson was the player of the tournament for me. Sweden struggled to consistently generate offense, especially against speedier teams, but Pettersson was a huge factor in generating the high energy offense needed to win at the highest levels. His confidence is arguably his strength as well as a downside at times, but he was attacking scoring areas hard, and had key scoring moments including points on all three goals in the OT game against Switzerland and a point in their 2-1 victory over Finland. There are ups and downs to Pettersson and I’m fascinated to see where he goes in the draft and how his career pans out.

• Silver Medal - USA - MVP - James Hagens

  Another year, another dominant tournament for the American national development program. They scored 33 goals in the round robin, slicing and dicing through every single team they played, emphatically punching their tickets to the gold medal game with lopsided with after lopsided win.
  
  An excellent performance in the gold medal game went unrewarded unfortunately, with a Trevor Connelly major penalty in the third period handing Canada the tying, go ahead and insurance goals, but they started that game firing on every cylinder outshooting the Canadians significantly leading into the fateful third period. Every line and every pair showed strong abilities, whether it be Cole Hutson’s puck control and creativity, Brodie Ziemer’s vision and complimentary playmaking, Cole Eiserman’s laser bombs, or Teddy Stiga’s limitless energy, they were terrifying almost every shift right up to the very end. It was pleasant seeing L.J. Mooney at this level after some impressive viewings here and there during the season. Playing up an age group, he didn’t look out of place with a hilarious amount of quickness and energy that found him zipping and zooping around the offensive zone and forechecking through the neural zone against anyone. They got great goaltending, strong neutral zone defense from EJ Emery, John Whipple and friends, and some absolute monsters leading the way up front.
  
  Cole Hutson was another standout with an impressive showing of puck rushing ability and offensive creativity that drove play significantly. He’s been a player who has steadily improved in my eyes over the year, especially with his play on the puck and how he manages his rushes. He’s making strong plays without taking on too much risk, reading multiple options on offensive zone entries, and all-in-all looking like a more and more projectable version of his archetype as time goes on. There are some downsides to his game off the puck, but he continues to impress more and more every time I see him.
  
  Speaking of which, did everyone meet James Hagens yet? Well if you haven’t, go watch some of the highlights of this dude. I’ve had some doubts in the past with Hagens’ pace and footwork but I didn’t think much of it considering the skill level and smarts he brought. This tournament only solidified just how talented this player is and how special he could be. He was relentless. He generated turnovers, he immediately made plays, he scored himself from range and in tight, he shipped pucks up the ice effectively through carries and passing, but above all, he was a tactical master at this level. He seemed to read defensemen as well as you could at full speed, and his awareness of teammates, cleanliness of his passes were top notch. Every game, he was a factor even if he was held scoreless in the loss to Canada. It was an excellent tournament for Hagens and he certainly cemented himself on this big stage as a premier talent for next seasons NHL Draft.

• Gold Medal - Canada - MVP - Gavin McKenna

  As expected by many, the Canadians and the Americans met in another gold medal matchup this season. Pre-tournament, Canada appeared to be one of the most interesting and talented rosters at this tournament in a while for the powerhouse. The future of the sport was showcased in spades featuring Malcolm Spence, Matthew Schaefer, Porter Martone, Kashawn Aitcheson and the star of the show, Medicine Hat’s Gavin McKenna. It was a coming out party for McKenna, scoring 20 points in 7 games, including 10 goals, many of which were highlight reel material, and from start to finish was a creative force in every game. He uses his skill so well at just the right times, and sliced through defenses time and time again. He’s eligible to return next year and I can only imagine what happens if that comes to pass. It was a tremendous tournament for McKenna with very few meaningless points thrown in there. He was a tidal wave of offensive creativity creating space from defenders with his edges and skill, threading passes into scoring areas and following up on chances himself. Credit to Carter George as well, who put on an astounding performance to lock down the gold medal game, capping off a 6-0 tournament and made the saves he needed to make at every turn.
  
  The entire lineup just blew everyone out of the water, even when the ridiculously talented top line was off the ice. Tij Iginla led the way with his intensity and diverse offensive toolkit with his wrist shot release finding the net almost once every game, he showcased his playmaking side and pushed opposing defenders into oblivion. Harrison Brunicke ate minutes in almost any situation, making strong defensive stops and adventuring into the offensive zone off the puck on cycles to push for offense. He and Kashawn Aitcheson put on a good show of principled, solid defending and got the puck up to the skilled players in the neutral zone. Cole Beaudoin also deserves attention as a key forechecker and pace-pusher, driving pucks up the ice with strength and power, finishing checks, and being a big reason why Canada found themselves physically pinning opponents in their defensive zones. They played with discipline, they played with structure, and were rewarded for it with another gold medal for the trophy case.

Will’s All-Star Team and Awards

Gavin McKenna - James Hagens - Porter Martone
Cole Hutson - Harrison Brunicke
Carter George

MVP - Gavin McKenna
Top Defenseman - Cole Hutson
Top Goalie - Carter George

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2024 IIHF Under-18 World Championship Preview

It’s that time of year again! The 2024 IIHF World Under-18 Championship is a must-watch event for any NHL Draft nerd such as myself. Scrappy, skilled teams giving everything they have to put a cap on their junior seasons before the big weekend in June, doing what they can to make an impact on the limitless NHL scouts and managers that will be in attendance. For a team like the USA who have played all season together, this is their pinnacle and this season is no different. This iteration looks to be a huge toss up, especially in the middle of the field as many teams are bringing rosters that are strong in key areas but may lack some depth. Switzerland, Finland, Czechia, and even Norway are bringing impressive talents to the table and could make a serious impact at just the right time.

This tournament is a great tool for evaluators such as myself to see their understandings of these players put to the test against their own cohort. To a point, the U18s are a great way to see if the strengths and weaknesses you may see are as much of a factor as you believe them to be when put in a best on best junior hockey situation. Pro players in Europe are back playing junior competition, standout junior players in smaller countries are put up against the best young talent in the world, and players from teams that may overinflate or deflate their perceived value are given a chance for a fresh start and a new perspective. Going and changing your rankings a tremendous amount at this point, or overthinking great and poor performances on the scoresheet in this tournament is a dangerous game, however, and it is always important to remember that any player born in 2005 or from Russia/Belarus are not eligible to be here and don’t receive the same chances that those in this tournament get. There’s plenty of room for biases to kick in, but sticking to the lens of curiousity and open-mindedness has been the right path forward more ofthen than not.

As usual, you can check the embedded sheet in this piece to track the standings, the rosters and all your favorite players in one spot so be sure to keep this open as you watch the games and pick your favourites! As a note, NHLeS is a position, league and age adjust measure of a prospect’s overall value as they are. Generally 20-25 is a baseline for first line production but it is only a guideline and certainly not a rule.

Kazakhstan - NHLeS Average Unavailable - Ranked 10th

Player to Watch: Svyatoslav Yevplov - D - SKA St. Petersburg U16

Last season, Kazakhstan was promoted largely on the back of Ottawa Senators draft pick Vladimir Nikitin who backstopped the team to the championship with a 1.50 GAA and a .936 SPCT. He is not eligible this year. Neither is his backup. In fact there is only one returnee from last season’s team in Roman Bolshedvorsky and he was not a particularly effective defender at the MHL level this season. Many of these players are coming from the junior league in Kazakhstan which is essentially impossible to project into this tournament, so I have no idea how to evaluate their NHLeS metric. I honestly have no clue what to expect from this team, but what does intrigue me is that 8 of these players could be back next year, with one eligible for 2026s installment. All but one of these are playing lower level junior hockey in Russia. Could these be the names that surprise us and put on the list for the next three NHL Drafts? Potentially, because the 2007s don’t bring a tremendous amount of promise. They’re underdogs to say the least, and my hunch is that they’re bringing a very young team to prepare them for a likely Division 1A placement next season that can work their way back in down the road. Going from the Russian U16 level to the Canadian U18 team for 15 year old Svyatoslav Yevplov and his fellow kids would be quite the eye-opening experience to learn from. I’m always interested in the extreme youth that mid-level nations sometimes bring to these tournaments, especially if they’re playing in better nations, but I’m not expecting a ton from this inexperienced Kazakh roster lacking the key player that brought them here last season.

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Latvia - NHLeS Average Unavailable - Ranked 9th

Player to Watch: Darels Uljanskis - D - AIK U20

Speaking of youth, Latvia is bringing the youngest team to the tournament on average with three 2026 NHL Draft-eligible players on the roster in Olivers Murnieks, Martins Klaucans and Karlis Flugins coming to Finland. From what I’ve seen of the players on this roster, I don’t think Latvia will be a team to be trifled with. Darels Uljanskis is always a shooting threat on the power play, what I’ve seen of Karlis Flugins has been excellent in Sweden and he may be one to make an impact in this tournament as well. The name I am truly interested in is Maksims Haritoncevs, however. With 25 goals in 22 games with Swedish juniors-only program IFK Täby being fed pucks by current 2026 NHL Draft darling Viggo Björck, he earned himself a transfer to Mora IK where he has performed well, working his way to U20 competition for a game. He’s a shooting threat with some good skill and could be a major part of the team’s potential success. This is likely going to be a team that will need some stellar goaltending however, and I’m not totally sure who is going to be getting the nod in net. None of them have been tested internationally for this team all that much, and while I’ve liked what I’ve seen of Mikus Vecvanags this season, the Latvians will be in tough to match up in their group and are likely to be battling Norway for a quarterfinal spot. There is plenty of room to set the stage for the future of Latvian hockey, however with some interesting younger names like Murnieks and Flugins who could catch some lightning in a bottle if things break their way.

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Slovakia - 5.12 Average NHLeS - Ranked 8th

Player to Watch - Tomas Pobezal - C - HK Nitra

After a few very strong teams at this tournament, I’m not sure this Slovak roster quite holds up to those previous iterations. There are some serious bright spots, let most notably by Tomas Pobezal, and 2026 eligible Adam Nemec, brother of Simon has been impressive in the limited pro hockey I’ve seen him play. There are some players that I’ve caught and enjoyed here and there in Adam Belusko and Pavol Prokopovic but there isn’t much in the way of elite talent that makes this team competitive. Miroslav Satan’s gigantic son Miroslav is going to be here and I’ve always had time for the lanky, fluid skating big boy, but my expectations for the team are somewhat limited. That said, this is a group where a large chunk of them have played together at some point this year and last for extended periods with the national team program, which can give you a bit of an advantage in short tournaments, but this is going to be a tough battle for this group of players. They have a bit of an easier trip by avoiding Sweden, Canada, the Czechs and the Swiss, but my expectations are pretty reserved.

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Norway - 8.53 Average NHLeS - Ranked 7th

Player to Watch - Mikkel Eriksen - C - Vålerenga U20

If there’s a country outside the top echelon of nations that I am bullish on, it’s Norway. They managed to stay in the top division last year over Germany, bolstered by 2005-born Stian Solberg and returnee Elias Straume Vatne and looked like they deserved it. Four players return from last year’s roster, and at least three of them should be key cogs in the machine this year. The really interesting thing about Norway is their serious talent at the younger end of things. Five players are eligible to return next year, Niklas Aaram Olsen eligible for the year after that. From what I’m told, Aaram Olsen is a serious talent to keep an eye on. For me, Mikkel Eriksen has impressed whenever I’ve seen him and was a bit disappointed to see him leave Sweden to play with hometown team Vålerenga midseason. He was simply dominant at the Norwegian junior level and in the limited time I saw at the pro level, he didn’t look out of place. Nephew of Norwegian legend Espen Knutsen, I’m very curious to see what the youth of Norway can do. On top of that, Elias Vatne could be a player who reminds scouts in person that they shouldn’t completely forget about him. He’s rambunctious, highly skilled and zips around the ice extremely well and may be the most entertaining player at his best to not be ranked on my draft bord for 2024. He should have a serious role for this team as he did last season. In a group with Slovakia, Latvia and Finland, the Norwegians could surprise people and set the stage for a strong few years for junior hockey in Norway, hopefully reviving a hockey federation that has been struggling politically and financially over there. There’s a bright future here, and while Marcus Walberg is going to be very very busy, he did just turn away 27 of 29 shots in two periods of work in a 4-3 overtime loss to, excuse me while I check my notes, Canada.

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Switzerland - 7.57 NHLeS Average - Ranked 6th

Player to Watch - Jamiro Reber - C - HV71 J20

The Swiss team this year is not to be looked over with some strong areas that should keep them in contention to perhaps challenge for a quarterfinal upset. Is it likely? Probably not, but with names like Leon Muggli, Daniil Ustinkov, Jamiro Reber and a strong trio of goaltenders who could steal a game here and there. The middle of the roster is also quite impressive as I’ve enjoyed what I’ve seen of Robin Nico Antenen’s well-rounded skill-forward game with plenty of pace in the tank. Basile Sansonnens’ production may not jump out at you but he’s been a solid defensive presence both in Switzerland and internationally. Reber is going to need to be the quarterback of the whole show however. In my viewings of him he’s been an excellent transition presence, getting pucks up the ice with great efficiency and being a pesky defensive presence off the puck, but actually generating offense under pressure and creating space for himself with the puck have been a challenge for him in Sweden and his success is likely Switzerland’s success here. Luckily they have some weapons to deploy on the power play that may be able to keep Switzerland hanging around. Leon Muggli’s shot from the point as well as his timing and vision are key factors for this group, and Daniil Ustinkov always brings the shifty skill and creativity to his power play time that you don’t get to see nearly as often in an offensive situation at 5v5. Does this team come home with a medal? I would be stunned, but this is a team that may be able to hang in there in an elimination game and hold back much better teams while chipping away at them with their offensive pieces on the roster, especially with strong goaltending from arguably any of the three that they’ve brought.

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Czechia - 11.72 NHLeS Average - Ranked 5th

Player to Watch - Tomas Galvas - D - Bílí Tygři Liberec

The Czechs are always a bit of a tricky team to project. They often bring strong teams that may not immediately look like they match up well against the top end teams, but they always put forward an effort that puts them right there with them. This year’s iteration of the roster is a strong one in my opinion. Sure, Adam Jecho and Max Curran are probably going to be names people will first look at with their hulking frames and impressive moments of skill and thinking under pressure, but the rest of the roster is peppered with players who have impressed me this season. Adam Benák may be small, but the guy is electrifying. He pushes defenders onto their heels, challenges them, isn’t afraid to chase after his own chips into the offensive zone, and has been a serious offensive catalyst that earned time in the top pro division in Czechia. Not bad for a 5’7” 2025 NHL Draft-eligible. Tomas Galvas has been a favorite of mine, even if his NHL upside may be somewhat of a question mark. He’s agile, dynamic, has creative vision on the ice and certainly puts in the necessary effort defensively that should work just fine at this tournament. I was also legitimately very unhappy when Ondrej Kos was shut down for the season after a pretty strong first few months playing 2nd division pro hockey in Finland with KOOVEE. He’s big, highly skilled, and gives me echoes of what I remember of Jani Nyman a few years ago. Plenty of tools to be a strong power forward with some real high end moments and a quick release that should be a threat, especially if he’s out on the power play. Jakub Fibigr is coming off a great year with the Mississauga Steelheads as a defenseman who leads with his skating and patience with the puck, and while I’ve had some mixed viewings of him this year, he’s still got plenty of great tools that should showcase well here, and he should be a great supplementary offensive weapon behind Galvas for the Czechs. In my view this is a team that certainly could surprise people a bit and work their way to a medal performance with a balanced lineup with some pop at the top. That goes doubly if Matyas Marik can put up numbers like what he’s done in Czechia this season.

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Finland - 12.1 Average NHLeS - Ranked 4th

Player to Watch - Aron Kiviharju - D - HIFK

Remember one of the cardinal rules of junior hockey: Never underestimate the Finns. Ever. If there is a country that somehow manages to find a way to win, it’s Finland, regardless of who they put on the roster. This season they seem to have brought quite a strong roster with some serious names in consideration for the 2024 NHL Draft. Of course, all eyes will be trained on Aron Kiviharju who has missed all but 7 games this season and is playing his first competitive hockey since October, and in my view, this tournament is a major point of interest for me to see if his relatively weak performance in Liiga is something to be legitimately concerned about. Veeti Väisänen will bring mobility and skill to the defensive side of the game, and there should be plenty of physical play to go with him in Emil Hemming, Joona Saarelainen and others. Up the middle the team is led of course by Konsta Helenius, coming off of an excellent season in Liiga donning the golden helmet a number of times at the pro level. Daniel Nieminen is a name I’ll have my eyes trained on specifically, though. The skating and skill combination are intriguing and he’s found himself on my list at various points this season, currently sitting on my watchlist for the 2024 NHL Draft. It’s a high profile tournament for him to showcase himself, but his international performances have been strong to date. Up and down the lineup there are players where I’ve gone “huh, that was neat” a number of times when seeing Finland play internationally. Mitja Jokinen, Natan Teshome, Markus Loponen, and Aatos Koivu should ring some good pace to the team even if many lack a certain level of finishing ability that could put this team over the top. Taken as a whole, this is a strong group at the top and should contend for some hardware if things break right, especially with someone like Konsta Helenius being a key focal point for the roster at both ends.

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USA - 16.83 Average NHLeS - Ranked 3rd

Player to Watch - James Hagens - C - U.S. National U18 Team

The US national program is often favoured significantly in this tournament every season, but this year I have them a bit lower. This is largely due to just how evenly I see these top three teams. The NTDP roster is deep, and loaded with well-rounded high IQ players with an elite finisher in Cole Eiserman, who I expect will have a feast here, especially on power plays. I’m partially hoping Teddy Stiga has a coming out party, but selfishly I’d prefer him to keep flying under the radar. The defense group is deep and well-rounded, and I’m certainly looking forward to how Logan Hensler performs as he goes into his NHL Draft season next year. There are a lot of similarities to Sam Dickinson in my view and I am imagining that he will be taking the reins a bit here. Trevor Connelly is the only non-NTDP player on the roster but it shouldn’t take long to see why. I’ve found his play with Tri-City to be very individual and a bit ham-fisted, but regardless he was extremely productive and you should be able to see why very quickly here. Fast, skilled, resilient and above all else, confident, Connelly doesn’t shy away from challenging defenders and goaltenders and should be a key offensive weapon for the Americans. Another name I was pleasantly surprised to see here is L.J. Mooney. He’s a very small guy and a 2025 NHL Draft eligible player, but he’s just a lightning bolt out there with tons of skill and a high fun factor that should be an interesting watch. James Hagens may very well be the star of the show, however. The skill level he brings, combined with the smarts and timing with his playmaking are high-end, landing an assist per game this season to go with his 30 goals. While I’m not totally sold on “#1 Prospect for Next Year” status, I can’t see him being much further back and he should be a key cog on the American roster this year. While they may not have the unbelievably deep and skilled offensive roster they have had in years prior, they should have no problem going toe-to-toe with anyone while blowing out some of the smaller teams down the standings.

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Sweden - 15.91 Average NHLeS - Ranked 2nd

Player to Watch - Alfons Freij - D - Växjö Lakers HC J20

There is a lot of hesitation in the hockey community about the 2006 class of Swedes but I’m not sure it’s as bad as portrayed. There is plenty of depth and very little in the way of weaknesses here. They have size and strength up the middle in Jack Berglund, and Hugo Orrsten, they have skilled playmaking in Viggo Nordlund, Alex Zetterberg, Lucas Pettersson and Victor Eklund, and defensively have a bit of everything as well. I look forward to Gabriel Eliasson being an insufferable jerk out there in a good way, even if he’s unranked on my board, and Felix Öhrqvist brings almost the polar opposite as an undersized, zippy and skilled offensive defenseman. The Växjö boys should be serious stars of the show though, and while eyes will likely be on Leo Sahlin Wallenius, I’ll be firmly trained on Alfons Freij. This is the biggest test he’s faced, and he’s been absolutely fantastic almost everywhere on the ice in every game I’ve seen, with NHL-projectable offensive skill and playmaking for a defenseman, or at least the kind of offensive defenseman that I’d be looking for personally. Viktor Eklund, brother of William is also here, and he along with Linus Eriksson have had excellent showings in HockeyAllsvenskan playing together. With intensity up and down the ice and remarkable smarts and positioning at any pace of play, especially with Linus Eriksson, they only continue to help round out a talented, balanced and relatively deep Swedish team that can go at it with anybody in the tournament. On top of it all, don’t look away from Love Härenstam in net. He has been excellent as a 2025-eligible in J20 Nationell this year and could backstop this team to a gold medal if he keeps up his level of play that I’ve seen this year.

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Canada - 21.54 NHLeS Average - Ranked 1st

Player to Watch - Gavin McKenna - F - Medicine Hat Tigers

Canada often brings a somewhat lower quality team to this tournament as the CHL playoffs are ongoing and some players choosing to heal minor injuries or take some time off before the NHL Draft and Combine. This season seems different, even if they’re missing some key names. At least up front and in net, this roster looks stacked. Up and down the lineup there are just so many names that should be able to take over shifts in this tournament. Cole Beaudoin, Tij Iginla, Marek Vanacker, Carson Wetsch, Liam Greentree and Porter Martone are physical, resilient and determined players who can make an impact in all areas of the ice. Roger McQueen brings a solid power game with good finishing ability, and Ryder Ritchie, Jett Luchanko and Malcolm Spence bring intelligent offensive tools to the picture that should supplement everyone else well. In net you have the highly touted duo of Ryerson Leenders and Jack Ivankovic with Owen Sound’s Carter George, and while I’m partial to the Mississauga boys based on my viewings, any of the three should be strong options here. Defensively, the Canadians should at least have enough there to prevent dangerous chances against and move pucks into the neutral zone with strong efficiency. Harrison Brunicke gets around the ice well with solid shot-first offense, Henry Mews has great vision with the puck on his stick, Charlie Elick will try to ride the line between taking penalties and committing murder, with the rest of the group being younger and a little less refined but showing plenty of promise. I’ll be very curious to lay eyes on the 2025-eligibles, especially Matthew Schaefer who I’ve really enjoyed when watching Erie this year. Of course the star of the show to many will be Gavin McKenna. I’ll admit that I think the hype train on him is a little bit out of control already, he’s still an extraordinarily skilled and confident playmaker with strong finishing ability on his own. If he can avoid being too pressured physically which is where his game fell a bit short in my viewings, he could be a serious offensive threat here. Regardless, he’s the player on this roster who sits #1 in my NHLeS in the entire tournament, and has all the skill, creativity, vision and confidence necessary to be a hugely impactful player here. To me, Canada just brings a tsunami of offensive pieces across the spectrum of how offense can be generated, with a physical side to them that should still manage to keep them out of the box, at least as the tournament wears on. The defense group may be young, but it may not matter a ton with the talent elsewhere in the lineup and they at the very least sit in the top tier of teams in this tournament with the USA and Sweden.

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Will’s All-Star Team Predictions

Forwards - Gavin McKenna (CAN) - Tij Iginla (CAN) - James Hagens (USA)

Defense - Alfons Freij (SWE) - Cole Hutson (USA)

Goaltender - Love Härenstam (SWE)

Scouching’s Penultimate 2024 NHL Draft Ranking

It’s that time again folks. NHL teams are being eliminated from playoff contention and legions of fans flock to people such as myself desperately hoping that their team selects boys who hopefully turn into men that help their not-good hockey teams become less not-good. We don’t have all the answers, but as the Fremen of Arrakis exemplify, sometimes all you have is hope, and hopefully I can provide some of that. It’s just too bad there’s no such thing as the Water of Life… What at least this overcommitted analyst has, is hundreds of games of player performances logged and data tracked, and thousands of games archived from generations past to reflect on and carry forward, and combining the data and video in the storage server can hopefully give you the guidance you’re looking for.

Various hockey leagues around the world are well into their playoff seasons, and with the Under-18 Championships coming in a few weeks, another quick cross-section of the 2024 NHL Draft Class is necessary. Plenty has changed, but my views on many players are solidifying, the takes are heating up, and I’m more and more ready to party when the time comes in Vegas. The 2024 NHL Draft class is certainly an interesting one. While I still believe this isn’t the deepest most loaded pool of players out there, it is definitely one of the more intriguing ones, full of players that will live or die by their development curves. So many players are so talented in certain subsections of the game, but show non-projectable traits in others. Some are balanced, but may not show enough to play a given role in the NHL down the road. Some are supremely talented but need to rely on that talent to get by, while others are supremely intelligent, hard-nosed players who PTFG (or, Play the F***ing Game for the uninitiated) but seem to lack the oomph necessary to drive serious results in the NHL without significant role creation and line construction strategy. Does that make it a “bad “ or “weak” draft class? Absolutely not. I’m not in the business of telling children their dreams won’t come true after all the work they’ve put in. There are players 'I’m skeptical on who may have a longer list of to-dos to work on, but that is a very different concept than their talents weakening the draft pool relative to other years.

On the whole, I’m on the record stating that this year’s draft isn’t a one-horse race to me. In fact, looking back at many recent drafts, you could argue that almost any recent draft isn’t a one-horse race, and drafts like 2023 are the exception rather than the mean. Beyond my first few names on the list, the draft opens up significantly. There are some players commonly ranked quite high who I frankly just think are much more part of the mix, largely because of the concerns around their deficiencies, but they certainly aren’t ineffective. In the mix with them are some highly intelligent and hard working names that might slip through the cracks. It doesn’t take very long for me to respond to the “who shoud we draft” question with “well, I don’t know, what do you value and how do you want your NHL team to play?” and there being a pool of about 40 players to pluck a name from. Past that, I dunno, just take the guys who you like and pray to Lisan Al-Ghaib. Who am I looking for? Players who drive results, put defenders on their heels, and make their linemates lives easier. If they end up and energy forward or a defenseman going out there and plugging holes for 12 minutes a night? Great! I always work from the perspective of NHL playoff hockey and the required traits there and work backwards. Not “who cross-checks the most per 60 minutes” but more, who can you pat on the back to go over the boards, and know you’re getting a 100% competitive effort out of them to play hard, play fast, play as a team, and score some god damned goals, even if you have to get greasy or clever to do it. All of the above is ideal, but past a certain point, I’m looking for players who do not sit back, do not rely on opponent mistakes and rely on their own compete level and their ability to drive play out of their zone and into the offensive zone, with actual offensive output being a nice bonus. Size to me, is not nearly as much of a factor. It just changes the necessary equation of what a player needs to do in order to be successful, and that goes at both extreme ends of that spectrum. Hopefully that helps you sift through and understand my logic a little more.

At this point you probably want me to just get to the dang list of children so fine, here we go.

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Tier 1 - The Puppeteer Quadrumvirate

The first tier is pretty broad, but when all is said and done, these guys all could bring some amount of comparable value. Celebrini is of course the top of the heap and the name I’d be calling first, but losing the lottery is not the disaster some fans paint it out to be, at least not this year. All four of these players bring unique, high potential styles of play that any team would be happy to have more of.

• #1 | Macklin Celebrini | C | Boston University | Jan Rnk (1)

  What’s old is new again, and Macklin Celebrini remains at 1 on my board. One of the most well-rounded players at the high end of a draft in a while, Celebrini just goes out and plays really strong hockey. He times his plays well, chips in defensively in useful ways, and just knows how to score in a variety of ways in projectable areas of the ice. He’s a very strong shooter, but his playmaking goes hand-in-hand in many ways. He’s precise and surgical, intense, and shows great potential, especially if he gets a bit quicker to escape pressure more effectively. He’s likely at 1 in June, and whoever gets him is likely getting a great building block, if not a player you build a franchise around.

• #2 | Ivan Demidov | W | SKA St. Petersburg | Jan Rnk (4)

  Up from 4th, Ivan Demidov is now the 2nd player on my board. I just love tis guy. The skill level is elite. The confidence is beyond elite. He slips passes into scoring areas at rates that is higher than anyone I’ve tracked and he absolutely deserved to play tougher competition than the MHL. In my tracked data he’s off the charts and absolutely dominant. If you like fun, Demidov is your guy, and he’s improved on his ability to get up the ice quickly and make plays faster than he was when his game was a bit more problematic. In my view this is going to be the key to his future success, and how he adapts to better competition is going to be the do-or-die side to Demidov’s NHL game. If he can be an elite-level distributor with good timing and using his confidence properly, the potential is nearly limitless.

• #3 | Berkley Catton | C | Spokane Chiefs | Jan Rnk (2)

  This category was named The Puppeteer Quadrumvirate and nobody exemplifies this better than Berkly Catton of the Spokane Chiefs. Catton is a quick-thinking skilled centre who has a brilliant feel for the game, pushing and pulling the puck into open lanes, changing directions and pace to create important space to work with all over the ice. I don’t see him being as much of a goal scorer as his 50 goals might indicate, but his playmaking ability is undeniable. He’s a player who makes everyone around him look better, and pairing him with finishers will help them put production on the board that they need. He is one of the most enjoyable players in the entire draft that may lack the physical presence many bigger players may have, but his tactical and surgical approach to the game is hard to ignore. He’s a smart defender, but play in his own end is an area of potential improvement. His sense of timing is strong, but he can be caught too still to be much of a factor, and his physical play is not a strong point. His benefits come as a forechecker and quarterback in offensive transitions. He’s efficient, clever, and is the kind of player I’d always be looking to add.

• #4 | Cayden Lindstrom | C/RW | Medicine Hat Tigers | Jan Rnk (3)

  Lindstrom has finally returned for the WHL playoffs after missing over half the season, and he doesn’t seem to have missed too much of a beat. Lindstrom is the total package of tools and will be a very interesting player to track over the years. He’s tall, already 215 pounds, skates with fluidity and strength, and has very good skill to get through traffic and into open areas. He’s highly projectable to the NHL but he lacks a certain level of awareness and selflessness that could unlock a tremendous amount of potential. He’s a highly accurate passer in lower volumes, preferring to be more of a playmaker in scoring areas than in scoring areas, and his potential as a diversely talented forward that projects very well to the NHL is hard to ignore. The more time you take to develop him, the better off you’ll probably be. There is a ton of talent to work with, but some rough spots that hold back his potential somewhat. There is definitely a universe where he’s right up there with one of the best

Tier 2 - Roller Coaster Rides and Costco Hot Dogs

Every draft there’s a point where things drop off a little bit and a relatively large group of players that bring all kinds of different styles and possibilities depending on your preferences are available. In these cases, I dread being the teams at the top end of this range and would rather trade down and pick volume over everything, and this year is the same but cranked to 11. Some of these guys project to me like a Costco hot dog. Everyone likes them, they’re reliable, you can’t live on them, but you really appreciate it when you have one. Others are complete shots in the dark with high potential and ups and downs that will have to be managed and navigated. This group probably all ends up in somewhat similar spots in a given lineup performing different tasks, but there could be a few players in this range who really pop off over the next few years. Want my 18th ranked player at 5? Sure, I can be swayed based on what is valued and what it is that we’re looking for, but this would be my order of preference navigating this tough group.

• #5 | Alfons Freij | Växjö Lakers HC J20 | LSD | Jan Rnk (12)

  Freij this high is really only because I watch other players and bump them below him. Time after time, I’m given no reason for him to be moved down, and time after time I’m seeing reasons to lower other players below him. His skating, deception, skill level and quickness are elite. His ability to think creatively to make space for himself and create diversions is unique in this class. He generates offense without relying on point shots and d-to-d passing, able to create passing lanes and push into the offensive zone. He loses physical battles, sure, but he maintains possession and stick checks so well in transition that you almost never notice. There’s a real Sam Girard-type quality to his game, with excellent edges and creativity to push play offensively. He’s probably ranked too high on my list, but at the same time, I can’t move him below the names below his, even after watching him many times this season in different uniforms. I love him, he is my boy, and I remain extremely optimistic about his potential as a premier modern defenseman with great offensive potential.

• #6 | Adam Jiricek | HC Plzeň | LHD | Jan Rnk (5)

  I may be one of a dwindling group, but I still believe, dangit. I think Jiricek is all potential, and I do admit his Czech pro league play indicated that he was physically outmatched, but his World Junior performance was strong, his 4-Way mobility is arguably the best in the draft, and every time I watch him, I can see something really impressive with Jiricek. There could be offensive potential to build on and years of calm, patient development overseas would do him very well in my view. He seemed uncomfortable with the pace and physicality of the top division in Czechia, but that isn’t an easy league to play in for a teenager. He’s a tough projection, but I’m faithful that he’ll work his way into the middle of an NHL lineup someday.

• #7 | Zeev Buium | Univ. of Denver | LHD | Jan Rnk (6)

  I’ve been a big fan of Zeev Buium all year, but I do admit there are some questions about his projection. I love the calm, calculated but skilled approach he brings. His ability to bait and deceive forecheckers is high end, the puck protection and evasion in the offensive zone is impressive and he finds a way to be effective everywhere on the ice. There’s a big part of me that feels he should be a bit lower, but replace him with whom? This range is all very close and I could be swayed any number of ways. Buium’s physical play and quickness to chase loose pucks and close wide gaps is a work in progress, but he’s a calculated gunslinger with the puck and has been impressive every game I’ve seen over the last couple years.

• #8 | Artyom Levshunov | Michigan State Univ. | RHD | Jan Rnk (9)

  Someone on the show asked what player I’ve come the furthest on since the beginning of the season, and Levshunov is the easiest answer I could think of. While I don’t see him as the top tier defender of the draft many do, I certainly think there’s a strong NHL role there as a defensive stopper with a bit of an offensive size. Levshunov may need some improvements to his lateral gap closures as he can lose physical battles chasing contact from a distance, or just plain get beat by faster players. That said, he’s a hulking and fluid skater who has great moments of puck movement and short range pass vision. I feel there’s a strong NHL floor for Levshunov, even if his offense may not project extremely well as-is. He’s a defender that shows a clear capability and willingness to defend, and with time, he could become a solid rock on the back end of an NHL team with some intriguing pass-centric transition play.

• #9 | Trevor Connelly | Tri-City Storm | LW | Jan Rnk (14)

  Every game I see of Connelly I go through a range of emotions and thoughts. There are some truly, truly high end moments with him, and in terms of raw quickness, skill, and determination, Connelly can be right up at the top of the class at times. At other times I’ve found him a bit careless with his shot selection and pass selection. He clearly loves to have the puck on his stick, but sometimes that love goes too far. He can skate into unwinnable situations or bring puck into low scoring areas and put soft attempts on net, but the potential is tantalizing. Slot pass rates are strong, and his offensive transition numbers are great. He’s heavily relied up on with Tri-City to quarterback pucks up the ice and he does so effectively, and very often. Could he go higher than this? It’s possible. Could he slip a bit for a few different reasons? I could see that as well, but the talent is clearly there, and with some guidance, higher quality linemates, and time, there could be quite the offensive leaning winger here one day.

• #10 | Tij Iginla | Kelowna Rockets | LW | Jan Rnk (21)

  One of those players who carries a certain level of clear projectability that is tough to ignore in this draft class, Tij Iginla is just such a rock solid hockey player around the ice. I know that isn’t the most detailed analysis you’ve probably heard, but there just isn’t an area where Iginla truly shows weakness, and his strengths are diverse and solid. You can look at his goal totals and think he’s a triggerman, but you would be mistaken. Iginla’s offesive game is well-rounded, trying to create offense both for himself and linemates in scoring areas, with solid but not spectacular offensive threat metrics, and a high rate of shot attempt creation while on the ice. His ability to catch pucks in motion and carry momentum across bluelines and find pathways through opponents at a strong pace. He’s determined, quick on his feet, skilled, and more selfless than his raw production would indicate. It will be interesting if his intense, attacking style with the puck translates to the NHL, but there is plenty to fall back on and develop with Iginla, and he’s worked his way up my board one slot at a time this year.

• #11 | Michael Brandsegg-Nygård | Mora IK | RW | Jan Rnk (7)

  Brandsegg-Nygård comes in a bit later, but I could easily be swayed to look at him a bit earlier. A highly intelligent power forward that I believe is well tailored to the modern NHL, Brandsegg-Nygård is a careful and accurate passer, an annoying physical presence both on and off the puck, a tactical defender, and a very practical applicator of the skill level he possesses. He makes one move around a defender because that’s all that’s necessary to get a scoring chance. He pre-plans his puck protection down low and finds ways through pressure. He has some creative small area passing work at times. Since the World Juniors, he has scored 16 of the 22 points he’s scored all season in HockeyAllsvenskan, and has really found a level of confidence and resilience that I was hoping to see more of. There are a lot of positives to his game, and not a whole ton of negatives that really bother me. Is he a top line winger? Not unless he’s the complimentary physical piece, but a very useful forward up and down your lineup and on special teams is entirely possible.

• #12 | Liam Greentree | Windsor Spitfires | RW | Jan Rnk (17)

  If there is an award for Most Interesting Player With One Critical Flaw, I think it might go to Greentree. If he carried a bit more quickness and proactivity on the puck, he may very well be right up near the top of my ranking this year. Greentree is extremely difficult to knock off the puck, extremely difficult to knock out of rush lanes, and extremely difficult to prevent from finding some way to create a scoring chance. The guy has been an extremely high end offensive transition middleman, one of the most threatening shooters in my database, and has very high end rates of slot pass attempts. There really isn’t a ton for him to work with in Windsor this year, but he’s clearly doing what he can. Could his lower pace, high resilience style of play translate? Sure! Is he going to be a massive producer in the NHL? I have no idea but I think it’s possible with some level of improvement to the pace of his game. He invites contact and adapts to it extremely well, but to me that’s a dangerous game to play long term. He makes it work though, and unlike almost anyone I’ve tracked over the years. There is that “ok, how is going to get out of this one…. oh, like that, nice” vibe to Greentree, and it happens extremely often.

• #13 | Teddy Stiga | U.S. National U18 Team | C/LW | Jan Rnk (28)

  Another player I may have ranked a bit high, but I just keep bumping other players down behind him, Stiga has been impressive every single game I’ve seen of him. He has ridiculous rates of offensive creation off his own stick and for others, he’s got a heck of a motor and intensity level that earns him more offensive zone turnovers generated than many in my database. His rate of shot assists in dangerous areas so far is higher than many players rates of shot assists from anywhere. He’s a guy who likely goes undervalued because of his size, but over time in college just turns into a menace of a hockey player that teams kick themselves for not taking a chance on. He drives such great excellent results without having to float around waiting for someone else to do the dirty work. He has the quickness and willingness to get involved defensively and actually pulls many of these plays off effectively. I’ve been pleasantly surprised with him more and more this season and could be great value in the 2024 Draft.

• #14 | Sam Dickinson | London Knights | LHD | Jan Rnk (15)

  At this point my brain is so scrambled trying to figure out Sam Dickinson that I may just have to accept that I am undervaluing him and may look silly. I’ve seen him a ton this year, and far more often than not, I’ve seen more things that concern me than excite me. I love his puck protection in the offensive zone, I like his ability to time stick checks and quickly turn pucks back offensively, and I do see a lot of potential somewhere in there. On the flipside, he’s a low volume shooter and shot assist generator at 5v5 for a player at almost a point per game, he’s turning over about 2/3 of the offensive transitions he attempts and is extremely pass-heavy in that regard, and I have found Dickinson to be a much more laid-back, passive and positional defender more often than I’d like. The weird thing is that I find is strongest moments are carrying and moving pucks on his own, but he very rarely does it. No matter which way you slice it, the data isn’t spectacular, and I’ve found my viewings of him to be somewhat underwhelming… until they’re not. He’s one of these weird players this year that I still have trouble getting a read on, and remain somewhat conservative relative to most.

• #15 | Cole Eiserman | U.S. National U18 Team | LW | Jan Rnk (11)

  Speaking of scrambled brains, Eiserman has done the same for me this year. I do believe he’s improved over the year with his shot selection and picking his spots to be physical and I am less concerned with his game than I was. Why is he lower than where I had him? I don’t really have a good answer for you! I do think there are still issues with shot selection and his ability to drive play at 5v5 is a bit mixed and often reliant on others. That said, I think Eiserman’s playmaking and creativity with his passing in the offensive zone is understated. He can make bewildering decisions, float around a bit too often waiting for breakouts, chase physical play when he has no business doing so, and is a somewhat leaky defensive rush player, but I’ll still have my eyes trained on him often down the stretch. He’s still in my 2nd tier and if you want a raw, but highly talented shooter with signs of something more there, I could be swayed to take him significantly higher than this spot.

• #16 | Igor Chernyshov | Dynamo Moskva | Jan Rnk (19) | LW

  Chernyshov has spent essentially the whole season with Dynamo Moskva in the KHL and hasn’t really looked out of place there. To me, he projects as a talented and creative complimentary offensive piece of the puzzle. Rarely taking low percentage shots, doing a solid job of generating shot assists, and having great transition involvement and solid efficiency rates, he’s a strong profile for a KHL player. His defensive play is more positional and timing-focused rather than intensity-based, but he does fine in that area, breaking cycles an generating offensive zone turnovers at a good rate. I do worry about what role Chernyshov plays in the NHL exactly where he finds huge success, as he lacks a certain level of quickness thanks to a bit of an inefficient skating stride, but he’s a good puck protector at this level and is rarely giving up on his possessions. He’s a bit of an offensive blank slate with a diverse set of “good but not great” tools, but there is definitely a lot to work with. A few years in Russia could do Chernyshov well so long as he keeps himself in the KHL and an offensive zone focused dual-threat scorer is not out of the equation down the road.

• #17 | Luke Misa | Mississauga Steelheads | LW/C | Jan Rnk (16)

  I flip back and forth on Misa so much you may as well call me Flapjack. I adore the pace and intensity he brings to the game. He’s an elite offensive transition player. He’s determined, battles hard, and is equal parts playmaker and shooter. He’s a fearless player that I think people overlook because of how he’s more speed and quickness oriented than puck protection oriented, and does look pretty small out there admittedly. If you ask me though, I would love to see if this is a motivator for Misa out there. He certainly doesn’t float around and wait for things to happen. He’s trying to make things happen often, at least offensively. I admit his defensive results aren’t great, but offsetting that with excellent forechecking data and very strong offensive production metrics relaxes me a bit. I love this guy, he goes hard, and he should see people questioning him as a motivator, because he certainly carries the on-ice mindset and work rate that could prove them wrong. Creative, slick, and high effort, Misa brings a lot to the table that could bring great value much later than where I have him ranked.

• #18 | Zayne Parekh | Saginaw Spirit | D | Jan Rnk (22)

  There is no player I have ever tracked in my years of watching hundreds of performances a year like Zayne Parekh. He is one of the most extreme and polarized players I think I’ve ever seen. He’s the most productive draft-eligible defender in the OHL in decades and that can’t be ignored. Exploring things a bit more, my issues with Parekh lie in projecting him to the NHL. I know there are those that think his defensive shortcomings are overblown, but I can’t ignore what I’ve seen and tracked. If he’s not using his skating to track down errant breakouts, he’s not very involved in defensive rushes, and when he is, he’s often leaky and can get turned around and left behind. His defensive play along the boards is a mixed bag at best and I can’t set the number of times I’ve seen play not go his way outside of the offensive zone. The skill level and deceptive footwork along the offensive blueline is top of the class, but I also can’t help but downgrade a player, especially a defenseman, whose best traits come out once the puck is in the offensive zone. Parekh’s passing in transition is very hit or miss, and he very rarely strays from a low pace pass-first style of puck possession. He’s a massive shot volume player, and often from the perimeter which is difficult to project. That said, his ability to draw pressure and open space is very high end, his skill level is obvious, and I can’t deny that he doesn’t at least deserve to come up in discussions involving any of the players in this tier. I just can’t think of an NHL player that leans this heavily offensively and plays like Parekh does. I’ve heard Evan Bouchard, but he’s more of a puck carrier with an elite level shot from the point, and even Bouchard carries warts that makes fans and coaches crazy at times. Parekh is going to be fascinating to keep track on. There have been a ton of CHL defenders with a ton of production that have come and gone from the NHL over the last 5-10 years and after exploring those players, I have a hunch on what they have in common, and I can’t help but be concerned that Parekh may fall into that category as well. I’ve watched a ton of him. At times, he’s very impressive, but I simply can’t set aside the plays that Parekh falls short on and hope things work out.

Tier 3 - A Bunch of Neat Dudes and Home Run Swings

The separation between tiers 2 and 3 is extremely marginal, especially with the top few names, but I feel as though this group brings a smidge less in terms of potential value, or likelihood of getting where they could possibly get. A lot of these players are highly intelligent players that are still developing the finer points of the game on the ice, which could help boost them up the list a bit, especially the very young ones. A few come of to me as NHL role players down the lineup. They have a job, and they do the job well. Physical defenders, complimentary energy players, bottom six minutes eaters, etc. It’s a curious group of players I’m willing to gamble on and players that show a good amount of projectability, albeit in somewhat limited breadth.

• #19 | Andrew Basha | Medicine Hat Tigers | F | Jan Rnk (10)

  I go back and forth on Basha almost every month. In terms of raw, pure pace, skill, and quickness, Basha might be right up at the top of the class. The issues lie with the issues commonplace with undersized forwards. When he has space to play with or a lane to exploit, he’s magic. Some of the most impressive single sequences I have seen from any player this year have come from Basha. The rest of the time though, it’s easy to miss Basha for stretches. He isn’t much of a physical factor with or without the puck, and his offensive creation metrics trail many players in my first round in aggregate. That said, Basha is an electric player. He’s quick to accelerate, quick with his hands, and uses quick thinking to jump the puck into open space and pierce through defenses. When it works, it’s awesome, but Basha will need time to gain some physical resilience on the puck under heavy pressure and find ways to strip puck and get off the boards a bit better. There’s a ton of upside for a flashy creative complementary playmaker in a top six, but there likely isn’t a bottom six NHL player you fall back on if things don’t break right.

• #20 | Anton Silayev | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | D | Jan Rnk (13)

  Silayev is the other ultimate unicorn and the first of the home run swings in this list. He is as raw as it gets. Tall, decently built out already, and a highly fluid skater on his inside edges helps him in many situations, but basically everything else is hit or miss. Granted, he improved significantly from where he was at the start of the year. The tracked data is pretty clear as to what he is at this point. A safe and efficient passer, not a ton of offensive quarterbacking and not great at it when he tries, and lower than average defensive involvement but efficient when involved with a physical side. Is there more to be extrapolated? With more skills training settling pucks, and more experience to quicken his on-ice thinking in the defensive zone could help. There is a solid chance he could be a middle pair defense-first guy who can throw a good hit, but I value what I see now pretty heavily, and Silayev is a huge work in progress. Literally. Luckily he’ll have all the time he needs with one of the few Russian programs clearly willing to push young players beyond their development curves.

• #21 | Dominik Badinka | Malmö Redhawks | D | Jan Rnk (33)

  Slowly one step at a time climbing up my list, Badinka is the brand of defenseman I’ve grown to appreciate over the years. Badinka is a guy I’ve been watching and enjoying since his Jokerit days, and seeing him move up and snag a full time SHL position has pleased me greatly. Badinka is the embodiment of modern defense-first player, but don’t count out the offense he has generated through hard stretch passing and a hard shot from the point. Badinka is a tall, fluid skating defender who covers ice well in stride, monitors gaps well, and erases puck carriers effectively. His data profile looks eerily similar to Anton Silayev, but you may be able to get him a round later. He’s an effective breakout generator through his passing and while I don’t see him winning Norris Trophies or playing 25 minutes a night very easily, he’s a player who could eat solid minutes while participating in enabling offense for other players with the vision and shot he carries.

• #22 | Tomas Galvas | Bílí Tygři Liberec | D | Jan Rnk (31)

  Here we have a home run swing. I’ve really liked Galvas most of this season, and to me he’s improved over the year especially after his impressive run at the World Juniors. Galvas is a little small, but he carries high end footwork and quickness that helps him cover ice extremely well, closing gaps and being involved defensively very often. An equally effective stick checker as he is positional defender, Galvas drives efficient transition data in both directions, with some very interesting offensive threat potential that rivals many high end defenders in this draft not playing against pro competition. He’s confident, shifty, skilled, and highly mobile, but defensive play in his own end is a softer area. He does get removed from play and beat positionally in scoring areas and will need to use his feet to stick to open men a bit better. To me, the good outweighs the bad, and players higher than Galvas on my prior list seemed to be ranked a bit too highly for me. He’ll need time to become a truly high end skill+skating combo player in order for it to work, but he could be a highly dynamic and crafty defender if things go his way.

• #23 | Nikita Artamonov | Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod | RW/LW | Jan Rnk (8)

  Artamonov has dropped significantly for me since January after watching him a few more times. I respect the heck out of the work rate and the smarts he brings to the table. He’s selfless, times passes well, has good vision, even under pressure along the boards, is one of the most involved transition players I’ve tracked this year in both directions for a forward, and driving good results there. Why the drop? Well, I love the kid, but there isn’t a ton of projectable consistent offense there that makes me think he’s anything more than a workhorse complimentary energy player down an NHL lineup. His shot selection leaned heavily in the wrong direction, he had low pass volumes, lower in threatening areas, very low rates of shot assists, even when factoring in how often Nizhny Novgorod was getting pummeled and wasn’t producing a ton of offense. Artamonov is a player where the whole time you think “this is pretty great” but that next “and then what happens” when it comes to offense just falls short far more often than it comes together. I still have him ranked above consensus it seems, and I think he’d be a great pickup if he’s a 2nd rounder, especially because I do believe there’s potential for more. As of right now, he’s a very admirable worker who drives efficient results in transition and some solid defensive numbers but lacks consistent offensive output that scouts may be looking for.

• #24 | Konsta Helenius | Jukurit | C/RW | Jan Rnk (30)

  I’ve seen Helenius about 12 times this year. I just keep going back and making sure I’m sure I think what I think. Helenius is absolutely one of the smarter, tactical players in the draft per puck touch. He capitalizes on opponent errors well which happen often in Liiga, he throws hits more than many, but the actual effectiveness of that contact is bit mixed. An efficient transition player, largely through finding space to make himself a pass target in stride and finding a quick passing option to keep the puck moving, Helenius brings plenty to the table. So why is he 10-15 slots below consensus? There isn’t much that really screams “this is what I will be good at in the NHL” with Helenius. He’s got very low pass volumes, not the best rates of completion, he struggles to get off the boards and resist tight physical pressure, he lacks quickness in close quarters and can fall off his defensive coverages, and his rate of shot assists is quite low. He makes things count when he gets the opportunity, but creating those opportunities himself in a way I can see being a major driver in the NHL as-is remains a question to me. I expect a huge U18 from him, but I’ll be paying attention to the details of his game that I’ve had concerns about to see if there’s something I’m still missing.

• #25 | Michael Hage | Chicago Steel | C | Jan Rnk (27)

  Michael Hage’s data profile is outstanding. Efficient offensive transition quarterback in every category equally. Super high rates of dangerous shooting, high rates of slot pass attempts, creating 40% of Chicago’s shot attempts on the ice, and chips in defensively where he can. I could easily be swayed to take a chance on him higher based on the skill level and determination Hage brings to the game. He’s evasive, slippery, and has neat touch on the puck to make complex passes off the boards or at weird angles look easy. The one weakness is a bit of an inefficient skating stride, flaring his feet out and a bit hunched over without the puck which limits his quickness and ability to effectively challenge puck carriers. He has good involvement defensively, but not so good efficiency. Frankly I’d rather start with that than someone who is significantly more passive in general, but it’s worth noting. I’ve got a wide range of thoughts on Hage, but many of them are positive and I think he could outperform his draft slot if he goes this late and things go well in college

• #26 | Linus Eriksson | Djurgårdens IF | C | Jan Rnk (43)

  This guy has just looked better and better since he landed himself in HockeyAllsvenskan. Similar to Helenius, he’s an intelligent positional player, finding pockets of space to work with, making well timed stick checks to close out opponent rushes. He’s a physical player as well, gets up and down the ice effectively, and factors into a ton of the limited offense that Djurgårdens put forward in my games tracked. There’s a quietly scary wrist shot locked away there that should be encouraged over time, but this one is a relatively straightforward profile where there’s a level of stability with his style of play up the middle of the ice. If you put talented scorers with Eriksson he’ll cover the defensive side of things well and get those players the puck as needed.

• #27 | John Mustard | Waterloo Black Hawks | F | Jan Rnk (25)

  What the heck is John Mustard? That might be the wrong question. The right one is “what could John Mustard be?” and the answer is one of a number of possibilities. The USHL rookie showed a ton of potential with his raw speed, the skill he pulls out at those speeds, and a lightning quick shot that put him up near the top of Waterloo’s scoring for much of the year. The problem is that it often felt like he seemed like the only player on the ice. That speed and intensity only really came out when the puck hit his stick, and his carrying efficiency in high volume was less than desirable. He certainly preferred to carry pucks, and I’d encourage that but more refinement to his puck control, timing and lane selection would help a ton. He’s one of the lowest pass rate players I’ve tracked in junior hockey, and not a particularly dependable one, with very limited shot assist rates, but there is still so much to work with here. I thought his All-American Game performance was top notch, and if he can put in 200-foot physical effort with the tools he has, and takes the next step with his speed/skill combination, he could be an excellent player up and down the ice that may lean more shot-heavy than you’d like, but it’s a dang good shot to rely on. He likely goes later than this, but I think there’s plenty of potential and the right team could get a very solid player here.

• #28 | Topias Hynninen | Jukurit | LW/C | Jan Rnk (23)

  I know I’m alone on an island with Hynninen, but I think he has just as much of a chance of being a skilled energy player in the NHL as many guys ranked around here. He’s more involved in transitions both directions than Helenius, one of the most intense stick checkers defensively of any forward I’ve tracked, doubles Helenius’ rate of shot assists, and gives it everything he’s got every shift. He catches pucks in transitions extemely well, carries his momentum into the offensive zone efficiently, and shows plenty of potential. He was more productive down the back half and the real shortcoming comes with his puck management and decisionmaking in the offensive zone. He’s got a great shot, but just doesn’t get to or chooses not to use it way too often. He’ll look off pass options and maintain possession, only to lose it, but to me, if I’m coaching him, it’s easy to work with a player who has the capability of doing a thing that doesn’t happen often to do that thing more often. So many things go his way, it’s just the “putting the puck on net and keeping possession” side of things in the OZ that is a work in progress. He fights through pressure, gets out of jams often, and showed extremely well in the Mestis games I saw that seemed to breathe a certain amount of life into his game. He won’t be at the U18s, so I expect him to continue to fly under the radar, but this is a player I easily target in the middle rounds.

• #29 | Jett Luchanko | Guelph Storm | RW/C | Jan Rnk (41)

  The 2024 NHL Draft is characterized by a ton of players who may lack the high end tools others have, but have a brilliant grasp on how to just go out and get results. Luchanko may be the pinnacle of that archetype this season. It took a while but he grew on me the more I saw little details in his game. He’s very young for the draft class, but drove ridiculous offensive numbers in my data, a least to this point. He positions himself excellently on breakouts, makes brilliantly times passes in transition often, and keeps his offensive game simple and effective. He isn’t a super common shooter relative to his linemates but he never takes low danger chances. His volumes from scoring areas are huge, largely from tips, battles, rebounds and following up on loose pucks in space. He’s constantly around or going to the net and he’s only gotten better and better results as the season goes on. By end of year he may very well be higher on my board, but he does lack a bit of quickness and off-puck intensity in his game that keeps him out of many defensive situations. He’s a fascinating case study who brings a lot to the table, and his skill development from here could take him a ways. Considering he’s almost a year younger than some top prospects this year, he’s got plenty of runway to work with.

• #30 | Stian Solberg | Vålerenga | D | Jan Rnk (45)

  Speaking of players who have grown on me, Stian Solberg! Early in the year he came off as a safe, stable physical defender, but his impressive World Junior performance made me rethink some things and go back with a different outlook. His possession numbers aren’t great, and he isn’t a particularly common shooter, but he is definitely the most physical defender I’ve seen this year. When he makes contact in transition, it works. You aren’t getting through him. The guy is a rock on skates with a good set of feet under him, and seems to have a good grasp of the layout of the ice, making good reads more often than not. It’s the late first round, and I think this guy could eat minutes, and kill penalties with potentially a bit of offensive pop tucked away. The focus though is the combination of mobility and physicality that you can’t ignore, so consider me a converted fan.

• #31 | Beckett Sennecke | Oshawa Generals | RW | Jan Rnk (35)

  Sennecke is one of those guys where I still really don’t know what I think. There are long stretches where he’s a low-pace, simple puck mover who brings a straightforward but effective approach, finding ways to create chances for linemates under pressure and showing projectable traits to the NHL is some fashion. Then once in a while you see him get in full stride, catch a puck in motion, do some crazy skill move or skate-y spin on the fly, and put some kind of impressive play together. His tracked data is largely very positive through it all, but some of his performances have been far more intriguing than others. In the modern physical grinding but fast NHL, there are jobs that Sennecke can do, especially when you consider the late growth spurt it seems he hasn’t grown into. He’ll probably go higher than this, and I’m not against the idea considering how projectable his game is. How much of an impact player will he be remains to be seen but he’s guy who has looked impressive in isolated moments many times.

• #32 | Daniil Ustinkov | GC Küsnacht Lions | D | Jan Rnk (24)

  Closing out the first round, Ustinkov is a player I’ve had a keen eye on for two seasons now. The epitome of smart, stable defending and puck movement, Ustinkov may not jump off the scoresheet, but he’s a rock solid player that shows wisps and signs of something more tucked away. He’s an incredibly efficient transition player, rarely taking too much risk and giving himself too much to worry about, timing his passes extremely well and maintaining possession extremely well. There just isn’t much defending he has to do in his own end because of how efficient he is off the puck. He reads errant passes and breakouts well to fetch loose pucks in the neutral zone and makes smart, safe plays to get play turned around again, and the flashes of skill and quickness, especially at the Swiss League level gives plenty of signs of potential. He can get beat by faster players and I would certainly want to work on his backwards mobility and strength to push players away from the dot line a bit better, but there’s potential here. Ustinkov is currently with a great program in Switzerland and a pro hockey mainstay already, so three-ish more seasons over there with plenty of international experience should do him well.

Tier 4 - Spin the Wheel of Destiny

This group is just plain fun. Some inconsistent but highly skilled players, some players who provide great supplemental help without a ton of projection, potential energy players down your lineup, and some home run swings on players you might be able to snag towards the end of the draft. Ranges like the end of Tier 3 and the majority of this tier are why I always would encourage loading up on as many picks in the 20-64 range as you possibly can, because of all of these players, I’m willing to bet that some have just as useful an NHL career as players drafted ahead of them. Some of these players are lower pace guys that invite and adapt to heavy pressure very well which helps their projection somewhat as well. It’s a deep group with plenty going on in a variety of ways, it’ll just be a matter of priority and risk tolerance.

• #33 | Noel Fransén | Färjestad BK J20 | D | Jan Rnk (34)

  It feels like I’ve seen Fransen 40 times this year because I cannot begin to understand why he’s completely off so many lists. From what I can gather, he’s not the most mobile defender while skating backwards and heavily prefers stick checks from range rather than close quarters defending, and blocking defensive transitions is a bit leaky for him right now, but other than that, I just can’t wrap my head around it. Färjestad is consistently one of the most boring teams at both ends of anyone I’ve tracked this year. That said, Fransen factors into a ton of their offense as you can imagine, with forward-like offensive transition involvement and high efficiency. A quick shot from the point leads to a lot of his offense, but he doesn’t use it tremendously often. This is a calculated, mobile and creative defenseman with strong metrics almost everywhere you look. Considering where he’s rated to go, a team could get just as good a bet as any that this player could turn out to be a steal one day.

• #34 | Lucas Pettersson | MoDo Hockey J20 | C | Jan Rnk (26)

  Pettersson drops a bit, even though his production increased as I expected in softer competition down the stretch. He’s a player with some magical moments of speed bursts and evasive skill, with very good playmaking metrics, but I’m always left wanting more out of him. He’s passive off the puck and not very effective when he does get involved, he drives up the ice well, but needs others to find him in motion. There is plenty of talent there, and he’s taken over shifts here and there, but this is a high upside, low floor player to me and I’m a bit skeptical after quite a few viewings.

• #35 | Miguel Marques | Lethbridge Hurricanes | F | Jan Rnk (32)

  I’ll admit at time of writing I haven’t seen Marques in a while, but there is plenty of good evidence that you have a highly skilled, highlight-capable puck carrier here. Huge rates of slot passing and great offensive transition numbers, Marques is a player who in isolated moments has viral GIF-capable skill, but can also disappear into the ether of the game for stretches. In the offensive zone is where his game really shines though, finding seams and open men in dangerous spots more than many in my database and enabling others more than taking too many chances himself. He may end up a bit higher on my list again down the road, but there’s a level of uncertainty with his projection at higher levels. If he can apply his skill level at higher pace and get some better scoring chances for himself more often, there’s plenty of potential when combined with his playmaking ability.

• #36 | Ollie Josephson | Red Deer Rebels | F | Jan Rnk (NR)

  From a player I hadn’t seen yet in January to a top 40 slot seems crazy, but Josephson is right up my alley. Excellent possession results, excellent transition quarterbacking ability, brilliant results passing in general, a factor in well over 50% of his team’s shot attempts, and highly involved and efficient defensively. He’s relentless, applying pressure quicky and effectively all around the ice and causing turnovers with his stick checks extremely well. He’s near the top of the database for forwards when it comes to physical contact along the boards and forechecks result in offensive zone turnovers. He’s an analytical darling in almost every way outside of generating truly dangerous scoring chances for linemates. He gets his chances from dangerous spots well, so improving his shot should improve his production, and finding ways to thread more passes into scoring areas would improve things as well. I always have faith in players who have pace in their game and positives pretty much everywhere, especially quarterbacking rushes and chipping in defensively. Basically everything goes right for Josephson except putting the puck in the net, but he’s certainly showing all the signs of that improving over time.

• #37 | Emil Hemming | TPS | RW | Jan Rnk (18)

  Hemming has fallen somewhat, but I still think there’s a neat player there. He’s got pace in his game, pursues puck carriers well, has a physical edge, a bit of skill and a heck of a mid-range release. He’s very much a catch-and-release player though and is often not much of a factor in play until he is. Plenty of areas of his game are perfectly fine, which for a player playing professional competition is notable. I can see a player who can be a secondary power play shooting threat and a complimentary power winger that should project fine to the NHL. It also should be noted that TPS is not putting a ton of pucks on net, but Hemming is responsible either for over 45% of their attempts, largely through his own shooting, they’re just often from a distance, when he has the strength, pace and skill to push deeper into scoring areas.

• #38 | Herman Träff | HV71 J20 | LW/RW | Jan Rnk (49)

  Träff has been on my radar for two seasons now iand I’m pleasantly surprised with how he’s evolved over this year. At first there were concerns as he wasn’t pushing play as much as he could with the size, intensity and skill level I saw last year, but he was scoring goals with a lightning quick release through traffic. Since earning an SHL call-up, Träff has shown to be a very well-rounded physical winger who can fill in up the middle of the ice if need be. He’s aggressive, intense, physical, and has a great touch of the puck for a big man. He’s highly responsible for a lot of HV71s offense, even in the SHL largely through his mid to long-range shooting. Similar to Hemming, I’d love to see more willingness for Träff to get right to the net and generate chances through using his frame and strength, but there are many positive signs in his game.

• #39 | Carter Yakemchuk | Calgary Hitmen | D | Jan Rnk (44)

  I really have had a tough time with Yakemchuk this year. He’s one of the players I’ve logged the most data on, and the results so far are extremely mixed. The high points of his game are admittedly high, but the issue comes from a similar critique of Zayne Parekh where I’m not sure how I feel about defensemen whose best assets are displayed when the puck is already in the offensive zone. Yakemchuk has the skill level and willingness to bait defenders and make them look awfully silly to step up off the half wall and put himself in scoring position and rifle shots past goaltenders. The issue is getting the puck there in the first place. Yakemchuk is a player who sits back quite often defensively, and struggles to consistently get breakouts started with clean possession. Maybe I’m just seeing all the wrong games so far, but I’ve seen him as high as the top 5 and I just can’t see how I would put him there. As one of the oldest players in the draft, his timeline is significantly shorter than many others in this class who are up to a full year older. If his non-forwards skating can improve to better close gaps and play physically more effectively, there could be a solid defender here, but he seems like a player part of the much larger group that could fill in the middle of an NHL lineup if things go well.

• #40 | Sacha Boisvert | Muskegon Lumberjacks | C | Jan Rnk (20)

  This is yet another player I’ve gone back and forth on all season. Boisvert has some amazing moments of skill, slip passes and shooting, but so often during the game he just isn’t much of a factor. He’s barely involved in transition an unreliable when he is involved defensively, but uses his skill and body to protect pucks well and stay efficient offensively. He’s got a great shot release from mid-range, and as a complimentary offensive centre, there’s tons of potential with Boisvert. There’s almost a Pierre-Luc Dubois-esque profile here. Sometimes he’s there and you really notice him, sometimes he’s not doing much and leaves you wanting. I love the ups, but there are a lot of shruggables with Boisvert.

• #41 | Cole Beaudoin | Barrie Colts | C | Jan Rnk (47)

  This guy is going to be annoying in the NHL one day if he gets there. Always active up and down the ice, willing to drop the gloves and get his hands dirty, goes to the net, funnels pucks to the net both on the rush and off the boards, and drives quite a lot of the offense for Barrie while he’s on the ice. Efficient in transition, he’s right up there with the best northbound puck carriers in the draft. He’s an interesting player without a whole lot of real downsides, but it’ll be a matter of how much strength and speed he puts on over the next few years to play a role down an NHL lineup. Lots to really like, not much to love or dislike, Beadoin projects to me as a player fans could love, and a player who really comes alive in the fast, physical, and insane Stanley Cup Playoffs.

• #42 | Marek Vanacker | Brantford Bulldogs | LW | Jan Rnk (74)

  Vanacker has grown on me over the year the more I watch him. He’s really ramped up the pace of his thinking and his ability to corral pucks, get a view of the ice and make some kind of play in scoring areas. He leans more playmaker in the games I’ve seen, and he’s often not much of a puck carrier thanks to a bit of a lack of speed and pace, but he works around it well. Battling along the boards, snagging pucks and putting them in front or sneaking passes across the crease, Vanacker just goes out and plays the game well. He’s resilient, and highly intelligent with his pass receptions and pass creation in transition, leading to some very high volume and efficiency metrics offensively. I dig him and think he projects decently, and he could believably go quite a bit higher than where I have him, but I’ll have to check him out a few more times before I put him there myself.

• #43 | Fyodor Avramov | Kapitan Stupino | LW | Jan Rnk (46)

  Avamov caught my eye watching another team as a big, skilled, physical winger who had multiple rushes ending in a lightning quick release. In the tracking work, he’s one of the most physical forwards tracked, with perfectly balanced dual threat offensive metrics. He can get a head of steam going and power his way up the ice with great puck carrying metrics. With huge offensive output on a team at the bottom of the MHL’s Gold Division, Avramov is a bet on plenty of great tools to work around in a variety of areas.

• #44 | Nathan Villeneuve | Sudbury Wolves | C | Jan Rnk (80)

  Villeneuve has grown on me over the season, regardless of the recent suspension. An intense, high-pace player on both sides of the puck and has improved his offensive output after a bit of a slow start, Villeneuve is constantly hounding puck carriers with great forechecking metrics and stick checking results. Distributing pucks to linemates has been a strong area as well. He gets plenty of torque behind his wrist shots especially as a catch and release shooter, and I’d like to see him use his physical side to get pucks to the net a bit more than he does.

• #45 | Yegor Graf | SKA-1946 St. Petersburg | C | Jan Rnk (37)

  Ivan Demidov’s centre down the stretch, Yegor Graf is a player who I believe is a longshot, but brings a bit of the same things said about Ollie Josephson. While he doesn’t quite create as much offense as Josephson, Graf is a great combination of speed and skill and is jumping into play on both sides of the puck, especially in transition. He’s not much of a physical threat, and using skill to get through traffic in the offensive zone to penetrate into scoring areas hasn’t really happened, which limits his potential. That said, he’s a great puck mover and pesky forechecker with a great work rate and may be worth a nice swing late in the draft.

• #46 | Clarke Caswell | Swift Current Broncos | F | Jan Rnk (36)

  Smarts are the name of the game with Caswell. Another analytical darling in my data work, Caswell brings value almost everywhere, especially on the offensive side of the puck. He carries great shot selection, able to navigate through a defensive layer both on the rush and on a cycle, and he has some of the highest rates of slot pass attempts this year. Sometimes there can be less than ideal planning behind these attempts, but overall Caswell is a significant part of Swift Current’s offensive output when he’s on the ice. Another player who seems ranked a bit later but may be worth a swing relatively quickly.

• #47 | Jiri Tichacek | Rytíři Kladno | D | Jan Rnk (52)

  What a massive breakout season from Tichacek. Kladno has been relegated back to the 2nd division in Czechia, and in Tichacek’s last year of NHL Draft eligibility, I wonder if that’s a level he wants to return to after such a massive season. For the first stretch of the year, Tichacek factored into 50% of Kladno’s goals scored. That since has cooled to a still-ridiculous 36%. While much of his production has come on the power play, it finally seems like Tichacek is starting to use his feet and hands in conjunction with his high end release to open seams in defenses and goaltenders. The puck is going in finally, and without him, Kladno’s season would’ve been significantly worse. He’s undersized, but the mobility, skill and shot quality have all been there, but I continue to fear (or hope?) that we’re looking at the next Brad Hunt.

• #48 | Ryder Ritchie | Prince Albert Raiders | F | Jan Rnk (56)

  This is another one where we’re dealing with a player who just has a great feel for the game. He doesn’t really jump into a highlight reel tremendously often, but he consistently is moving play in the right direction, reading opposing rushes well, timing stick checks well, and efficient offensively. He’s more of a pass target and puck carrier through the neutral zone and I do have questions about how much offense he’ll be able to produce in the NHL without high end skill or intensity, but he may be a player who just doesn’t need those things in order to be successful. He drives plenty of Prince Albert’s offense while on the ice, and plenty of analytics paint him positively in my work. I think there are more exciting players ranked higher, but Ritchie plays a refined, practical and effective style that should be productive at most higher levels with time.

• #49 | Marcus Kearsey | Charlottetown Islanders | D | Jan Rnk (29)

  Speaking of undersized skilled defensemen, Marcus Kearsey makes another appearance, albeit 20 slots lower. Kearsey’s close quarters defending and physical play in the defensive zone is a real work in progress at this point. Offsetting this is a highly skilled and maniupulative gunslinger-type defenseman. He’s a major conduit for Charlottetown’s offensive transitions through some well timed and well placed passes, and has shown some really impressive skill and offensive flair that keeps you interested. An underrated area for him is, similar to Tichacek, he uses his mobility and ability to read breakouts to block offensive zone exits stick-first. Over an over he finds ways to clog up the neutral zone without having to be physical in the first place. If you get past that layer, he can be a much less impactful player, but he is definitely one to watch

• #50 | Luke Osburn | Youngstown Phantoms | D | Jan Rnk (54)

  Luke Osburn has come a long ways. I was shown him while first playing at the 16u level last season, and this season with Youngstown he’s gone from down the lineup getting 8-12 minutes a night to playing with Andrew Strathman for upwards of 20 minutes. He only improved as the season progressed, from a softer physical defenseman with plenty of skill and deception but lacking stable execution to a steady, practical applicator of skill to connect on passes. The comfort level, especially offensively has improved as well, shaking off opponents at the blueline and using his edges to create valuable space. As one of the youngest players in the draft, Osburn is a long term bet that has had quite the trajectory over the last two seasons. He’s been handed tough minutes and held his own, and the thought of where his game could be in a few years is tantalizing.

• #51 | Kuzma Voronin | Youngstown Phantoms | RW | Jan Rnk (62)

  Sticking with Youngstown, I absolutely love watching Kuzma Voronin. Raw skill and pure fun factor, Voronin is a relentless player with a great analytical profile across the board. Even physically he’s one of the more active hitters in my database, fearlessly going into battles in the corners and finishing checks in transition. The skill level and wrist shot release are truly excellent and his game is surprisingly efficient. I honestly don’t really know why he hasn’t scored more than he has outside of somewhat limited ice time and inconsistent power play experience. Looking into the details, finding the balance between applying skill and avoiding risk seems to be something that needs to be worked on. Voronin invites pressure and holds onto the puck at times and while the skill is impressive, he is prone to turnovers and creating unwinnable passing situations, but the pros outweigh the cons in my experience. He isn’t always completing his slot passes either, so improving on pre-scanning and making better plays on puck retrievals especially could help take Voronin up a notch. I wouldn’t be surprised to see him take a significant step in the near future and put himself on the map somehow if he goes undrafted.

• #52 | Matvei Gridin | Muskegon Lumberjacks | F | Jan Rnk (NR)

  Matvei Gridin is another one of those players who has extremely impressive moments when there’s potential offense to be created. He can cross through the neutral zone gaining speed, and with a quick burst, get through a layer of defense, protect the puck well and slip passes into lanes and make something happen. A dangerous playmaker blending timing, skill and patience in the offensive zone, Gridin could be a player that sneaks up NHL boards come June. He’s a decent defender in transition but is often a player leaning more into the neutral zone defensively. There’s work to be done with generating his own scoring chances, especially with his potential danger from mid-range with a quick wrist shot he can release in stride. There has been more volume putting pucks on net from the perimeter, but the playmaking is impressive regardless, especially on the rush.

• #53 | Julius Miettinen | Everett Silvertips | C/W | Jan Rnk (NR)

  A player I had unranked until I saw some others putting his name out there. In my viewings, he has been an impressive 200-foot puck moving centre with simple and effective reads, strength to power through pressure, with speed to chase loose and pucks. A player who just seems to get it and play the game reliably in all three zones, Miettinen has been a slow burn, but the more you watch, the more you appreciate through the lack of things going too wrong with him on the ice.

• #54 | Mitch Young | Sarnia Sting | D | Jan Rnk (NR)

  Literally threw this guy in here over this past weekend, so give me a break if we’re in June and he isn’t on my list, but seeing a few games of Mitch Young after sneaking a peek in the playoffs his year, I’m really curious about this guy, even as a re-entry. Young averaged over 20 minutes a night for the Sarnia Sting and has been a standout for a daring, skilled and confident offensive game. Stepping up from the blueline with quickness, a great wrist and slap shot release, and daring defenders to challenge him with his body fakes and skill level, Young has taken a big step from last season and for a player I’ve heard very little about, he’s one that really stuck out while poking around during the OHL Playoffs.

• #55 | Veeti Väisänen | KooKoo | D | Jan Rnk (39)

  Veeti Väisänen is a curious one. While a bit undersized, he is a mobile and fluid skater with quick feet and quicker cuts to create pockets of space and passing opportunities. He uses his mobility to anticipate breakouts well and stick to leading passing options into the neutral zone. He’s a refined and capable foot+stick defender, but as with many smaller defensemen, his physical play isn’t a bright point as of yet, and it at times feels like a lack of strength takes power off of those passes in transition that come off of his quick cuts. Väisänen is a player that I believe slips and bit and may be a bit of a longshot for big NHL minutes, but the skating and smarts are there to build around for a few years and see what happens.

• #56 | Aron Kiviharju | HIFK | D | Jan Rnk (58)

  I went back and watched a pair of Kiviharju’s games from the beginning of the year before he got injured after I had bumped him down from here quite a bit, and I think I definitely overcorrected. There is still a really unique quickness to his body fakes and skill level that deceives and drags forecheckers decently well. He’s just very unproven against men at both ends, and the combination of a lack of size and a lack of high-end lateral mobility is concerning. He’s a smart tactical pass-first player who has some pivotal areas of improvement. I’m happy to change my mind after he returns from injury and perhaps plays some games before the draft.

• #57 | Kamil Bednarik | U.S. National U18 Team | C | Jan Rnk (40)

  The US U18 NTDP team this year is characterized by a deep, talented roster that scores by committee, and of the names flying a bit under the radar, Bednarik is the one I’ve enjoyed the most. I think he’ll only get better as he gets stronger over the years. A physical centre with a strong mind for the game, Bednarik makes smart, effective plays everywhere on the ice and drives offensive play through playmaking and scoring chances. He goes to the net chases down rebounds, reads breakouts and causes turnovers. He’s one of those guys who goes out and just plays good solid hockey. Most recently, he was on a line with Cole Eiserman and all game long, who was the guy starting breakouts that Eiserman ended with a shot from just inside the blueline? Bednarik. Who was going to the net and following up on those shots for dangerous chances? Bednarik. There’s lots to like and I believe he’ll at least be a very strong NCAA player over time, but he’s going to require patience and experimentation to find an NHL role.

• #57 | Adam Kleber | Lincoln Stars | D | Jan Rnk (53)

  Kleber is going to be a very interesting player to keep track of for the next few years. A tall, solidly built defender with a strong ability to cover ice with both length and a powerful stride. There’s a side of skill here and there with Kleber that jumps out when it happens, cutting inside scoring areas, making plays and creating scoring chances. This is a player who will likely need multiple years in college at Minnesota-Duluth but will be all the better for it. If he maintains the powerful, fluid stride he has and refines his skill level to be more of a dependable pass-first quarterback, there’s plenty of potential.

• #59 | Sebastian Soini | Ilves/KOOVEE | D | Jan Rnk (NR)

  A player that was unranked in January, after a few more visits, I couldn’t find too many defenders that I had ranked that I would take ahead of what I’ve seen in Soini. I focus on the highest level a player plays, and Soini has been a stable and intelligent passer with some understated finishing ability. His wrist shot is quick and he shows a willingness to pinch up and put himself in better scoring position. He’s one I haven’t seen and tracked in a bit of time like Bednarik so likely expect a bit more movement before June, but Soini’s ability to see the ice, time his passes and make some offensive plays here and there have been impressive.

• #60 | Cole Hutson | U.S. National U18 Team | D | Jan Rnk (59)

  Always mentioned as the brother of Lane, Cole Hutson has evolved and grown immensely this season into dare I say a bit more of a projectable style of defender who has begun to keep things a bit more simple, relying on strong turns on his edges and deception in transition at high pace to carve through the neutral zone with the puck. Lane is a much more daring offensive zone player, shimmying and shaking his way through the offensive zone and creating offense around the opposing net often. Cole is more of a perimeter creator that to me has specialized more in transition. Unfortunately the commonalities are in the areas of improvement to me. Where Lane was a passive, calculated but questionable defender, Cole carries similar concerns, losing battles along the boards and on defensive zone rushes, relinquishing scoring chances. That said, Hutson has improved every month when I’ve been able to check in on him, trusting his own feet and skill a bit more with the puck and playing a better possession oriented game.

• #61 | Ben Danford | Oshawa Generals | D | Jan Rnk (76)

  Ben Danford has been one of those defenders who just goes out and gets the job done. If he needs to be physical, he can be physical. If he needs to monitor a gap and time a stick check, he’ll do it. If he sees a soft offensive zone exit, he’ll challenge the breakout option quickly and be a frustrating log of a player to get past. In pockets there is also some impressive forwards skating speed and slot passing that adds a bit of a different flavor to his game. I don’t think there’s a huge NHL difference maker in Danford, but he is effective with flashes of more. Adding a bit more of a creative use of his feet with the puck to generate reliable pass lanes and options could be an interesting tweak to make. There is plenty of capability across the board with Danford.

• #62 | Charlie Elick | Brandon Wheat Kings | D | Jan Rnk (48)

  Sometimes I have to appreciate a player for what they are and what they do, even if they aren’t quite what I’m looking for when looking for a specific brand of hockey. Elick is a fast forwards skater with a heavy shot from the point, and is one of the more naturally physical mindsets of anyone in the draft. He’ll probably get to the point where an NHL team will play him because of how physical he wants his impact to be, but in my books, real dependability with the puck and defensive results leading to actual turnovers or breakouts matter. I may just not be seeing the right games but I haven’t quite seen that out of Elick on a consistent basis. Faster players squeeze through him,

• #63 | Yegor Surin | Loko Yaroslavl | C/RW | Jan Rnk (NR)

  Surin has been on my radar since last season as a potential standout from Russia for this season. What I’ve seen of Surin is more of much of this draft. Some great tools, especially skill-wise, a ton of confidence, and fights through pressure. That said, Surin has struggled in my viewings to move the puck accurately and reliably outside of off his own stick, and his confidence can get the best of him as well, working himself into unwinnable situations and soft turnovers. Surin still carries a great set of hands and has a strong catch-and-release as an finisher in the offensive zone. I could see a team taking a big, hard swing on him and betting on the raw skill and offensive oomph, but for me there are limitations on Surin’ style of play that put him behind quite a few others.

• #64 | Jacob Battaglia | Kingston Frontenacs | RW | Jan Rnk (79)

  I could see a world where Jacob Battaglia is an energetic bottom six NHL player with the intensity, skating ability and flashes of skill you get with Battaglia. It’s tough to project a massive amount of offense with Battaglia, but as complimentary power winger with skill on the side, he’s been an impressive one to watch for me. He struggles to generate truly threatening offense, but he’s shown great potential as an offensive transition quarterback and a knack for off-puck intensity and anticipation.

• #65 | Alexander Zetterberg | Örebro HK J20 | C | Jan Rnk (71)

  I didn’t have Zetterberg ranked for a while, but he’s continued to beat expectations and impress. His ability to time passes perfectly to slip pucks through traffic, or drag a forechecker out of the dot line to open up the centre of the ice, or just find ways to maintain possession with a reliable play, Zetterberg has all the ingredients to be an impressive possession winger. The trouble is that he lacks size and a real explosive level of skill and quickness to evade pressure in close quarters. He can catch breakouts cleanly in stride and find routes to evade pressure if he can see it coming, but when the game tightens up, Zetterberg can be erased somewhat. I’ll be keen to see him at the U18s, as he’s had some great performances with the national team this season, and to see how a profile like his stacks up against more physical opponents.

• #66 | Matvei Shuravin | Krasnaya Armiya Moskva | D | Jan Rnk (38)

  Matvei Shuravin is a weird, weird player. The first few games I saw, he was laid back in a good way, daring defenders to cross him and causing turnovers through stick checks well. The next few games, he looked extremely outmatched by the pace of the KHL, and going back to the MHL/VHL levels, Shuravin seems to have evolved in my mind to be well, not quite the good-boring player I saw early in the year. His defending is too passive much of the time and he struggles in close quarters. I’ve seen moments with strong forward skating strides propelling him into the offensive zone with possession of the puck, but it’s hard to put Shuravin over a significant number of defenders ahead of him on my list.

Tier 5 - Size, Skill, and Ludvig Johnson

• Switching to bullet points for the rest of the list, these are some really interesting players with combinations of size and skill that could be developed into something more, and a few raw tools options that are a different kind of project.

• Ilya Protas has gotten better as the year has gone on, always showing skill and determination under pressure. He attacks the net, brings a great combination of strength and skill.

• Harrison Brunicke has some great feet under him, but I think there’s a lot of roughness around the edges with his vision in transition, pass selection, and ability to maintain offensive zone possession outside of fakes and point shots. Plenty to be interested in and let develop in the WHL for two more years though.

• Ludvig Johnson has been in my back pocket all year after catching him with Leon Muggli early in the season. Johnson is a highly skilled defender with remarkable confidence and one on one talent. There are a ton of “almost really impressive” moments with Johnson, losing possession at the last moment, chipping a puck just a bit too short for him to retrieve it, an extra skill move before a shot, there are a lot of things that have limited Johnson’s potential but it isn’t for lack of trying.

• Dean Letourneau is the ultimate question mark in the whole class to me. Yes, he dominated the prep high school league with a bagillion goals and kajillion assists, but I’ve come away looking for a bit more out of Letourneau in order to put him way higher like others have him. He’s extremely tall and resilient under pressure with SAC, which is to be expected because well, look at him. His ability to catch and release pucks is strong, however, and he can work his way to scoring areas as a tipping and rebound threat. Could he be an NHLer? Sure. I see him in that Michael Rasmussen/Nick Bjugstad type of giant forward who can shoot in stride and make smart, calculated passes to keep play moving. That’s where Letourneau was strongest with Sioux Falls this year, but time will tell what goes down here.

The Watchlist - Projects and the “Likely Undrafted But Fun Anyways” Group

• I don’t think I’ve seen a player like Jesse Pulkkinen in a very long time. The guy is a real adventure. Some moments, he’s a talented cerebral passer with some strength behind the plays he puts together, and others he’s making absolutely mystifying decisions carrying pucks, not shoulder-checking on retrievals, and turning pucks over often. His production to me is explained by his ability to pull a puck away from pressure and jam his giant body between the puck and the defender. At the junior level, he was unstoppable, and in Liiga, it all comes and goes. If someone takes him in the first round, it’s a reach to me, but dang nabbit I respect it.

• Bergström is a player I’ve been very surprised hasn’t taken the offensive step expected in HockeyAllsvenskan. He’s a gifted skater with both straight line speed and mobility to manage gaps and monitor opponents. There are bursts of speed, deception and skill and he was one of the most productive even strength defenders at the U20 level in Sweden.

• I adore Jacob Therrien. Such an annoying, competitive, and skilled player, Therrien is all potential for me. Some of the most impressive rushes I’ve seen this year have involved quick give and goes and fancy dangles with a lightning quick release in the offensive zone. The possession numbers aren’t great, but Therrien drives great transition results and has plenty of capability of being a shooting threat from range.

• More intelligent players hit this list in Aatos Koivu, John Whipple and Viggo Gustafsson who all carry signs of skill, and strong vision of the ice with defensive responsibility. Gustafsson especially has impressed me internationally and I hope that trend continues at the U18s.

• William Nicholl barely plays for London, but he’s stuck out to me here and there watching other players and in isolation looked strong. High skill, uses it intelligently, and I believe with more experience and more of a role, he would grow into it and increase his production. An interesting possession player that is a bit rough around the edges, but has caught my attention.

• Parker Alcos is one I’ve poked around on here and there this year and just see a strong fundamental to work on. Good skill, good shot, good mobility, good frame, everything with Alcos is fine and I’m going to dig in more before the end of the year. A player on the NHL CSS list who I hadn’t seen yet, and I believe that with time, there could be something with Parker Alcos.

• Yes yes, I see you googling who Anton Bitev and assume I’ve lost my mind, but here me out. He’s just a really curious and weird case this year but I’ve liked what I’ve seen. He’s a re-entry who was playing in Togliatti below the MHL last season. After a strong start to the year with Togliatti’s MHL team, Bitev was swapped to Spartak' Moscow’s system and was immediately jammed into the bottom levels of the lineup and not playing every game. That said, the pace in his game is fantastic, hopping, skipping and jumping in and out of rushing lanes and chasing down puck possessors with intensity. His lack of production partially comes from playing somewhere in the neighbourhood of 5 minutes a night but seeing him slow things down on the puck and have a somewhat limited offensive approach relying on pure speed off the rush, but I just really enjoy watching players like him. Another year in the MHL likely does Bitev well with Spartak promoting quite a few players, lending him more ice time.

• Kenta Isogai is still here. I don’t expect him to be drafted but someone like Dallas or whoever bringing him to a camp and handing him a deal they likely don’t regret is possible. He’s added a more incisive mid-range playmaker’s game, following up on pressure in scoring areas, but still the high intensity 200-foot effort player he’s always been.

• Eemil Laurel is another 2004-born Finnish re-entries who stood out to me watching Sebastian Soini and Ondrej Kos live earlier in the year. Laurel is a ridiculously hard working player on the puck, both pushing and rushing through pressure as much as he likes, even in Mestis. Laurel had ridiculous production on an awful Ilves junior team and showed well in the limited Mestis minutes I watched.

• Joel Abrahamsson is a player who like teammate Viggo Gustafsson was first on my radar watching Swiss zippy boy Jamiro Reber earlier in the year. Where Reber is all speed, skill, and transition pace without much else, Abrahamsson is a different kind of project. Tall, lanky, but a gifted combination of skill and shot release, Abrahamsson has worked his way up the HV71 food chain over the season and been a standout at the U18 level with some real signs of potential.

• Speaking of tall, raw forwards with skill who play U18 hockey in Sweden, Cedrik Johansson is still here. He’s still tall, still lanky, still unrefined, but when he gets going and attacks the net, he’s a hard nut to crack. Likely not drafted, Johansson is a strong skater, covering ice with his reach and powerful stride. The shot release is very impressive, however and a major driver of his offense.

• I watched chunks of the Minnesota high school hockey tournament and checked out some USHL tape of the standouts who participated at that level this year. There weren’t a ton who jumped off the screen at me when looking at USHL footage but Gavin Uhlenkamp certainly has been the one I’ve latched onto. A major reason for Chanhassen’s first finals appearance after a shock upset of Minnetonka, Uhlenkamp is raw speed and power, forcing his way around the ice, fighting through players and getting some great wrist shots off from very strong scoring areas. Another one I need to see more of before June, but he’s been a standout from that side of the world.

• The Des Moines boys Theo Kiss and Ilya Protas are impressive and it has felt like they’ve improved over the year. Kiss was admittedly not great at the WJAC this season on a poor Slovak roster, but I’ve gone back many times to check him out and he continuously shows a ton of capability as a forechecking forward, but even more potential as a dual threat offensive piece. Similar to Voronin, his timing and overconfidence at times can lead to lower percentage chances, but he’s got a great shot he never fires from poor distances, and he tries to slip passes through traffic often.

Office Hours #2

Welcome back to Office Hours! This is a series that will review some of the key stories and performances of players tracked in recent weeks, some quick thoughts and insights and where they moved on my board if at all. This week, we take a look at a few North Americans who have made some significant moves around my board since the last ranking I published in January. Stay tuned for an updated 2024 NHL Draft Ranking coming in the next couple weeks!

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John Mustard - Waterloo Black Hawks - Currently Ranked 29th

Mustard is a perplexing one. In my view, he’s raw in the truest sense. He’s a wonderful north-south skater with great skill and evasion ability in transition. There’s an excellent release on his wrist shot, and lots of raw potential. For a player who was playing AAA hockey last season in New Jersey, as well as a player nearly ineligible for the 2024 NHL Draft, being 2nd in team scoring is impressive to say the least. The troublesome bit is that Mustard seems to be a very self-driven play driver who is still quite rough around the edges with his timing, finding gaps in transition, and being able to drive himself into scoring areas to create his own scoring chances and chances for others. He’s a player who shows tremendous ability in spurts, but you still want to see more out of him.

Using his speed to play with some more intensity in his own end could go a ways to getting him more involved in moving pucks up the ice. He’s highly involved defensively, relying on stick checks and being somewhat successful, but an extra push here and there that he is definitely capable of could take him a ways from here. He’s a bit of a volume shooter and his selection could use some work as well. All that said, all the tools are there. Learning to slow things down at times and problem solve at a lower pace when necessary could be a big step to go along with that extra step of quickness and intensity that he seems to need. While Mustard clings to a 1st round slot for me, that’s more based on his potential and youth, rather than what is directly in front of you every shift. The idea of John Mustard in a few years as a speedy 200-foot shot-first forward is tantalizing however, and could be an impressive add in the draft later than he probably should go.

An example of Mustard’s strength on his edges, evasiveness and quickness. While he loses control in this clip, you can see signs of his potential as a possession forward with diverse offensive tools.

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Ben Danford - Oshawa Generals - Currently Ranked 53st

Over the years I’ve grown to appreciate players who just go over the boards and play a role that will never be out of demand. This goes doubly for defenders, and Ben Danford could be a great example of this kind of player. While he has issues connecting on passes in transition and rarely carries pucks himself, Danford is an intelligent positional defender, willing to play the body when necessary while also using his mobility and range to cut off loose pucks and make quick plays to extend possession. Stick checking in defensive transition has been a bit of a work in progress but when he plays the body, it’s tough to get through him. He scans the ice well, and in isolated moments, he has some impressive signs of something more locked away there. While I don’t think his NHL upside is massive, I could easily see him eating minutes and defending dangerous areas well as he’s done in Oshawa in the viewings I’ve seen this year.

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Clarke Caswell - Swift Current Broncos - Currently Ranked 61st

This draft is often characterized by incomplete talent profiles but strong isolated areas of play. If I had to pick a player who might be one of the smartest players in the class who just seems to really “get it”, it’s Caswell. It’s always the little details with him that may go unnoticed, but the keen-eyed will notice his ability to utilize little pockets of space, create space, and forecheck with a strong sense of timing. He finds routes up the ice and is among the more efficient offensive transition players I’ve tracked this year. He makes himself a target on breakouts well, he finds ways to hit targets of his own with passes, even on offensive zone entries, and has a work rate that hopefully can overcome the lack of high end speed and skating ability that he seems to have. He’s a huge driver of slot passes but completing them is a bit of a work in progress and working on building his timing and vision to create plays rather than blindly heaving pucks into scoring areas could expand his offensive output.

I’ve been impressed with Caswell and the game I covered this past week was absolutely his best I’ve seen this year. After almost an hour of 5v5 data, he’s one of the better drivers of potential offense with extremely high end rates of dangerous shot attempts and these slot pass attempts in my entire dataset. Will it project to the NHL? I’m still not sure, but if it does, he could be a very very good pickup in the middle rounds of this draft.

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Jett Luchanko - Guelph Storm - Currently Ranked 28th

The first few sentences of the Clarke Caswell update could be applied in an even more impactful way. Luchanko may lack the raw offensive output Caswell has had, but the quality of those chances are all ramped up quite significantly. His shot selection is nearly perfect, driving huge amounts of dangerous attempts and very little in the way of perimeter shooting. He generates more dangerous shot assists, but is also a highly impressive offensive transition quarterback. He reads play extremely well, forechecking with a great sense of timing and with strong pace leading to great offensive zone turnover generation rates.

Luchanko has grown on my over this season. He’s one of the youngest players in the draft as well, and has only gotten better the more I’ve seen him. There are echoes of an Easton Cowan-type profile here, leading with intelligence and selfless play, but rather than the dog-on-a-bone work rate Cowan had, Luchanko brings his intelligence to generating scoring chances for himself and playing a style of play that would be projectable to the NHL. It’s no-nonsense, it doesn’t always jump out at you, but it works.

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